Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 200712
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
312 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

...Dry Today...

.DISCUSSION...
The warm and mostly dry conditions will prevail today.
Morning fog and low clouds will give way to increasing
sunshine and warming temperatures.  There could be a few
storms around tonight and Thursday and it will be warming
up for Thursday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-202015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
312 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1000.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4500-5000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0200, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2300-2800
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.16 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........67-72 percent near Lake Michigan and 57-62
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 8
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2300-2800 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 4200-4700 ft AGL increasing to
                    6300-6800 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) increasing to 1100 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-202015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
312 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1600, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1000.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0600, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 0700, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) decreasing to 0 (poor) overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL increasing to 7100-7600 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) increasing to 1200 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.12 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-202015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
312 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 1400, then
                    mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1000.
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4700-5200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1500-2000
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.18 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....83-88.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 4200-4700 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 4400-4900 ft AGL increasing to
                    6600-7100 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-900 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-202015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
312 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1000.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL increasing to 7400-7900 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) increasing to 1200 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.14 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-202015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
312 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1000.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL increasing to 6700-7200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 8 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 5 to
9 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to
8 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 5 to 8 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
up to 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.

$$


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