Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 212014
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
314 PM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Mild weather will precede a cold front that will bring showers
mainly on Tuesday. After a brief cooldown behind the front the
late week period will once again feature a warming trend. The
next front and rain chances come Sunday.

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ087-096-099-221215-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
314 PM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40           40
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          39           67           55           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         SW 13 G27
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  8         S 11         SW 14 G30
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.07
Precip duration                                 1            2
Inversion             1800         59/1100      1800         62/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          50           100          40
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3240                      4540
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      SW 30
Ventilation rate                   58320                     136200
ADI early             2 Very poor  10 poor      10 poor      57 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  53 Gen good  13 Gen poor  88 Good
Max LVORI early       5            9            6            5
Max LVORI late        10           3            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ105>110-221215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
314 PM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30           60
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          39           67           55           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         SW 12 G27
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S 11         SW 13 G29
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.08
Precip duration                    1            1            2
Inversion             1800         59/1100      1800         61/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          54           100          48
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2760                      4270
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      SW 31
Ventilation rate                   49680                     132370
ADI early             2 Very poor  7 poor       9 poor       51 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  53 Gen good  12 poor      84 Good
Max LVORI early       6            10           7            5
Max LVORI late        10           3            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-221215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
314 PM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           40           50
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          40           67           56           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         LGT/VAR      S  8         SW 12 G24
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  8        S 11         SW 13 G25
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.06
Precip duration                    1            1            2
Inversion             1800         59/1100      1800         61/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          56           100          40
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2710                      4550
Transport wnd (mph)                S 17                      SW 28
Ventilation rate                   46070                     127400
ADI early             2 Very poor  10 poor      10 poor      42 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  42 Gen good  13 Gen poor  78 Good
Max LVORI early       6            10           7            5
Max LVORI late        10           3            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-221215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
314 PM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50           30
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          38           68           55           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  3        LGT/VAR      S  8         SW 12 G25
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S 12         SW 14 G29
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.04
Precip duration                                 2            2
Inversion             1800         58/1100      1800         60/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          50           100          38
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3420                      4540
Transport wnd (mph)                S 13                      SW 29
Ventilation rate                   44460                     131660
ADI early             2 Very poor  10 poor      10 poor      50 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  37 Fair      13 Gen poor  84 Good
Max LVORI early       5            9            6            5
Max LVORI late        10           3            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III



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