Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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AXUS74 KHUN 031551
DGTHUN
ALC033-059-077-079-083-TNC103-051600-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1051 AM CDT THU APR 3 2014

...MODERATE DROUGHT /D1/ CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

SYNOPSIS...
ACCORDING TO THE DROUGHT MONITOR VALID APRIL 1 2014...MODERATE
DROUGHT /D1/ CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED IN PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN
ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. THIS IS DUE PRIMARILY TO
RECENT DRYNESS ON 30 TO 90 DAY TIMESCALES. THE AREA OF MODERATE
DROUGHT INCLUDES EXTREME NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY (AL)...MOST OF
COLBERT AND LAUDERDALE COUNTIES...FAR NORTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTY AND
ABOUT THE NORTHWESTERN TWO-THIRDS OF LIMESTONE COUNTY. IN
ADDITION...THE EXTREME SOUTHWEST CORNER OF LINCOLN COUNTY (TN) IS
ALSO INCLUDED. PORTIONS OF THE REMAINDER OF NORTHERN ALABAMA ARE
CONSIDERED ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE
WEST TO EAST FROM HODGES...MOULTON...DECATUR...GRANT...AND FORT
PAYNE. THIS EXCLUDES THE EXTREME WESTERN TIP OF LAUDERDALE
COUNTY...WHICH IS NOT CURRENTLY IN ABNORMALLY DRY OR MODERATE DROUGHT
DESIGNATION. ABOUT THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF LINCOLN...MOORE AND
FRANKLIN COUNTIES IN TENNESSEE ARE ALSO DESIGNATED AS ABNORMALLY DRY
/D0/.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
STATE AND LOCAL DECLARATIONS: THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMIC AND
COMMUNITY AFFAIRS (ADECA) OFFICE OF WATER RESOURCES CURRENTLY HAS NO
DROUGHT DECLARATIONS FOR NORTHERN ALABAMA. ANY FUTURE DROUGHT
DECLARATIONS WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY AND WILL BE AVAILABLE ON
THE OFFICE OF WATER RESOURCES WEB SITE NOTED IN THE RELATED WEB SITES
SECTION BELOW.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS: THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS
NOTED IN THE AREA. HOWEVER...WEEKLY USDA CROP PROGRESS AND CONDITION
REPORTS HAVE NOT BEEN ISSUED YET FOR THIS GROWING SEASON. THIS
INFORMATION WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IN LATER STATEMENTS IF
DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS: THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO ALABAMA FORESTRY
COMMISSION FIRE ALERT OR DROUGHT EMERGENCIES ISSUED. STATE FORESTER
LINDA CASEY IS STILL URGING EVERYONE TO USE ALL NECESSARY SAFETY
PRECAUTIONS WHEN DOING ANY TYPE OF OUTDOOR BURNING. TO OBTAIN A BURN
PERMIT...CONTACT THE ALABAMA FORESTRY COMMISSION DISPATCH CENTER FOR
YOUR COUNTY. LOCAL COUNTY AND CITY LAWS MAY RESTRICT OUTDOOR BURNING.
BURNERS ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR CONTACTING LOCAL GOVERNMENT FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVEN TO TEN DAYS HAS BEEN RELATIVELY LOW
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH THE MAJORITY OF NORTHERN ALABAMA AND
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE RECEIVING HALF AN INCH OF RAINFALL OR LESS.

TEMPERATURES OVERALL HAVE AVERAGED SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL OVER THE
PAST SEVEN TO TEN DAYS. THE PERIOD OF THE 24TH THROUGH THE 26TH OF
MARCH WAS THE COOLEST OF THE PERIOD...WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING
ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

SINCE JANUARY 1ST...TEMPERATURES HAVE AVERAGED BELOW NORMAL...WITH
THE JANUARY TO MARCH SEASON CURRENTLY RANKING AS THE 21ST COOLEST
START TO A YEAR ON RECORD AT MUSCLE SHOALS. AT HUNTSVILLE...
CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN COOLER...WITH THE JANUARY TO MARCH SEASON
CURRENTLY RANKING AS THE 11TH COOLEST START TO A YEAR ON RECORD.

PRECIPITATION HAS AVERAGED WELL BELOW NORMAL ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN
ALABAMA SO FAR FOR THE WINTER/SPRING SEASON AND PARTICULARLY IN THE
AREAS DEPICTED IN MODERATE DROUGHT /D1/. AT MUSCLE
SHOALS...PRECIPITATION HAS AVERAGED WELL BELOW NORMAL...ONLY TOTALING
8.31 INCHES FROM JANUARY 1ST TO MARCH 31ST. THIS RANKS AS THE 6TH
DRIEST START TO A YEAR ON RECORD. NORMAL PRECIPITATION DURING THIS
PERIOD IS 14.31 INCHES.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA LATER TONIGHT
EXTENDING INTO FRIDAY. NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRIER
WEATHER ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE FRIDAY INTO LATE SUNDAY...BEFORE MORE
RAINFALL POTENTIALLY RETURNS TO THE AREA. THUS...A WETTER PATTERN IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. RAINFALL TOTALS GENERALLY LESS
THAN ONE INCH ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...WITH PERHAPS HEAVIER
RAINFALL FOR LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN
NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.

