Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
000
FNUS52 KILM 290744
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
344 AM EDT Mon May 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Today should be the hottest day of the week with temperatures in
the 90s away from the beaches. Thunderstorms may return tonight
and Tuesday ahead of a cold front. This front should stall
across the area Wednesday and Thursday, returning north again on
Friday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-292345-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
344 AM EDT Mon May 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3
Min/Max Temp          93           70           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         SW  6        W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10 G20    SW  3        SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.22
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             78/0900      2000         77/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        40           98           56
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6810                      5970
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     SW  9
Ventilation rate      68100                     53730
ADI early             45 Gen good  31 Fair      11 poor
ADI late              46 Gen good  3 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            5            8
Max LVORI late        1            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation
40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-292345-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
344 AM EDT Mon May 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3
Min/Max Temp          93           69           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         SW  4        W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.20         0.19
Precip duration                    2            2
Inversion             77/0900      2000         75/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        39           100          51
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6600                      6240
Transport wnd (mph)   W 10                      W  9
Ventilation rate      66000                     56160
ADI early             39 Fair      33 Fair      13 Gen poor
ADI late              46 Gen good  2 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            4            10
Max LVORI late        1            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-292345-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
344 AM EDT Mon May 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           60
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            4
Min/Max Temp          93           71           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         SW  5        W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        SW  3        SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.08         0.14
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             78/0900      2000         76/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        41           97           52
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6490                      6340
Transport wnd (mph)   W 10                      SW  8
Ventilation rate      64900                     50720
ADI early             50 Gen good  31 Fair      21 Fair
ADI late              51 Gen good  3 Very poor  29 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            4            8
Max LVORI late        1            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-292345-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
344 AM EDT Mon May 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3
Min/Max Temp          93           70           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         SW  3        W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  7         LGT/VAR      W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.25         0.13
Precip duration                    2            2
Inversion             77/0900      2000         75/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        39           98           50
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6530                      6760
Transport wnd (mph)   W 10                      W  9
Ventilation rate      65300                     60840
ADI early             44 Gen good  31 Fair      14 Gen poor
ADI late              48 Gen good  1 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            3            9
Max LVORI late        1            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.