Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 011421 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...

UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO
THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BRING
A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG WITH MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021530-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   52-57 (+2)   79-84
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-7)   95-100 (+6)  37-42
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW  6
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   21 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021530-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   49-54 (+1)   75-80
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-13)  95-100 (+11) 40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      6300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      W  5
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-021530-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   49-54 (0)    77-82
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  95-100 (+10) 39-44
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     W  7
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-021530-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   51-56 (+1)   80-85
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-7)   95-100 (+8)  40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     SW  7
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   23 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-021530-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   49-54 (+2)   79-84
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-6)   95-100 (+4)  40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      6700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      SW  6
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               23 FAIR
MAX LVORI             5                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021530-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   51-56 (+1)   81-86
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-10)  95-100 (+10) 37-42
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      SW  3
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021530-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   54-59 (+2)   81-86
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-5)   95-100 (+9)  38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  2                      SW  7
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   26 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021530-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   55-60 (+2)   82-87
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   95-100 (+6)  40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  2                     SW  9
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    33 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$



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