Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 200147 AAA
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...UPDATED
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
947 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
For the rest of the week, dry weather with gradually
warming temperatures can be expected. The next significant chance of
rain will arrive Sunday night and Monday.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210300-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
947 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (-1)   71-76 (+2)   43-48        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+8)  27-32 (-3)   89-94        30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4500                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)                N  2                      S  7
Dispersion                         5 Very poor               16 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210300-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
947 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (-4)   69-74 (+2)   44-49        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+5)   27-32 (-3)   81-86        34-39
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      5300
Transport wnd (mph)                N  3                      S  8
Dispersion                         7 Poor                    17 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s
to lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-210300-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
947 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (-6)   68-73 (+2)   45-50        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+5)   29-34 (-2)   71-76        32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4400                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  3                     S  6
Dispersion                         3 Very poor               7 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s
to lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s to 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-210300-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
947 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (0)    72-77 (+2)   44-49        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+5)  29-34 (+1)   87-92        34-39
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3800                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  1                     SE  9
Dispersion                         2 Very poor               16 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southeast winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-210300-
Nantahala National Forest-
947 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Clear        Clear        MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+1)   73-78 (+2)   42-47        71-76
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  29-34 (+3)   92-97        35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      SE  9
DISPERSION                         7 Poor                    17 Gen poor
MAX LVORI                          6                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s
to lower 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210300-
East Tennessee District East-
947 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (-2)   73-78 (+3)   44-49        74-79
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  27-32 (-4)   88-93        30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3700                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  3                     SE  5
Dispersion                         6 Very poor               12 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s
to lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210300-
East Tennessee District West-
947 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (-1)   73-78 (+4)   45-50        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  29-34 (-3)   89-94        32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3400                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)                E  3                      S  6
Dispersion                         6 Very poor               14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-210300-
Cumberland District South-
947 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017 /847 PM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017/

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (-1)   73-78 (+3)   46-51        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+5)  28-33 (-2)   89-94        37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3300                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)                E  3                      S 10
Dispersion                         6 Very poor               26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of rain. Highs in the 60s
to upper 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows near 60.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$


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