Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000
FNUS71 KAKQ 181102
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR 11AB-1 BURN...U.S. ARMY, FORT A.P. HILL FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
702 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH OFF TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES THIS
MORNING...MAINTAINING A COOL NORTHEAST FLOW ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA. A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO TODAY...TO OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR RAIN TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH FROM EASTERN CANADA SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............88  88  88  66  66  66  64  64  64  72  72  72
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................33  34  38  41  45  49  50  52  53  55  56  56
RH..................92  85  85  76  68  58  54  50  48  45  43  43
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   7   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   NE  E   E   E   E   SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   8   8   7   7   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   2   2   4   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   9
LVORI...............5   4   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................9   6   6   4   8   9   10  11  10  10  12  12
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............80  80  80  83  83  83  83  83  83  82  82  82
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................54  53  51  49  48  46  46  45  45  44  44  43
RH..................49  52  59  66  68  76  76  82  82  86  86  89
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.6 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   6   7   6   5   3   2   1   1   1   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....7   5   1   1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1
LVORI...............2   2   3   3   3   4   4   6   6   6   6   7
ADI.................10  7   7   6   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (55-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-3300 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 1 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 1 TO 9 MPH
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 10 TO
                    14 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............79  79  79  70  70  70  57  57  57  44  44  44
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................44  45  46  50  53  57  59  62  64  65  65  66
RH..................86  86  83  71  64  55  51  44  41  40  38  37
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.3
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   2   3   3   5   6   7   8   8   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   10  10  15  15  15  15  15
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....1   1   1   5   9   13  14  14  13  12  12  10
VRATE KT-FT/1000....0   0   0   2   6   12  19  26  31  30  30  29
LVORI...............5   6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
ADI.................1   0   1   2   10  17  24  27  29  38  36  35
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5



FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140418.11AB1.01/AKQ






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