Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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061-063-065-071-075-079-081-085-311600-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
959 AM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014

...WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...

THIS WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK IS FOR RIVERS AND
TRIBUTARIES OF THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER BASIN IN EAST-CENTRAL
GEORGIA AND CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING:

SAVANNAH RIVER BASIN DOWNSTREAM OF R. B. RUSSELL LAKE AND
UPSTREAM FROM BURTONS FERRY...

THE EDISTO RIVER BASIN UPSTREAM OF THE BAMBERG...ORANGEBURG
COUNTY LINE IN SOUTH CAROLINA...

THE SANTEE RIVER BASIN UPSTREAM OF THE CLARENDON/BERKELEY COUNTY
LINE AND DOWNSTREAM ON THE SALUDA AND BROAD RIVERS AT THE
GREENWOOD/SALUDA...LAURENS/NEWBERRY...UNION/FAIRFIELD AND THE
CHESTER/FAIRFIELD COUNTY LINES IN SOUTH CAROLINA...

THE WATEREE RIVER SYSTEM DOWNSTREAM OF GREAT FALLS SOUTH
CAROLINA...

AND THE PEE DEE RIVER BASIN IN CHESTERFIELD COUNTY IN SOUTH
CAROLINA.

            ...SUMMARY OF RECENT WEATHER EVENTS...

OVER THE LAST 14 DAYS ENDING MARCH 20 2014...THE HYDROLOGIC AREA
RECEIVED ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION WITH AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 1.00
TO 2.00 INCHES ACROSS THE PIEDMONT AND WESTERN MIDLANDS WITH AMOUNTS
RANGING FROM 1.00 TO 1.75 INCHES ACROSS CENTRAL MIDLANDS AND CSRA.

            ...SOIL MOISTURE...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR VALID ON MARCH 19 2014 SHOWED NO AREAS IN
DROUGHT WITH SOIL MOISTURE NEAR OR A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL.
GO TO DROUGHT.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.

             ...RIVER AND STREAM FLOW...

THE 14-DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOW PROVIDED BY THE USGS AS OF MARCH 20
INDICATED STREAMFLOWS WERE NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS CENTRAL SOUTH
CAROLINA AND THE SAVANNAH RIVER AREA OF GEORGIA.

             ...RESERVOIR LEVELS...

MANY RESERVOIRS ARE NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR THEIR TARGET POOLS.

LAKE RUSSELL...
MARCH 6     2014 473.7 FEET
MARCH 21    2014 474.3 FEET
DIFFERENCE    PLUS 0.6 FEET

LAKE THURMOND...
MARCH 6     2014 328.9 FEET
MARCH 21    2014 330.7 FEET
DIFFERENCE    PLUS 1.8 FEET

LAKE GREENWOOD...
MARCH 6     2014 436.7 FEET
MARCH 21    2014 437.7 FEET
DIFFERENCE    PLUS 1.0 FEET

LAKE MURRAY...
MARCH 6     2014 357.6 FEET
MARCH 21    2014 358.1 FEET
DIFFERENCE    PLUS 1.1 FEET

LAKE MARION...
MARCH 6     2014  75.0 FEET
MARCH 21    2014  75.6 FEET
DIFFERENCE    PLUS 0.6 FEET

LAKE WATEREE...
MARCH 6     2014  97.5 FEET
MARCH 21    2014  97.7 FEET
DIFFERENCE    PLUS 0.2 FEET

DATA FOR THIS SEGMENT WAS GATHERED FROM THE UNITED STATES
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE UNITED STATES ARMY CORP OF ENGINEERS
AND DUKE ENERGY.

       ...PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...

NEAR TERM...THROUGH TUESDAY MARCH 25 PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS RANGING
FROM ONE-QUARTER TO ONE-HALF OF AN INCH IS FORECAST. SEE THE ZONE
AND GRIDDED FORECASTS FOR THE CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS AT
WEATHER.GOV/CAE.

THE 6- TO 10-DAY OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD MARCH 26 TO MARCH 30 CALLS
FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS
THE CSRA TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
MIDLANDS OF SOUTH CAROLINA.

THE 8- TO 14-DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD MARCH 28 TO
APRIL 3 CALLS FOR NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE MIDLANDS TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE CSRA. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE MIDLANDS TO NEAR NORMAL ACROSS THE CSRA.

THE 30-DAY OUTLOOK FOR MARCH 2014 INDICATES EQUAL CHANCES OF BELOW
OR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION.

THE 3-MONTH OUTLOOK FOR APRIL THROUGH JUNE CALLS FOR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE OR BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION.

                ...SUMMARY...

HISTORICALLY...THE MONTH OF MARCH IS TYPICALLY AN ACTIVE PERIOD FOR
RIVER FLOODING. FORECASTING A NEAR NORMAL POTENTIAL OF RIVER
FLOODING MEANS THAT THE FORECAST CALLS FOR A TYPICAL NUMBER OF RIVER
FLOODS WITH TYPICAL MAGNITUDE FOR THIS PERIOD THROUGH EARLY APRIL.
THE RIVER FLOOD SEASON BEGINS IN EARLY TO MID JANUARY AND USUALLY
ENDS IN LATE APRIL.

THE SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK CALLS FOR NEAR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL POTENTIAL OF RIVER FLOODING ACROSS THE MIDLANDS AND CSRA.

THIS IS THE LAST SCHEDULED WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
THAT WILL BE ISSUED FOR 2014.


               ...QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS OUTLOOK PLEASE
CONTACT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2909 AVIATION WAY
WEST COLUMBIA SC 29170
PHONE: 803-822-8135
INTERNET ADDRESS CAEWX@NOAA.GOV

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