Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 282003
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
303 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 303 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

High pressure has been building into the region today. A few
diurnal showers and thunderstorms were noted across Nebraska.
Those are expected to dissipate before reaching the forecast area.

Surface low pressure, which had brought the conditions for storms
across the region the last several days, is becoming vertically
stacked across Ontario. This means that it will move little and
gradually weaken.

The cold front that has pushed well south has become stationary
across Texas, extending east into Arkansas. This front will
gradually return north as a warm front over the next several
days. It should near the area late Tuesday, which will cause a few
showers and thunderstorms across the area.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 303 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

A warm front will move through the area Wednesday. This will be
the focus for late afternoon and nocturnal storms. Low level
moisture transport will support these storms at night. Any that
form on the High Plains will also head this way in the mean flow.
Severe chances look rather low at this time.

An upper level disturbance will move into the region during the
next weekend time frame. As a result, the likelihood of storms and
severe weather will increase.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

Aviation concerns are expected to remain minimal through the next
24 hours.

Cold front that swept through yesterday now stretches from
southeast MO into the Arklatex region. Weak high pressure will
settle over the Plains this afternoon and tonight with another
shot of cool/dry air moving-in Mon morning/afternoon. Confidence
is high that vfr conditions will remain in place through this TAF
period.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    81  56  83  58 /   0   0  10  30
Hutchinson      80  55  80  55 /   0   0  10  30
Newton          80  56  80  56 /   0   0  10  30
ElDorado        80  56  81  57 /   0   0  10  30
Winfield-KWLD   81  56  84  58 /   0   0  10  20
Russell         80  53  78  53 /   0   0  10  20
Great Bend      80  53  79  54 /   0   0  10  30
Salina          81  55  79  55 /   0   0  10  20
McPherson       80  55  80  55 /   0   0  10  20
Coffeyville     81  55  84  57 /   0   0  10  20
Chanute         81  55  83  56 /   0   0  10  20
Iola            80  55  82  56 /   0   0  10  20
Parsons-KPPF    81  55  84  57 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KRC
LONG TERM...KRC
AVIATION...RBL



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