Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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270
FXUS63 KICT 242145
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
345 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 345 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

This afternoon fairly intense low pressure was centered over North
Central KS. From the surface low a strong warm front curved sharply
to just north of KMHK then southeast to Southern MO. A strong cold
front curved just as sharply southwest to between KHUT & KPTT then
west through the OK Panhandle to along the NM/CO state line. Balmy
weather covered all of KICT Country with temperatures in the 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday Night)
Issued at 345 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

The intense low pressure center will move northeast, reaching
Eastern IA early Wed morning then Lower MI Wed Evening. This would
enable the cold front to move southeast, reaching the lower MS
Valley Wed Evening. It obviously won`t be nearly as warm across
the KS Neighborhood the rest of the week. Although temperatures
will be very close to normal brisk northwest winds will send wind
chills into the teens in most areas Wed & Thu nights with much of
Central KS plunging into the single digits. The northwest winds
will possess a sufficient downslope component to enable highs to
reach the lower 40s each day.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 345 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

Next Weekend:
A warming trend is still scheduled to commence Sat as a rapidly
strengthening positively-tilted upper-deck trof surges southeast
toward the Great Plains to induce deep lower-deck troffing across
the Western Plains.

Mon-Tue:
A 2nd upper-deck wave that`ll surge southeast is scheduled to reach
the Dakotas Mon Night then cross the Upper MS Valley on Tue. This
2nd wave will push a weak cold front southeast across KS on Tue.
Moisture is lacking, so no more than a wind shift would signal the
front`s arrival/passage.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1132 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

VFR conditions are expected for most locations. The main concern for
the next 12 hours will be a wind shift to the northwest. Could see
some wind gusts to 25 to 30 kts.  The only exception to the VFR
conditions will be near the KRSL taf site as some wraparound low
level cloud cover across NW KS may clip the KRSL taf with some MVFR
cigs possibly moving through the area for a few hours.  Will add a
tempo group for this chance.

Ketcham

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    33  40  24  42 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      30  39  23  41 /  10  10   0   0
Newton          31  38  22  40 /  10  10   0   0
ElDorado        32  39  24  40 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   32  42  24  42 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         27  36  20  40 /  10  10   0   0
Great Bend      28  37  20  41 /  10  10   0   0
Salina          31  37  22  40 /  10  10   0   0
McPherson       30  38  22  40 /  10  10   0   0
Coffeyville     37  44  25  42 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         35  41  24  40 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            35  40  24  39 /   0  10   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    35  43  25  41 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...EPS
SHORT TERM...EPS
LONG TERM...EPS
AVIATION...Ketcham



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