Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 110814
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
314 AM EST SUN DEC 11 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN TODAY AS A COASTAL TROUGH PUSHES ASHORE.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA MONDAY FOLLOWED BY A STRONGER
COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AS A RESULT, A CHANCE OF RAIN CAN BE
EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES RETURNING
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT....NONE.

NCZ105>110-120015-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
314 AM EST SUN DEC 11 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           40           40
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          56           47           69
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  4        SE  6        SW  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  6         S  7         SW  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2
INVERSION             49/1100      1800         66/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        50           100          70
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2240                      2840
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      W 31
VENTILATION RATE      26880                     88040
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       7 POOR       24 FAIR
ADI LATE              30 FAIR      8 POOR       70 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            9            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
MAXIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-120015-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
314 AM EST SUN DEC 11 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            40           40
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          53           43           68
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    E  4         SE  4        SW  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  5         SW  4        SW 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                    2            2
INVERSION             44/1100      1800         61/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        44           100          70
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1890                      2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      W 24
VENTILATION RATE      22680                     60000
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       5 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              25 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  51 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            8            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
33 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
MAXIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
25 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-120015-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
314 AM EST SUN DEC 11 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           40           40
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          59           47           69
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  6        SE  6        SW  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  6         SW  5        SW  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2
INVERSION             50/1100      1800         65/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        56           100          69
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2150                      2730
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 14                      W 26
VENTILATION RATE      30100                     70980
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      6 VERY POOR  23 FAIR
ADI LATE              33 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  60 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            9            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-120015-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,
AND KINGSTREE
314 AM EST SUN DEC 11 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            30           30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          56           44           69
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  5        E  3         SW  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  6         SW  3        SW  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                    2            2
INVERSION             46/1100      1800         61/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        50           99           67
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1900                      2550
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      W 24
VENTILATION RATE      22800                     61200
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       5 VERY POOR  20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  57 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
35 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
MAXIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
NOT AS COOL. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-120015-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, AND NORTH HARTSVILLE
314 AM EST SUN DEC 11 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          50           41           65
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    E  4         NE  3        SW  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  5         SW  3        SW 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
INVERSION             43/1100      1800         58/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        47           100          69
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1910                      2180
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      W 22
VENTILATION RATE      15280                     47960
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       5 VERY POOR  13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              20 GEN POOR  2 VERY POOR  47 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
33 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
MAXIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
24 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40



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