Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 302327
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
627 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

...UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS AFTERNOON A STATIONARY FRONT CURVED FROM FAR WEST TX ACROSS
NORTH CENTRAL OK TO THE AR/MO BORDER. THIS HAS RESULTED IN RAINY &
VERY COOL WEATHER FOR KICT COUNTRY WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVING BEEN
RUNNING ON TREAD MILLS WITH READINGS FROM 65 TO 70 DEGREES IN MOST
AREAS. COOLEST HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS MAY BE SET.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

TONIGHT:
THE STATIONARY FRONT MENTIONED IN "SYNOPSIS" WILL GET FORCED SE
TOWARD THE RED RIVER (NO DOUBT AS A COLD FRONT) AS A COMPACT MID-
LEVEL SHORT WAVE PUSHES SE ACROSS CENTRAL OK...REACHING THE OK/AR
BORDER EARLY THU MORNING. THE WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN OCCURRING
ACROSS THE NEIGHBORHOOD WILL VERY SLOWLY END IN A NW-SE MANNER
WITH LIGHT RAIN CONFINED TO FAR SOUTHEAST KS BY DAYBREAK.
EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER SHOULD PREVENT RECORD LOWS FROM BEING
REALIZED IN ALL AREAS.

THU:
SOME "WRAP-AROUND" LIGHT RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPARTING MID-
LEVEL SHORTWAVE MAY CLIP FAR SOUTHEAST KS & AS SUCH HAVE RETAINED
~20% POPS TO THESE AREAS. A VERY STABLE AIRMASS WOULD PREVENT
THUNDERSTORMS FROM DEVELOPING.

FRI-SAT NIGHT:
EXCELLENT WEATHER AWAITS THE NEIGHBORHOOD AS A STRONG...MASSIVE
UPPER DECK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SPREADS SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE
ROCKIES. AMPLE SUN WOULD ENABLE HIGHS TO REACH 85-90F ACROSS ALL
AREAS FRI & SAT.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

NICE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL AREAS UNTIL NEXT WED WHEN THE
NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD ARRIVE. A WEAK-MODERATE MID-
LEVEL TROF MOVING SE FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS SHOULD REACH EASTERN
PARTS OF SD & NEBRASKA ON WED. THE ATTENDANT SE-MOVING COLD FRONT
MAY REACH CENTRAL KS LATE WED AFTERNOON. ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP SHOULD DO SO WELL TO THE N & NE OF THE NEIGHBORHOOD
FROM THE DAKOTAS & NEBRASKA TO ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 627 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

PRECIPITATION SHIELD WILL CONTINUE ADVANCING SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF
THE AREA THIS EVENING...WITH RAIN ENDING AT ICT-CNU BY 00Z. WILL
SEE A NARROW/BRIEF RIBBON OF MVFR CIGS AFFECTING HUT-ICT-CNU IN
WAKE OF THIS AREA OF RAIN...BUT THINKING THIS`LL SINK SOUTH OF
THE AREA BETWEEN 01-03Z. LATER TONIGHT...AREAS OF FOG ARE POSSIBLE
FOR MAINLY HUT-ICT-CNU...DUE TO CLEARING SKIES...DIURNAL
COOLING...MOIST LOW-LEVELS AND LIGHT WINDS. FOR NOW ONLY WENT 4SM
BR...BUT POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR IFR OR BELOW VSBYS. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR FOR 06Z ROUTINE TAF ISSUANCE.

ADK

&&

.CLIMATE...
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

RECORD COOLEST HIGHS FOR TODAY (JUL 30TH):

CHANUTE: 72 IN 1971
WICHITA: 73 IN 1903
RUSSELL: 77 IN 1990
SALINA:  76 IN 1971

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    60  83  62  88 /  50   0   0  10
HUTCHINSON      60  84  63  88 /  30   0   0  10
NEWTON          59  83  62  87 /  30   0   0  10
ELDORADO        60  83  62  85 /  50   0   0  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   60  82  62  86 /  80  20   0  10
RUSSELL         60  84  63  88 /   0   0   0  10
GREAT BEND      59  83  63  88 /  10   0   0  10
SALINA          59  87  62  89 /  10   0   0  10
MCPHERSON       59  84  62  88 /  20   0   0  10
COFFEYVILLE     60  82  61  86 /  80  40   0  10
CHANUTE         60  83  61  86 /  60  10   0  10
IOLA            60  83  61  85 /  40  10   0  10
PARSONS-KPPF    60  82  61  86 /  80  30   0  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$




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