Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 152020
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
220 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 220 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

DEEP CLOSED LOW WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
MIDWEST TONIGHT. WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP
MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA UNDER THE CLOUDS THIS EVENING WITH
EVEN SOME FLURRIES POSSIBLE ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR. OTHERWISE
CLOUDS WILL DECREASE LATE TONIGHT ALONG WITH THE STOUT WINDS
WITH LOWS CLOSE TO THE GOING FORECAST. A DRY AND SEASONABLY
COOL DAY IS ON TAP FOR TUESDAY AS THE NEXT UPPER TROF MOVES
OFF THE PACIFIC INTO THE WESTERN CONUS. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE
AHEAD OF A LEAD MINOR SHORTWAVE TROF DURING WEDNESDAY WITH THIS
FEATURE MOVING OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS MAY LEAD TO
SOME LIGHT QPF AND MIXED PHASE PRECIP ACROSS THE AREA AS IT
ENCOUNTERS MOISTURE IN THE RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW. THE SOMEWHAT
BETTER CHANCES FOR MEASURABLE RAIN/SNOW/FREEZING RAIN LOOKS TO
RESIDE ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS WHERE A PERIOD OF DEEPER MOIST
ASCENT WILL TAKE PLACE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. PRECIP CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY...THOUGH TRENDING TO MORE OF A DRIZZLE
SOUTH TO VERY LIGHT SNOW/FLURRY EVENT NORTH WITH A PERIOD OF
FREEZING DRIZZLE POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING. ANOTHER ROUND OF
PERHAPS SOME MEASURABLE LIGHT SNOW AND/OR MIXED PHASE PRECIP
EVENT IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE MAIN UPPER TROF MOVES
ACROSS THE PLAINS.

DARMOFAL

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 220 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

PLAN TO MAKE VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE OUTER PERIODS OF THE
FORECAST...WITH LINGERING LIGHT PRECIP CHANCES ON FRIDAY THEN
A DRY FORECAST INTO NEXT WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES TO TREND NEAR
SEASONAL CLIMO.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1143 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

AVIATION CONCERN WILL BE LOWER CEILINGS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

DEEP UPPER LOW IS CURRENTLY ROTATING ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST KS/NW MO
WITH WARP AROUND MVFR CIGS ENCOMPASSING THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
MVFR CIGS SHOULD REMAIN THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY WITH SOME POCKETS
OF VFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MAINLY WEST OF I-135. STRONG NW WINDS
WILL ALSO BE IN PLACE TODAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 30 MPH
AND GUSTS IN THE 35 TO 40 MPH RANGE. CIGS WILL CLIMB FROM WEST TO
EAST AFTER 10Z WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AREA WIDE BY EARLY TUE
AFTERNOON.

LAWSON


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    26  42  22  40 /   0   0   0  20
HUTCHINSON      24  40  19  39 /  10   0   0  20
NEWTON          25  39  22  39 /  10   0   0  10
ELDORADO        26  40  22  39 /  10   0   0  20
WINFIELD-KWLD   27  42  23  40 /   0   0   0  20
RUSSELL         21  39  19  38 /  10   0   0  10
GREAT BEND      22  40  20  39 /  10   0   0  10
SALINA          24  39  20  38 /  10   0   0  10
MCPHERSON       24  39  20  39 /  10   0   0  10
COFFEYVILLE     31  42  24  41 /   0   0   0  20
CHANUTE         28  40  21  39 /  10   0   0  20
IOLA            28  39  22  39 /  10   0   0  20
PARSONS-KPPF    30  41  21  41 /  10   0   0  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


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