Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 190458
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1158 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

THE QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR SUNDAY.
MEANWHILE A UPPER LEVEL WAVE CURRENTLY OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL
MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION FOR SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY. MOISTURE RETURN AND SOME WEAK LIFT AHEAD OF THIS
UPPER WAVE COULD GENERATE A FEW RAIN SHOWERS FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLIDE
SOUTH ACROSS KANSAS ON MONDAY BUT WILL NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN EFFECT
ON TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S FOR BOTH MONDAY/TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DEEP UPPER TROUGH AXIS
OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A SHORT WAVE
EJECTING EASTWARD ACROSS THE ROCKIES ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY FROM THE PARENT TROUGH AXIS. MOISTURE TRANSPORT AHEAD OF
THIS WAVE LOOKS SUFFICIENT ALONG WITH DECENT LIFT WHICH LOOKS TO GENERATE
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING WILL AMPLIFY IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...WITH DRY WEATHER PREVAILING FOR LATE NEXT WEEK.

JAKUB

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1158 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

ALL AREAS TO MAINTAIN VFR STATUS WITH ALL CLOUDINESS SLOWLY
TRANSITIONING FROM ~20,000FT CIRROSTRATUS TO ~13,000FT ALTOSTRATUS
EARLY SUN MORNING. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT FROM E/SE <=7KTS TO SLY
~13KTS SUN MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    44  74  54  77 /  10   0  10  10
HUTCHINSON      44  74  52  76 /   0   0   0   0
NEWTON          44  72  53  76 /   0   0  10  10
ELDORADO        43  73  54  76 /   0   0  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   45  74  55  78 /  10   0  10  10
RUSSELL         45  75  49  74 /   0   0   0   0
GREAT BEND      45  75  49  74 /   0   0   0   0
SALINA          44  74  51  74 /   0   0   0   0
MCPHERSON       44  73  52  75 /   0   0   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     43  71  54  76 /   0  10  20  20
CHANUTE         42  70  53  75 /   0  10  20  20
IOLA            42  70  52  75 /   0   0  10  10
PARSONS-KPPF    42  71  53  76 /   0  10  20  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$






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