Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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213
FXUS63 KICT 192359
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
659 PM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 251 PM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

A cold front will sink slowly southward for tonight into Wednesday
across Kansas, with hot temperatures continuing for locations along
and east of the frontal boundary Wednesday afternoon. A few
showers/storms will be possible for locations mainly east of the
Kansas turnpike Wednesday night as moisture transport increases,
however the better chances look to be northeast of the area.
Meanwhile upper level ridging will build over the Mississippi valley
region for Thursday/Friday, and cause a deepening upper trough to
dig in over the western states. This will create hot/dry windy
conditions for Kansas as the surface pressure gradient tightens
up.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 251 PM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

We should see a continuation of hot/dry windy conditions for the
upcoming weekend as the upper level trough moves very slowly
eastward across the Rockies. Long range models show the upper tough
finally moving closer to the region for early next week with good
chances of showers/storms on Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 658 PM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

S winds sustained from 17-25kts w/ 25-35kt gusts are likely across
all areas throughout the evening. At 03Z LLWS becomes a major
concern with S/SSW ~50kts likely in all areas. A SE-moving cold
front should arrive Central KS 09-12Z that`ll cause a pronounced
wind shift fm SSW to due N. The cold front should arrive KHUT &
KICT 14-15Z. Post-frontal speeds won`t be nearly as strong being
sustained ~15kts. All areas to remain VFR although some stratocu
~2,500ft may cross SE KS toward daybreak.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    71  90  71  93 /   0  10  10  10
Hutchinson      70  87  67  93 /   0   0  10  10
Newton          71  88  70  93 /   0  10  10  10
ElDorado        72  90  72  91 /   0  10  20  10
Winfield-KWLD   72  92  73  92 /   0  10  20  10
Russell         61  84  61  94 /   0   0   0  10
Great Bend      62  85  61  94 /   0   0   0  10
Salina          68  87  67  95 /   0   0  10  10
McPherson       70  87  67  93 /   0   0  10  10
Coffeyville     74  92  74  91 /  10  10  20  10
Chanute         72  91  72  90 /  10  10  20  10
Iola            72  90  72  90 /  10  10  20  10
Parsons-KPPF    74  91  73  91 /  10  10  20  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ032-033-047>053-
067>069-082-083.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...EPS



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