Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 250834
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
434 AM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Hurricane Maria is expected to remain offshore and move slowly
north, with its center passing about 250 miles east of Cape
Fear Tuesday night. Dangerous beach and marine conditions will
prevail much of the week. A cold front should reach the area
late Friday, bringing cooler and drier air into next weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...None

NCZ105>110-260045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
434 AM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          83           69           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  8        N 11 G20     N 12 G24
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N 12         N 11 G20     N 13 G24
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.04
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             71/0900      1900         75/1000
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        61           98           64
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3730                      4040
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 21                     N 25
Ventilation rate      78330                     101000
ADI early             42 Gen good  42 Gen good  53 Gen good
ADI late              53 Gen good  11 poor      70 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            6
Max LVORI late        2            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-260045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
434 AM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          84           68           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  7        NE  8        N  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE 11        N  9         N 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             69/0900      1900         75/1000
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        55           96           60
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5110                      4820
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 20                     N 22
Ventilation rate      102200                    106040
ADI early             39 Fair      40 Fair      49 Gen good
ADI late              56 Gen good  9 poor       63 Good
Max LVORI early       6            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-260045-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
434 AM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          84           68           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  8         N  8         N 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N 10         N  9         N 12
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             71/0900      1900         76/1000
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        59           95           60
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4580                      4950
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 17                     N 21
Ventilation rate      77860                     103950
ADI early             37 Fair      33 Fair      44 Gen good
ADI late              47 Gen good  9 poor       61 Good
Max LVORI early       6            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 53 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-260045-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
434 AM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          85           67           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  7         N  7         N  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE 10        N  7         N 12
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             69/0900      1900         75/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        54           96           57
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5070                      5390
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 16                     N 18
Ventilation rate      81120                     97020
ADI early             36 Fair      32 Fair      39 Fair
ADI late              49 Gen good  7 poor       56 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-260045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
434 AM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          86           66           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  7        NE  6        N  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE 11        N  6         N 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             69/0900      1900         75/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        49           96           55
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5580                      5490
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 16                     N 17
Ventilation rate      89280                     93330
ADI early             38 Fair      37 Fair      42 Gen good
ADI late              52 Gen good  7 poor       56 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 44 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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