THE OUTLOOK FOR WEEK TWO /APR 10TH - APR 16TH/ FAVORS NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR THE AREA.

THE MONTHLY OUTLOOK FOR APRIL INDICATES EQUAL CHANCES FOR NEAR...
ABOVE...OR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...AND SLIGHTLY FAVORS NEAR...TO
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA.

THE LATEST MONTHLY DROUGHT OUTLOOK INDICATES THAT DROUGHT REMOVAL IS
LIKELY FROM NORTHERN ALABAMA DURING THE MONTH OF APRIL.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN
MIDDLE TENNESSEE CURRENTLY UNDER THE MODERATE DROUGHT DESIGNATION
HAVE DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE LAST MONTH.
CURRENT 7-DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOW OF THE ELK RIVER AT PROSPECT, TN IS
AT 6% OF HISTORICAL STREAMFLOW AND 31% OF NORMAL (MEDIAN) FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR. THE BIG NANCE CREEK AT COURTLAND IS CURRENTLY AT THE
8TH PERCENTILE OF HISTORICAL STREAMFLOW AND IS AT 30% OF NORMAL
(MEDIAN).

THE RECENT DRY TREND IS NOT HAVING AN EFFECT ON LAKE STAGES IN THE
AREA. LAKES WITHIN THE TENNESSEE RIVER CHANNEL ARE OPERATING WITHIN
NORMAL POOL LEVELS. OTHER LAKES INCLUDING BEAR CREEK...CEDAR
CREEK...AND TIMS FORD...ARE ALSO OPERATING WITHIN NORMAL RANGES FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR.

ACCORDING TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...THE LATEST DAILY SOIL
MOISTURE RANKINGS ARE AROUND THE 20TH PERCENTILE ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF
NORTHERN ALABAMA AND ADJACENT AREAS OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR.

THE USGS GROUNDWATER WELL SITE IN LAWRENCE COUNTY INDICATES THAT
GROUNDWATER FELL BELOW THE DAILY MEDIAN STATISTIC IN EARLY MARCH...
AND HAS SINCE CONTINUED TO FALL.

THE OUTLOOK FOR LAKE LEVELS AND GROUNDWATER IS FOR NEAR STABLE TO
IMPROVING CONDITIONS IN THE NEAR TERM...DUE TO SOME ANTICIPATED
RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT WEEK.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
SINCE NO AREAS ARE CURRENTLY DESIGNATED IN SEVERE DROUGHT /D2/ OR
WORSE...THE NEXT DROUGHT STATEMENT MAY NOT BE UPDATED FOR ANOTHER
TWO TO FOUR WEEKS OR AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. HOWEVER...UPDATES MAY
OCCUR SOONER IF DROUGHT CONDITIONS DETERIORATE MORE THAN CURRENTLY
EXPECTED OR IF ANY CONDITIONS DEPICTED IN THIS STATEMENT CHANGE
SIGNIFICANTLY.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

/USE LOWER CASE/
FOR MUCH MORE DROUGHT INFORMATION...VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE. THERE YOU MAY FIND MORE DROUGHT
RELATED INFORMATION BY CLICKING ON THE DROUGHT LINK NEAR THE BOTTOM
OF THE PAGE.

FOR INFORMATION ABOUT USDA DISASTER DECLARATIONS...VISIT
HTTP://WWW.FSA.USDA.GOV/FSA/WEBAPP?AREA=HOME&SUBJECT=DIAP&TOPIC=LANDING

FOR INFORMATION ABOUT ALABAMA DROUGHT DECLARATIONS...VISIT
HTTP://WWW.ADECA.ALABAMA.GOV/DIVISIONS/OWR/PAGES/DROUGHT.ASPX

FOR INFORMATION FROM THE ALABAMA FORESTRY COMMISSION...VISIT
HTTP://FORESTRY.ALABAMA.GOV/

RADAR ESTIMATED PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS CAN BE OBTAINED FROM...
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP

STREAMFLOWS ARE OBTAINED FROM THE USGS AT...
HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV/INDEX.PHP

LAKE LEVELS FOR THE TENNESSEE RIVER LAKES CAN BE OBTAINED FROM
HTTP://WWW.TVA.COM/LAKEINFO/

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

SOME DATA USED IN THIS STATEMENT WERE PROVIDED BY THE U.S.
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE...THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY AUTHORITY...AND THE STATES OF ALABAMA AND TENNESSEE.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

FOR QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ON THE DROUGHT...CONTACT:
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE
320A SPARKMAN DRIVE
HUNTSVILLE AL 35805
PHONE: 256-890-8503
SR-HUN.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

KDW/CA


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