Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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FNUS55 KPSR 271121
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
421 AM MST Mon Feb 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will approach the region for tonight. Meanwhile an
abundant amount of subtropical moisture will spread into the area
ahead of the front, with a few showers developing this afternoon,
along with general rainfall tonight. Most of the rain will develop
in southwest and south central Arizona. Decreasing rain from west
to east is expected Tuesday. Below normal temperatures will develop
through Tuesday. Minimum relative humidity will increase into the
50 to 60 percent range today, declining into the 30 to 40 percent
range Tuesday after the cold front. Fair overnight recovery.


Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-272330-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
421 AM MST Mon Feb 27 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of
  showers in the morning becoming chance of showers in the
  afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................59-68.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................44-58 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................25 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................50 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......5200 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 13 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Cloudy. Showers in the evening
  becoming showers likely after midnight.
* Min Temperature.................46-56.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Max Humidity....................83-100 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................80 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers .
* Max Temperature.................58-65.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................28-39 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................18 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................30 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......6700 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 15 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 41-51. Highs 63-69. North winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 42-52. Highs 70-75. North winds 5 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 46-56. Highs 73-79. Northeast winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49-59. Highs 75-81.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 74-79.

$$

AZZ133-272330-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
421 AM MST Mon Feb 27 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of
  showers in the morning becoming chance of showers in the
  afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................52-63.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................37-56 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................19 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................40 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Cloudy. Showers.
* Min Temperature.................38-48.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Max Humidity....................89-100 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................90 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers in the
  morning becoming chance of showers in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................46-60.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................39-55 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 10 to 20 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................90 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 29-44. Highs 52-66. Northeast winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 32-48. Highs 58-72. Northeast winds 5 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 35-50. Highs 61-75. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 39-52. Highs 64-77.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 38-52. Highs 64-76.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-272330-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
421 AM MST Mon Feb 27 2017 /321 AM PST Mon Feb 27 2017/

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of
  showers in the morning becoming showers likely in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................62-67.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................46-52 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................19 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................60 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........6600 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 17 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers.
* Min Temperature.................48-52.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................80-89 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................70 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers in the morning.
* Max Temperature.................62-66.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................26-31 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................22 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning
  becoming 0 percent in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........5300 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........Northwest 9 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 42-50. Highs 66-70. North winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 44-53. Highs 72-76. North winds 5 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 48-54. Highs 77-81. North winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50-56. Highs 79-83.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52-56. Highs 78-82.

$$

CAZ230-272330-
Joshua Tree National Park-
321 AM PST Mon Feb 27 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers
  .
* Max Temperature.................50-59.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................48-55 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................17 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................40 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening
  becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers in the
  evening becoming slight chance of showers after midnight.
* Min Temperature.................35-43.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Max Humidity....................76-89 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 10 to 20 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................40 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................49-62.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................20-30 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................27 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 36-45. Highs 53-66. North winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 39-47. Highs 59-72. North winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 42-51. Highs 64-76. North winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-52. Highs 67-78.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-52. Highs 66-77.

$$

CAZ232-272330-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
321 AM PST Mon Feb 27 2017

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of
  showers in the morning becoming showers likely in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................58-65.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................48-59 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................21 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................60 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Cloudy in the evening becoming
  partly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers.
* Min Temperature.................44-51.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................77-93 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................10 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................60 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................60-68.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................22-28 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................29 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 43-49. Highs 64-72. North winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 45-52. Highs 70-76. North winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 47-54. Highs 75-79. North winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49-56. Highs 76-81.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51-56. Highs 75-80.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Monday March 6th through Wednesday March
8th: Above normal temperatures and below median precipitation.



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