Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 270929
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
529 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH AND EVENTUALLY MOVE THROUGH
EASTERN KENTUCKY THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE SURGE OF
WARM AND HUMID AIR INTO THE REGION. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP
THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...LARGE HAIL...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-280230-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
529 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....119.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (119100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.22 - 0.57 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.08 - 0.28 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....121.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (121000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SPRINKLES POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE AT NIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS
AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JMW





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