Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 260816
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
316 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Much cooler temperatures expected today as high pressure builds
into the Carolinas. These cool temperatures will be short lived
as a warm front lifts north early Tuesday. Near record high
temperatures expected again by the middle of the week before a
cold front crosses the area on Thursday. A return to winter like
temperatures is expected for next weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-270030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
316 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           32           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  7         LGT/VAR      E  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         1900         52/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        20           95           37
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4370                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  9                     SE 16
Ventilation rate      39330                     96000
ADI early             46 Gen good  1 Very poor  67 Good
ADI late              52 Gen good  1 Very poor  71 Good
Max LVORI early       1            4            7
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
66 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-270030-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
316 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           34           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         LGT/VAR      E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         1900         50/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        19           86           35
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4670                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      S 16
Ventilation rate      37360                     94400
ADI early             41 Gen good  1 Very poor  47 Gen good
ADI late              49 Gen good  1 Very poor  55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       2            4            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
64 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 24 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-270030-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
316 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           34           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         LGT/VAR      E  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SE  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         1900         54/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        20           92           42
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4320                      5560
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  8                     SE 17
Ventilation rate      34560                     94520
ADI early             42 Gen good  1 Very poor  71 Good
ADI late              51 Gen good  1 Very poor  75 Good
Max LVORI early       1            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
63 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-270030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
316 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           34           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         LGT/VAR      E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         1900         49/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        20           82           35
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4730                      5820
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      S 15
Ventilation rate      37840                     87300
ADI early             37 Fair      1 Very poor  40 Fair
ADI late              46 Gen good  1 Very poor  50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       2            3            5
Max LVORI late        2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
65 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-270030-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
316 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           35           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         LGT/VAR      E  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  4        LGT/VAR      SE  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         1900         51/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        19           86           37
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4570                      5640
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      SE 16
Ventilation rate      36560                     90240
ADI early             38 Fair      1 Very poor  51 Gen good
ADI late              46 Gen good  1 Very poor  59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       2            3            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
64 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 25 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III



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