Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS74 KMRX 232201
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Spot Forecast for TN-CNF-SZ Beaverdam...USFS
National Weather Service Morristown TN
601 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 24.

If conditions become unrepresentative,contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible, please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...

Low RH`s will continue this evening with winds shifting to a
more westerly direction. No rain is expected overnight with the
best chances for rain being between 10 AM and noon Wednesday
morning. Confidence is high that any rain totals will be pretty
light (0.05" or less) and that rain will not last long. After the
rain moves through, winds will remain from a more northerly
direction and become more light and variable Wednesday night.
Thursday will be drier again but with lighter winds.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (20-30 percent). A chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 13 mph shifting to the northwest 12
                    to 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.03 inches.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........77  81  77  65  57  57  34  27  28  23  22
Weather cov.....SCH CH  CH  SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  51  51  53  54  55  59  59  59  60  58
RH..............74  74  80  80  80  77  67  64  60  55  62
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   8
20 FT wind gust.17  17  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.9 2.5 3.4 4.1 4.5 4.2 3.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.12  13  12  10  10  10  10  13  14  13  12

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 5 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 13 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 6 mph after 3 am.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........13  16  19  21  16  11  6   6   7   7   8   9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............55  53  51  49  47  46  45  44  42  42  42  43
RH..............66  66  68  74  76  76  76  76  82  82  82  79
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   7   7   7   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.12  10  10  12  12  10  9   8   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  13  12  10  9   8   7   6   6   6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming west 5 to 7 mph
                    late in the morning shifting to the northwest
                    around 6 mph.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........10  10  9   9   10  12  13  19  25  31  35  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............45  49  54  59  62  63  64  65  66  66  64  62
RH..............73  66  57  49  44  43  41  40  38  38  43  50
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   3   3   3   5   6   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   8   9   10  12  12  12  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.3 2.4 3.5 4.4 5.0 5.6 6.3 6.6 6.3 4.6 2.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  S   S   SW  W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   9   9   8   8

$$
Forecaster...Brandon Wasilewski
Requested by...Michael Haisten
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411966.0/MRX
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lisa.loncar@usda.gov,michael.haisten@usda.gov


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