Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 201359
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR 26B...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
747 AM MDT MON OCT 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0745 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY TODAY WITH THE UPPER
RIDGE OVERHEAD.  SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE INCREASING TODAY AS A
SURFACE TROUGH DEEPENS ALONG THE LEE SIDE OF THE ROCKIES.  SOUTH
WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY. A
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.  DISPERSAL
WILL LIKELY ONLY GET UP INTO THE GOOD CATEGORY WITH THE RIDGE
OVERHEAD...BUT SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL HELP.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........24%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTH 5-10
                    MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7400-8400 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........68%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(60-65%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........24%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 8700-9700 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300. GOOD AFTER 1400.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR 26B.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/20-07  0  0  0 45 73   S  3  5 3 1 SSW  7   624 SSW  6  3373 P
10/20-08  2  0  0 49 65   S  3  5 3 1 SSW  6   736 SSW  7  4287 P
10/20-09  4  0  0 55 53   S  5  5 3 1 SSW  6   847 SSW  7  5201 P
10/20-10  6  0  0 61 42   S  5  5 3 1 SSW  6  2810 SSW  9 32290 P
10/20-11  6  0  0 66 34   S  5  5 3 1 SSW  7  4773 SSW 13 59380  F
10/20-12  9  0  0 70 29 SSE  6  6 3 1 SSW  7  6736   S 15 86470   G
10/20-13 12  1  0 73 26 SSE  7  7 3 1 SSW  8  7590   S 14 88423   G
10/20-14 12  1  0 75 24 SSE  8  8 3 1  SW  9  8445   S 13 90375   G
10/20-15 13  1  0 75 24 SSE  9 14 3 1  SW  9  9300   S 12 92328   G
10/20-16 15  1  0 74 26 SSE  9  9 3 1  SW  9  8184   S 13 85367   G
10/20-17 16  1  0 72 28 SSE  8  8 3 1  SW  8  7068   S 13 78406   G
10/20-18 17  1  0 69 32 SSE  8  8 3 1 WSW  7  5952   S 14 71445   G
10/20-19 17  1  0 65 37 SSE  8  8 3 1  SW  7  4276   S 16 52977  F
10/20-20 17  0  0 61 44   S  9 14 3 1  SW  7  2600   S 18 34508 P
10/20-21 16  0  0 57 51   S 10 16 3 1 SSW  7   924   S 20 16040 P
10/20-22 15  0  0 54 57   S 12 16 3 1 SSW  7   815   S 20 14196 P
10/20-23 13  0  0 53 59   S 12 17 3 1 SSW  8   707   S 20 12352 P
10/21-00 12  0  0 52 61   S 12 17 3 1 SSW  8   599   S 21 10509 P
10/21-01 13  0  0 51 63   S 12 16 3 1 SSW  9   591 SSW 20 10137 P
10/21-02 15  0  0 50 66 SSW 10 15 3 1 SSW 10   583 SSW 20  9766 P
10/21-03 17  0  0 50 68 SSW  9  9 3 1 SSW 12   575 SSW 18  9394 P
10/21-04 19  0  0 49 67 SSW  8  8 3 1 SSW 12   580 SSW 15  7864 P
10/21-05 21  0  0 48 68 SSW  8  8 3 1  SW 13   586  SW 13  6333 P
10/21-06 23  0  0 48 68  SW  7  7 3 1  SW 13   591  SW  9  4803 P
10/21-07 23  0  0 50 63  SW  6  6 3 1  SW 13   766 WSW  8  5126 P
10/21-08 23  0  0 53 59 SSW  6  6 3 1  SW 12   942 WSW  7  5450 P
10/21-09 34  0  0 57 53 SSW  5  5 3 1  SW 12  1118 WSW  6  5773 P
