Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
537
FXUS63 KICT 192320
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
520 PM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 124 PM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

Rather tranquil weather for travel and activities leading up to
Thanksgiving across central and southeast Kansas. A weak mid and
upper level trof will develop and migrate east across the central
and southern Plains tonight into Monday. Meanwhile, the return south
to southwest low level flow will continue to moderate temperatures
with highs in the 60s across the area. A more significant upper trof
is still progged to drop southeast from south central Canada across
the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes Monday night/Tuesday. The associated
surface cold front will drop south across Kansas with temperatures
closer to seasonal climo on Tuesday. A more amplified upper flow
regime will develop thru mid-week with strong ridging across the
western CONUS and mean troughing across the eastern CONUS. The
cooler Canadian airmass will remain in place across eastern Kansas
on Wednesday as the surface high pressure continues to settle south
across mid-America. Some moderation can be expected across western
portions of central Kansas in the afternoon as a return southerly
flow develops over the western half of Kansas.

Darmofal

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 124 PM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

A warming trend is expected from Thanksgiving into Friday as the
western CONUS upper ridge axis flattens and shifts briefly over
Kansas as a stronger Pacific shortwave moves from the Northwest
into the North Central CONUS. This upper trof will help to develop
a deeper eastern CONUS longwave again by Saturday with a stronger
ridge axis again across the Western U.S. This will result in another
cold front and cooler air dropping south across mid-America and
Kansas.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 520 PM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

VFR conditions are expected for the region for the next 24 hours.

Ketcham

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 124 PM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

South to southwest winds will be a bit stronger on Monday during
the afternoon and will help contribute to very high grassland fire
danger, especially along/east of I-135. It will remain dry in the
coming week with gusty winds behind a cold front possibly
elevating fire danger on Tuesday for several hours. Unseasonably
warm temperatures are expected again by the end of this week.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    35  64  40  57 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      34  66  40  55 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          36  64  40  54 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        36  63  40  55 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   36  64  40  58 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         31  67  40  53 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      31  67  39  54 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          35  67  41  54 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       34  66  40  54 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     36  63  41  59 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         36  62  41  56 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            36  62  41  55 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    36  63  41  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KED
LONG TERM...KED
AVIATION...Ketcham
FIRE WEATHER...KED



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.