Text Products for FWS Issued by PHI

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
000
FNUS71 KPHI 160842
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Pink hill...Silvix
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
442 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
It will be mainly clear today and fairly warm, but not as warm as
Monday. North to northwest winds will generally be around 5 to 10
mph with some gusts to around 15 to 20 mph at times by mid morning
through the afternoon. There will also be a gradual backing trend of
the winds through the day towards more west-northwest by late day.
Expect minimum relative humidity values getting down into the range
of 25 to 30 percent this afternoon with high temperatures in the
upper 60s to low 70s.

Winds diminish this evening and there will also be a significant
recovery in relative humidity values as temperatures fall and dew
points rise as the winds turn more onshore from the east.

Wednesday will be mainly cloudy and cooler with some showers
developing and relative humidity values remaining in the range of 55
to 85 percent.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind shift..........Winds backing from north to northwest through the day.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 17 mph shifting to the northwest 13
                    to 16 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (82300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................8 early in the morning increasing to 106 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   4   2   3   7   12  21  5   8   12  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............50  53  57  60  64  66  68  70  71  71  71
RH..............58  54  43  37  31  29  28  27  27  28  29
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   8   9   9   8   9   10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.8   10  12  13  13  13  13  14  14  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.6 2.4 3.4 4.1 5.0 5.6 5.9 6.0 5.9
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.8   10  16  17  16  16  15  16  16  15  13
ADI.............8   11  33  53  67  79  86  103 106 100 83
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   5   23  36  48  58  64  79  82  78  65
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming south around 5
                    mph late in the evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 3 to
                    6 mph in the late evening and overnight, then
                    shifting to the east 3 to 7 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (42700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................62 early in the evening decreasing to 2 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  12  16  20  25  30  38  47  56  58  59  61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  68  64  62  60  58  56  54  53  53  52  51
RH..............31  34  40  44  51  57  62  69  71  74  74  80
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  W   S   S   S   SE  E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   3   3   5   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.10  6   5   6   6   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...4.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   W   S   S   SW  SW  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.10  6   3   3   6   6   5   3   5   5   3   7
ADI.............62  3   2   2   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..43  4   2   2   2   2   2   1   2   2   1   3
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers late in the morning. Rain showers
                    likely late in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 70 percent.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast 8 to
                    13 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (28500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................6 to 36.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62  72  74  78  82  88  92  91  89  90  90  91
Weather cov.....                    CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  70  70  70  70
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  70  70  70  70
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............51  52  54  56  58  60  60  60  60  59  58  58
RH..............77  71  64  59  55  53  55  60  64  69  75  77
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   9
20 FT wind gust.7   9   8   8   8   9   10  10  12  12  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.5 2.0 1.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   10  12  12  8   8   9   10  12  12  13  13
ADI.............6   11  16  20  18  22  28  33  36  33  30  24
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   4   11  13  13  16  22  26  29  25  21  16
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...Fitzsimmons
Requested by...Shannon Henry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411063.0/PHI
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Shannon@silvixforestry.com
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
