Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 281948
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
248 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEKEND AND CARRY ON INTO THE WORK WEEK. REMAINING IN A FAIRLY
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN...THE CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT RAINFALL RETURNS
TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON SUNDAY...WITH HEAVIER RAINS
EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-012100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
248 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+18)  46-51 (+3)   34-39        41-46
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-1)   59-64 (+26)  92-97        44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      NW  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.10         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NW 14
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    35 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G15                  NW  8 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SW  6        SW  5        N  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-012100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+16)  46-51 (+7)   35-40        43-48
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-6)   55-60 (+19)  90-95        43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G21                  NW  9 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      W  6 G15     NW  5
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           50           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.06         0.09
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     NW 17
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               41 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G27                  NW 11 G24
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G19    W  5         W  7 G19     NW  7 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. MUCH COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-012100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
248 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+14)  48-53 (+7)   36-41        45-50
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   60-65 (+16)  91-96        47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G24                  NW  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     SW  5        SW  5 G17    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           50           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.06         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      5000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     N 12
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G30                  NW  7 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     SW  7 G17    SW  7 G21    N  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. MUCH COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-012100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+13)  45-50 (0)    38-43        49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+1)   69-74 (+26)  93-98        49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  N  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           50           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.06         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      N 13
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               24 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G20                  N  8 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-012100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+10)  47-52 (0)    38-43        51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  67-72 (+22)  94-99        49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     N  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           50           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.06         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      4700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      N 13
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               26 FAIR
MAX LVORI                          7                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G16                 N  8 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 60.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-012100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
248 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+15)  49-54 (+6)   36-41        44-49
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+4)   48-53 (+11)  91-96        44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.08         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     NW 10
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               29 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-012100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
248 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+14)  47-52 (+3)   36-41        44-49
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+4)   57-62 (+19)  91-96        51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           50           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.08         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2000                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     N 12
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    29 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS...SNOW AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-012100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
248 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+13)  46-51 (-2)   37-42        46-51
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+5)   62-67 (+28)  93-98        56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           50           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.07         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2000                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      N 13
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    27 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      N  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH COLDER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 50.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$


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