Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 310903
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
503 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CAROLINAS THROUGH
FRIDAY. A TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL BRING HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS
BEGINNING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT WITH CONDITIONS GRADUALLY IMPROVING
FROM SOUTH TO NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...BRINGING MUCH COOLER AND DRIER
AIR FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW TO MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-010115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...
MASONBORO...MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH
503 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          89           71           92
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      SE  5        N  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SE  5        NE  3        SW  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.05         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1
INVERSION             77/0900      2000         78/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        58           99           49
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5300                      5280
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      NW 13
VENTILATION RATE      42400                     68640
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       27 FAIR      40 FAIR
ADI LATE              29 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  44 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...WINDY. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...VERY WINDY. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-010115-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...BLADENBORO...
WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...LAKE WACCAMAW
503 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           30           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          90           70           93
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      SE  4        N  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      W  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            0
INVERSION             76/0900      2000         77/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        50           100          47
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5950                      5430
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     W 10
VENTILATION RATE      47600                     54300
ADI EARLY             13 GEN POOR  26 FAIR      47 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  50 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-010115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
503 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           50           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          88           71           91
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    E  3         E  6         N  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SE  7        N  4         SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.06         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            1
INVERSION             77/0900      2000         77/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        59           99           51
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5290                      4950
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     NW 12
VENTILATION RATE      68770                     59400
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      29 FAIR      36 FAIR
ADI LATE              35 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...STRONG WINDS. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...VERY WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-010115-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...MULLINS...KINGSTREE
503 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          90           70           92
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    E  3         E  5         N  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  7         NE  3        SW  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            0
INVERSION             77/0900      2000         76/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        53           98           47
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5880                      5390
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     SW  8
VENTILATION RATE      76440                     43120
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      30 FAIR      39 FAIR
ADI LATE              38 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  37 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        1            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-010115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...HARTSVILLE...
DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE...DILLON
503 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           0            30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   2            1            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          91           70           94
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  3        SE  5        LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  6         LGT/VAR      SW  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1
INVERSION             77/0900      2000         76/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        48           99           44
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6270                      5650
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     SW 10
VENTILATION RATE      50160                     56500
ADI EARLY             22 FAIR      26 FAIR      52 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              28 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  60 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27



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