Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 310743
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
343 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...CONTINUED WARM AND BREEZY TODAY...WITH MIN RH VALUES
FALLING INTO THE LOWER 40S AND WIND GUSTS TOPPING OUT BETWEEN 25 TO
30 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SATURDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY.
SEVERAL SMALL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL WORK ACROSS MICHIGAN
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...GRADUALLY INCREASING THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-312115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
343 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 10 AM UNTIL 5 PM. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST 15
                    TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10380-10880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST 25
                    TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2870).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 10 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9180-9680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2120).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-312115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
343 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 11 AM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 4 PM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 5 PM.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10160-10660 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2690).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM UNTIL 10 AM. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 9 AM. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER 10 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200-9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2020).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-312115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
343 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM UNTIL 5 PM. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10060-10560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2950).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 10 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9260-9760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2120).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

$$

SF



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