Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 281924
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
324 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase
through the late afternoon as low pressure tracks through the area,
with activity becoming likely during the evening. Some of these
storms could become severe, and May produce locally heavy rainfall.
Breezy conditions and lower chances for showers will then prevail
memorial day and Tuesday as low pressure stalls over northern
Ontario. Temperatures in the low to mid 70s today and Monday will
fall to the upper 60s to low 70s by Tuesday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-291215-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
324 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until midnight then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 9 pm then chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms until midnight. Chance
                    of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........94 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......320-520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph becoming west
                    around 20 mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......10760-11260 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 35
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (3400).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 8 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 30 mph becoming southwest around 10
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). A slight chance
                    of until 2 pm. A slight chance of showers after
                    8 am. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph becoming west
                    around 20 mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6280-6780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1880).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-291215-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
324 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 4 am then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 9 pm then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely until
                    11 pm then chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    until 1 am. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph becoming west in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......340-540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......9600-10100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to 25 to 30
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (3180).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 8 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation
                    20 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6170-6670 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1740).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-291215-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
324 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until midnight then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until midnight then chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph becoming west 10
                    to 15 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......480-680 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance
                    of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......9660-10160 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (3000).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). A slight chance
                    of thunderstorms until 8 pm. A slight chance of
                    showers until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........82-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph decreasing to 10 to 15
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation
                    20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7180-7680 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (2090).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs around 70. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s.

$$

SC


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