Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 282250
FWLLOX

ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
250 PM PST FRI NOV 28 2014

ECC029-291700-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
250 PM PST FRI NOV 28 2014

...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD...

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

...POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT RAIN TUESDAY...

THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...ONSHORE FLOW WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA...RESULTING IN COOLER CONDITIONS.
WITH  THE COOLER TEMPERATURES...HUMIDITY WILL BE HIGHER...BUT STILL
REMAIN AT LOW LEVELS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SO WITH SOME GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...THERE WILL STILL BE AN ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERN IN THE MOUNTAINS.

BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...A WEAK SYSTEM WILL SWEEP ACROSS
THE AREA...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT RAIN TO ALL AREAS
ALONG WITH SOME GUSTY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH ALTHOUGH NORTHERN
PARTS OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY COULD RECEIVE A BIT MORE.

DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...THERE WILL BE A BRIEF LULL WITH DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. HOWEVER BY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...A RATHER
POTENT STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA. THE COMPUTER
PROJECTIONS ARE COMING INTO SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT...SO
CONFIDENCE IN A SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT HAS INCREASED. DURING THE DAY
ON TUESDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND
GUSTY  SOUTHERLY WINDS TO THE AREA. BEHIND THE FRONT...SHOWERS CAN
BE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. PRELIMINARY RAINFALL
ESTIMATES FOR THIS STORM RANGE FROM ONE HALF TO ONE INCH FOR COASTAL
AREAS TO BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD CHANGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AS THE AREA GETS CLOSER TO THE EVENT.


...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY...

RAIN WILL SPREAD GRADUALLY SOUTH ACROSS THE DISTRICT FRIDAY NIGHT
AND INTO SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE SAN
FRANCISCO BAY AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. PERIODS
OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK IN
THE WET WEATHER ON MONDAY BEFORE ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM BRINGS MORE
SOAKING RAINS TO THE DISTRICT FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TO MODERATE THROUGH SUNDAY
BUT THEN INCREASE BY SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN LOCALLY STRONG AND
GUSTY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR THE COAST AND
IN THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS.

NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



$$

ECC028-291700-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
250 PM PST FRI NOV 28 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

...POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT RAIN TUESDAY...

THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...ONSHORE FLOW WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA...RESULTING IN COOLER CONDITIONS.
WITH  THE COOLER TEMPERATURES...HUMIDITY WILL BE HIGHER...BUT STILL
REMAIN AT LOW LEVELS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SO WITH SOME GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...THERE WILL STILL BE AN ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERN IN THE MOUNTAINS.

BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...A WEAK SYSTEM WILL SWEEP ACROSS
THE AREA...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT RAIN TO ALL AREAS
ALONG WITH SOME GUSTY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH ALTHOUGH NORTHERN
PARTS OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY COULD RECEIVE A BIT MORE.

DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...THERE WILL BE A BRIEF LULL WITH DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. HOWEVER BY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...A RATHER
POTENT STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA. THE COMPUTER
PROJECTIONS ARE COMING INTO SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT...SO
CONFIDENCE IN A SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT HAS INCREASED. DURING THE DAY
ON TUESDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND
GUSTY  SOUTHERLY WINDS TO THE AREA. BEHIND THE FRONT...SHOWERS CAN
BE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. PRELIMINARY RAINFALL
ESTIMATES FOR THIS STORM RANGE FROM ONE HALF TO ONE INCH FOR COASTAL
AREAS TO BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD CHANGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AS THE AREA GETS CLOSER TO THE EVENT.


$$

ECC031-291700-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
250 PM PST FRI NOV 28 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

...POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT RAIN TUESDAY...

THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...ONSHORE FLOW WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA...RESULTING IN COOLER CONDITIONS.
WITH  THE COOLER TEMPERATURES...HUMIDITY WILL BE HIGHER...BUT STILL
REMAIN AT LOW LEVELS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SO WITH SOME GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...THERE WILL STILL BE AN ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERN IN THE MOUNTAINS.

BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...A WEAK SYSTEM WILL SWEEP ACROSS
THE AREA...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT RAIN TO ALL AREAS
ALONG WITH SOME GUSTY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH ALTHOUGH NORTHERN
PARTS OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY COULD RECEIVE A BIT MORE.

DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...THERE WILL BE A BRIEF LULL WITH DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. HOWEVER BY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...A RATHER
POTENT STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA. THE COMPUTER
PROJECTIONS ARE COMING INTO SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT...SO
CONFIDENCE IN A SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT HAS INCREASED. DURING THE DAY
ON TUESDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND
GUSTY  SOUTHERLY WINDS TO THE AREA. BEHIND THE FRONT...SHOWERS CAN
BE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. PRELIMINARY RAINFALL
ESTIMATES FOR THIS STORM RANGE FROM ONE HALF TO ONE INCH FOR COASTAL
AREAS TO BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD CHANGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AS THE AREA GETS CLOSER TO THE EVENT.


$$

ECC024-291700-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR...SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
250 PM PST FRI NOV 28 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

...POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT RAIN TUESDAY...

THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...ONSHORE FLOW WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA...RESULTING IN COOLER CONDITIONS.
WITH  THE COOLER TEMPERATURES...HUMIDITY WILL BE HIGHER...BUT STILL
REMAIN AT LOW LEVELS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SO WITH SOME GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...THERE WILL STILL BE AN ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERN IN THE MOUNTAINS.

BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...A WEAK SYSTEM WILL SWEEP ACROSS
THE AREA...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT RAIN TO ALL AREAS
ALONG WITH SOME GUSTY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH ALTHOUGH NORTHERN
PARTS OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY COULD RECEIVE A BIT MORE.

DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...THERE WILL BE A BRIEF LULL WITH DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. HOWEVER BY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...A RATHER
POTENT STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA. THE COMPUTER
PROJECTIONS ARE COMING INTO SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT...SO
CONFIDENCE IN A SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT HAS INCREASED. DURING THE DAY
ON TUESDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND
GUSTY  SOUTHERLY WINDS TO THE AREA. BEHIND THE FRONT...SHOWERS CAN
BE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. PRELIMINARY RAINFALL
ESTIMATES FOR THIS STORM RANGE FROM ONE HALF TO ONE INCH FOR COASTAL
AREAS TO BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD CHANGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AS THE AREA GETS CLOSER TO THE EVENT.


$$

ECC032-291700-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
250 PM PST FRI NOV 28 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

...POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT RAIN TUESDAY...

THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...ONSHORE FLOW WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA...RESULTING IN COOLER CONDITIONS.
WITH  THE COOLER TEMPERATURES...HUMIDITY WILL BE HIGHER...BUT STILL
REMAIN AT LOW LEVELS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SO WITH SOME GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...THERE WILL STILL BE AN ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERN IN THE MOUNTAINS.

BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...A WEAK SYSTEM WILL SWEEP ACROSS
THE AREA...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT RAIN TO ALL AREAS
ALONG WITH SOME GUSTY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH ALTHOUGH NORTHERN
PARTS OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY COULD RECEIVE A BIT MORE.

DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...THERE WILL BE A BRIEF LULL WITH DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. HOWEVER BY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...A RATHER
POTENT STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA. THE COMPUTER
PROJECTIONS ARE COMING INTO SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT...SO
CONFIDENCE IN A SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT HAS INCREASED. DURING THE DAY
ON TUESDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND
GUSTY  SOUTHERLY WINDS TO THE AREA. BEHIND THE FRONT...SHOWERS CAN
BE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. PRELIMINARY RAINFALL
ESTIMATES FOR THIS STORM RANGE FROM ONE HALF TO ONE INCH FOR COASTAL
AREAS TO BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD CHANGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AS THE AREA GETS CLOSER TO THE EVENT.


$$

ECC030-291700-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
250 PM PST FRI NOV 28 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

...POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT RAIN TUESDAY...

THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...ONSHORE FLOW WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA...RESULTING IN COOLER CONDITIONS.
WITH  THE COOLER TEMPERATURES...HUMIDITY WILL BE HIGHER...BUT STILL
REMAIN AT LOW LEVELS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SO WITH SOME GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...THERE WILL STILL BE AN ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERN IN THE MOUNTAINS.

BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...A WEAK SYSTEM WILL SWEEP ACROSS
THE AREA...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT RAIN TO ALL AREAS
ALONG WITH SOME GUSTY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH ALTHOUGH NORTHERN
PARTS OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY COULD RECEIVE A BIT MORE.

DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...THERE WILL BE A BRIEF LULL WITH DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. HOWEVER BY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...A RATHER
POTENT STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA. THE COMPUTER
PROJECTIONS ARE COMING INTO SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT...SO
CONFIDENCE IN A SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT HAS INCREASED. DURING THE DAY
ON TUESDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND
GUSTY  SOUTHERLY WINDS TO THE AREA. BEHIND THE FRONT...SHOWERS CAN
BE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. PRELIMINARY RAINFALL
ESTIMATES FOR THIS STORM RANGE FROM ONE HALF TO ONE INCH FOR COASTAL
AREAS TO BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD CHANGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AS THE AREA GETS CLOSER TO THE EVENT.


$$






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