Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 220635
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
235 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

...Record-setting warmth today through Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather and mainly clear skies are expected across
our entire region thru Saturday as high pressure remains in control.
Temperatures will be downright hot today...especially for late
September...and will likely break maximum temperature records for
some locations.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-222015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
235 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (930).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (780).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-222015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
235 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (760).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....88-93...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (600).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-222015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
235 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (820).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 10 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (700).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-222015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
235 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 78-83 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (870).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....85-90...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (720).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-222015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
235 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (950).
Mixing Height.......7000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....88-93.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (730).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MR


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