10/21-10 34  0  0 62 44 SSW  3  3 3 1  SW 13  3024 WSW  6 14864 P
10/21-11 34  0  0 67 36   S  3  3 3 1  SW 14  4931 WSW  6 23954 P
10/21-12 61  3  1 71 31   S  3  3 3 1  SW 15  6837 WSW  6 33045 P
10/21-13 61  3  1 75 26   S  5  5 3 1  SW 16  7830  SW  7 46567  F
10/21-14 61  3  1 77 24 SSE  5  5 3 1  SW 18  8824 SSW  8 60090   G
10/21-15 61  4  1 77 24 SSE  6  6 3 1  SW 20  9817   S  8 73613   G
10/21-16 61  4  1 76 26 SSE  6  6 3 1  SW 21  9156   S 10 81932   G
10/21-17 61  4  1 73 30 SSE  6  6 3 1  SW 22  8496   S 13 90251   G
10/21-18 72 13  3 70 35 SSE  5  5 3 2  SW 22  7835   S 15 98570   G
10/21-19 72 13  3 66 42   S  6  6 3 2  SW 22  5730   S 12 68079   G
10/21-20 72 13  3 63 46 SSW  7  7 3 2  SW 22  3625  SW  8 37588 P
10/21-21 72 13  3 60 53 SSW  7  7 3 2 SSW 22  1520 WSW  6  7097 P
10/21-22 72 13  3 57 59  SW  7  7 3 2 SSW 20  1323  SW  6  6158 P
10/21-23 72 13  3 55 66  SW  6  6 3 2  SW 18  1127 SSW  6  5218 P
10/22-00 77 16  3 54 69  SW  6  6 3 1  SW 16   931 SSW  6  4279 P
10/22-01 77 16  3 53 71  SW  6  6 3 1 SSW 16   842  SW  6  3868 P
10/22-02 77 16  3 51 77  SW  6  6 3 1 SSW 16   752 WSW  6  3456 P
10/22-03 77 16  3 50 80 SSW  6  6 3 1 SSW 15   663   W  6  3044 P
10/22-04 77 16  3 49 83 SSW  6  6 3 1 SSW 14   680   W  6  3226 P
10/22-05 77 16  3 49 80 SSW  5  5 3 1 SSW 13   698   W  6  3407 P
10/22-06 67 17  3 49 80 SSW  5  5 3 1   S 12   716   W  6  3589 P
10/22-07 67 17  3 50 77 SSW  5  5 3 1 SSW 14  1655   W  6  8613 P
10/22-08 67 17  3 51 77 SSW  3  3 2 1 SSW 15  2594   W  6 13637 P
10/22-09 67 17  3 53 71 SSW  3  3 2 1  SW 16  3533 WNW  6 18662 P
10/22-10 67 17  3 56 62   S  3  3 2 1  SW 20  4127   W  6 21023 P
10/22-11 67 17  3 58 55 SSE  3  3 3 1 WSW 22  4720   W  6 23384 P
10/22-12 65 17  3 60 49  SE  3  3 3 2   W 25  5313   W  6 25745 P
10/22-13 65 17  3 62 46   S  5  5 3 2   W 28  5743   W  5 24809 P
10/22-14 65 17  3 62 44 WSW  5  5 3 2   W 30  6172 WSW  5 23874 P
10/22-15 65 17  3 62 46 WNW  6  6 3 2   W 33  6601  SW  3 22939 P
10/22-16 65 17  3 61 48 WSW  6  6 3 2   W 30  4990   S  3 17044 P
10/22-17 65 17  3 59 51 SSE  5  5 3 2   W 28  3378   E  3 11149 P
10/22-18 43  8  2 57 55 ESE  5  5 3 1 WSW 24  1767 ENE  3  5255 P
10/22-19 43  8  2 54 61  SE  5  5 3 1 WSW 23  1468 ENE  3  4076 P
10/22-20 43  8  2 51 68   S  3  3 3 1 WSW 22  1170   E  2  2897 P
10/22-21 43  8  2 49 71 SSW  3  3 3 1   W 21   871   E  2  1718 P
10/22-22 43  8  2 47 76  SW  3  3 3 1   W 22   755  SE  2  1407 P
10/22-23 43  8  2 45 82  SW  5  5 3 1   W 23   638 SSW  2  1097 P
10/23-00 25  1  0 44 82  SW  5  5 3 1   W 25   522 WSW  2   786 P
10/23-01 25  1  0 43 82  SW  5  5 3 1   W 22   512   W  3  1447 P
10/23-02 25  1  0 43 82  SW  5  5 2 1   W 18   501   W  5  2109 P
10/23-03 25  1  0 42 82  SW  5  5 2 1   W 16   491   W  7  2770 P
10/23-04 25  1  0 42 79  SW  3  3 2 1   W 17   506   W  7  2843 P
10/23-05 25  1  0 42 79  SW  3  3 2 1   W 18   521   W  7  2915 P
10/23-06 10  0  0 43 73  SW  3  3 2 1   W 20   535   W  7  2988 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT WHITEAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.26B__.01/BOU



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