Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FNUS74 KAMA 252041
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR MULBERRY...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
341 PM CDT MON JUL 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1531 CDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH EVENING HOURS, THOUGH
WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS ARE NOT EXPECTED DUE TO THE ISOLATED NATURE
OF STORMS. CURRENT THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE WILDFIRE WILL KEEP WINDS
GUSTY AND ERRATIC OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...BUT WINDS SHOULD
EVENTUALLY SETTLE OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH
AFTER 5PM.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6
                    TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............95     90     82     79     76     74
RH..............33     39     51     59     67     74
20 FT WIND......E 10   SE 12  SE 10  E 9    E 8    NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     30     30     30     30     30
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      2      2

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............72     75     81     87     90     92
RH..............79     72     60     48     43     39
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 5    SE 5   SE 6   SE 7   SE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.                     10     10     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     30
HAINES INDEX....2      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...ELSENHEIMER
REQUESTED BY...ABILENE DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160725.MULBE.01/AMA


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