Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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506
FNUS54 KMRX 110752
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
252 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Expect seasonal temperatures with plenty of sunshine
today, then a cold front will push through late tonight ushering in
another shot of colder air for Tuesday and Wednesday.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120900-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
252 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (+12)  30-35 (+8)   32-37
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (-1)   85-90 (0)    42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5 G17                 W 12 G30
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G18    SW  6 G19    W 14 G30
Precip type           NONE         snow showers showers
Chance precip (%)     0            20           30
Precip duration                    1            1
Precip begin                       4 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3800                      6900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1800                      4800
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     W 29
Dispersion            22 Fair                   122 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  6 G17                 W 16 G30
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G18    SW  7 G19    W 17 G30

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers.
Lows 10 to 19. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 20s to 30s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Not as
cool. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120900-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
252 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Clear        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (+13)  28-33 (+7)   30-35
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (+1)   91-96 (+7)   48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  8 G21                 W 16 G38
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G19    LGT/VAR      W 17 G39
Precip type           NONE         snow showers snow showers
Chance precip (%)     0            20           40
Precip duration                    1            1
Precip begin                       4 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3800                      6600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1100                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  9                     W 35
Dispersion            8 Poor                    115 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 10 G21                 W 20 G38
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G19    S  5         W 22 G39

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Lows 9 to
20. Northwest winds 5 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 20s to 30s. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 19 to 25. West winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Not as cool.
Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and showers. Lows
in the lower 20s. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-120900-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
252 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Clear        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (+14)  27-32 (+5)   31-36
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (+5)   90-95 (+2)   43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  8 G25                 NW 12 G29
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G24    S  7 G25     W 14 G35
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            40
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4100                      6000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1100                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     NW 28
Dispersion            10 Poor                   66 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW 10 G25                 NW 15 G29
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G24    S 10 G25     W 17 G35

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Slight chance of snow showers.
Lows 11 to 20. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 20s to lower 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs in the mid 30s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Not as cool.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-120900-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
252 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      51-56 (+15)  29-34 (+7)   34-39
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (+4)   92-97 (+2)   40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G19    S  5 G16     NW 12 G28
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    7 AM
Precip end                                      7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3200                      5400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1200                      3400
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     NW 23
Dispersion            11 Poor                   67 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  5                      NW 13 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G19    S  6 G16     NW 15 G28

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 16 to 23. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 20s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s to mid 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Not as cool.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-120900-
Nantahala National Forest-
252 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

CLOUD COVER           Clear        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+15)  28-33 (+8)   35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+2)   95-100 (+1)  44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G29
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW 14 G31
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5400
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   1400                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW 25
DISPERSION            10 Poor                   69 Good
MAX LVORI             7                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 14 G29
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW 17 G31

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 17 to 22. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Warmer. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid
50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120900-
East Tennessee District East-
252 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Clear        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (+13)  31-36 (+10)  34-39
RH % (24h trend)      42-47 (0)    89-94 (0)    40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   W 13 G30
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W 14 G31
Precip type           NONE         flurries     showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3200                      6000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1700                      4500
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     W 28
Dispersion            16 Gen poor               109 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   W 16 G30
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W 18 G31

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 10 to 21. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 20s to upper 30s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Not as cool. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120900-
East Tennessee District West-
252 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (+12)  31-36 (+6)   35-40
RH % (24h trend)      41-46 (+2)   84-89 (+1)   36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   W 10 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G17    SW  7 G20    W 12 G27
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    Continuing
Precip end                                      7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3100                      5200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1900                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     NW 23
Dispersion            24 Fair                   79 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     W 12 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G17    SW 10 G20    W 15 G27

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 16 to 22. West winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s to lower
30s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Highs
in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Not as cool.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-120900-
Cumberland District South-
252 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2017 /152 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      51-56 (+11)  31-36 (+6)   37-42
RH % (24h trend)      39-44 (+2)   84-89 (+3)   36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G21     SW  7 G18    NW 11 G26
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2900                      4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1800                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 14                     NW 23
Dispersion            21 Fair                   68 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     NW 13 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G21     SW  9 G18    NW 14 G26

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 18 to 26. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 30. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to mid 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs near 50. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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