Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 251020
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
520 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.DISCUSSION...

HOT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE MID SOUTH TODAY
AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. THIS
WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S.

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THEN FOLLOWED BY COOLER AND DRIER AIR.
HIGHS THIS WEEK WILL BE IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S WITH LOWS MAINLY IN
THE 50S TO AROUND 60 DEGREES.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-252315-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
520 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     10           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.09         0.04
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                   2            1
PRECIP BEGINS                      6 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                        CONTINUING   1 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      94 (0)       65 (-3)      75
RH % (24H TREND)      43 (+6)      91 (-5)      44
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   N 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    2452                      1362
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   8044                      4470
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    2538                      1449
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   8327                      4755
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  3                     N  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     N 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     7614                      8694
CATEGORY DAY          3                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 88                        70
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S  3                      N  8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S  7                      N 17
DISPERSION INDEX      23           37           47
LAL                   2            3            3
LASI                  3            3            3
STABILITY             B            E            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
36 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-252315-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
520 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     20           30           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.01         0.05         0.03
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      1            2            2
PRECIP BEGINS         1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      95 (+1)      69 (-1)      78
RH % (24H TREND)      40 (+3)      88 (-2)      46
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   N 7-11 G17
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    3085                      987
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   10120                     3238
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    3147                      1049
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   10324                     3443
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  1                     N  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  2                     N 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3147                      6294
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 90                        73
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SW  3                     N  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SW  6                     N 20
DISPERSION INDEX      12           26           52
LAL                   2            3            3
LASI                  4            3            2
STABILITY             B            E            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-252315-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
520 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            20           30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.06         0.05
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                   1            2
PRECIP BEGINS                      1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                        CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      94 (+2)      66 (+1)      74
RH % (24H TREND)      39 (-1)      94 (-6)      50
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   N 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 5-9
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    1921                      939
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6301                      3081
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    2044                      1060
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   6707                      3478
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   N  2                      N  5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      N 12
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     4088                      5300
CATEGORY DAY          3                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 86                        70
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  2                      N  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E  4                      N 16
DISPERSION INDEX      14           22           46
LAL                   1            3            3
LASI                  4            3            2
STABILITY             B            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-252315-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
520 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            20           30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.03         0.04
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                   1            2
PRECIP BEGINS                      1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                        CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      95 (+2)      67 (0)       77
RH % (24H TREND)      36 (-1)      92 (-3)      50
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   N 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    2422                      849
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   7945                      2786
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    2545                      971
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   8350                      3186
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   N  2                      N  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      N 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     5090                      5826
CATEGORY DAY          3                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 88                        72
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  2                      N  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E  6                      N 17
DISPERSION INDEX      22           12           48
LAL                   1            3            3
LASI                  4            4            2
STABILITY             B            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
36 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-252315-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
520 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     20           20           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.02         0.03
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                   1            2
PRECIP BEGINS                      6 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                        CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      96 (+1)      70 (+2)      82
RH % (24H TREND)      36 (+3)      89 (+1)      46
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   N 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    3236                      813
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   10617                     2668
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    3308                      885
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   10853                     2903
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NE  2                     N  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     N 17
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     6616                      7080
CATEGORY DAY          3                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 91                        77
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  3                      N  8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E  6                      N 18
DISPERSION INDEX      21           8            52
LAL                   2            2            3
LASI                  4            4            2
STABILITY             B            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
33 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-252315-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
520 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                2
PRECIP BEGINS                                   6 AM
PRECIP ENDS                                     6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      97 (+2)      69 (+1)      84
RH % (24H TREND)      31 (+1)      88 (-1)      47
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   N 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 5-9
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    2727                      865
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   8948                      2839
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    2852                      993
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   9356                      3259
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NE  4                     N  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     N 16
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     11408                     6951
CATEGORY DAY          4                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 90                        80
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  NE  3                     N  6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  NE  7                     N 13
DISPERSION INDEX      31           3            41
LAL                   1            2            3
LASI                  5            5            3
STABILITY             B            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
32 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$



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