Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 280938
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SPOT FORECAST FOR MORGAN GULCH CUTTING PROJECT...CRAIG DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
329 AM MDT THU MAY 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1715 MDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN
0900 AND 1200.  FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0900...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........39%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    WEST 9-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    0900.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 8500-9500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY
                    GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........91%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900-7900 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1400-2400 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 2300.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MORGAN GULCH CUTTING PROJECT.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

05/28-03 61 10  2 36 89   S  6  6 3 1 WSW 28  1093  SW  9  8321 P
05/28-04 61 10  2 35 89   S  5  5 3 1 WSW 36  1087  SW  8  7753 P
05/28-05 61 10  2 33 93   S  3  3 2 1 WSW 41  1081 WSW  8  7189 P
05/28-06 65 15  3 33 92   S  3  3 2 1 WSW 45  1076 WSW  7  6631 P
05/28-07 65 15  3 36 85 SSW  3  3 2 1 WSW 45  2208 WSW 10 18922 P
05/28-08 65 15  3 40 76 WSW  5  5 2 1 WSW 43  3340 WSW 13 36661 P
05/28-09 69 20  4 46 63 WSW  6  6 2 3 WSW 39  4472 WSW 15 59847  F
05/28-10 69 20  4 51 52   W  7  7 2 3 WSW 37  6276 WSW 17 96513   G
05/28-11 69 20  4 55 44   W  9 14 2 3 WSW 33  8081 WSW 20140377    V
05/28-12 82 33 12 58 39   W 10 16 2 4 WSW 31  9885 WSW 22191441     E
05/28-13 82 33 12 58 39   W 12 18 2 4 WSW 29  9589 WSW 21176500     E
05/28-14 82 33 12 57 41   W 13 20 3 4 WSW 28  9294   W 20162128     E
05/28-15 90 41 18 55 45   W 13 21 3 4 WSW 25  8999   W 18148324    V
05/28-16 90 41 18 54 47   W 12 18 3 4 WSW 24  8632   W 17133434    V
05/28-17 90 41 18 53 48   W 10 17 3 4 WSW 24  8265   W 16119296    V
05/28-18 76 34 13 51 52   W  9 15 3 2   W 23  7898   W 15105910    V
05/28-19 76 34 13 49 57   W  9 14 3 2 WSW 21  6894   W 16 94675   G
05/28-20 76 34 13 46 65   W  8 14 3 2 WSW 20  5889   W 16 82790   G
05/28-21 76 32 11 44 70   W  8 13 3 2 WSW 20  4885   W 16 70255   G
05/28-22 76 32 11 42 75 WSW  7  7 3 2   W 23  4056   W 15 52175  F
05/28-23 76 32 11 40 78  SW  6  6 2 2   W 28  3227   W 13 36612 P
05/29-00 64 18  4 39 79  SW  5  5 2 1 WNW 31  2398 WSW 12 23566 P
05/29-01 64 18  4 37 84  SW  5  5 2 1 WNW 31  2141   W 10 19328 P
05/29-02 64 18  4 36 86 WSW  5  5 3 1 WNW 30  1885   W  9 15501 P
05/29-03 64 18  4 35 89 WSW  5  5 3 1 WNW 28  1628   W  8 12086 P
05/29-04 64 18  4 34 90 WSW  5  5 3 1 WNW 28  1522   W  8  9957 P
05/29-05 64 18  4 33 91  SW  3  3 2 1 WNW 26  1416 WSW  7  8016 P
05/29-06 66 23  5 34 85  SW  3  3 2 1 WNW 25  1310 WSW  6  6260 P
05/29-07 66 23  5 36 83  SW  5  5 2 1 WNW 23  2854   W  8 19554 P
05/29-08 66 23  5 41 72   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 20  4397   W 10 39251 P
05/29-09 73 39 17 45 63   W  6  6 2 2 WNW 17  5941 WNW 13 65266   G
05/29-10 73 39 17 50 50   W  7  7 2 2 WNW 16  7075 WNW 13 78431   G
05/29-11 73 39 17 54 41 WNW  7  7 2 2 WNW 16  8208 WNW 13 91823   G
05/29-12 87 40 18 57 36 WNW  8 13 2 3 WNW 15  9342 WNW 13105443    V
05/29-13 87 40 18 58 34 WNW  9 14 2 3 WNW 16  9425 WNW 14110262    V
05/29-14 87 40 18 58 34  NW  9 15 2 3   W 17  9507 WNW 14115149    V
05/29-15 87 40 18 57 36  NW  9 15 2 3   W 17  9589 WNW 15120104    V
05/29-16 87 40 18 57 36  NW  8 14 2 3 WNW 18  9234 WNW 14112196    V
05/29-17 87 40 18 56 38  NW  7  7 2 3 WNW 18  8880 WNW 14104554    V
05/29-18 86 29  8 55 40  NW  6  6 2 2 WNW 18  8525 WNW 13 97179   G
05/29-19 86 29  8 52 44 NNW  5  5 2 2  NW 17  7571 WNW 10 68566   G
05/29-20 86 29  8 50 48   N  3  3 2 2  NW 15  6617 WNW  8 44424  F
05/29-21 86 29  8 47 54   N  2  2 2 2  NW 13  5663  NW  5 24752 P
05/29-22 86 29  8 44 62  NE  2  2 2 2  NW 12  4412   W  5 18139 P
05/29-23 86 29  8 42 71 ESE  3  3 2 2  NW  9  3161 SSW  5 12176 P
05/30-00 43  6  1 40 79  SE  3  3 2 1  NW  8  1911 SSE  5  6862 P
05/30-01 43  6  1 40 79  SE  3  3 2 1 WNW  9  1670   S  3  5308 P
05/30-02 43  6  1 39 81 SSE  3  3 2 1 WNW  9  1429   S  3  3952 P
05/30-03 43  6  1 38 82 SSE  3  3 2 1 WNW 10  1188   S  2  2795 P
05/30-04 43  6  1 36 86 SSE  3  3 2 1 WNW 12  1154   S  2  2858 P
05/30-05 43  6  1 34 90 SSE  3  3 2 1  NW 14  1119 SSW  3  2912 P
05/30-06 31  9  2 34 89 SSE  3  3 2 1  NW 16  1084 SSW  3  2957 P
05/30-07 31  9  2 36 82   S  3  3 2 1  NW 15  1850  SW  3  6235 P
05/30-08 31  9  2 40 71 SSW  3  3 2 1  NW 15  2615 WSW  5 10498 P
05/30-09 31  4  1 45 60  SW  3  3 2 1  NW 14  3381   W  6 15745 P
05/30-10 31  4  1 49 52 WSW  3  3 2 1  NW 14  4969   W  7 28336 P
05/30-11 31  4  1 54 44   W  5  5 2 1  NW 13  6558 WNW  8 44245  F
05/30-12 61 12  2 57 40   W  5  5 2 2 WNW 13  8147 WNW  9 63474   G
05/30-13 61 12  2 60 37   W  6  6 2 2 WNW 13  9039 WNW  9 75260   G
05/30-14 61 12  2 61 36   W  6  6 3 2 WNW 13  9930   W 10 88001   G
05/30-15 61 12  2 63 34   W  7  7 3 2   W 13 10822   W 10101697    V
05/30-16 61 12  2 63 34   W  7  7 3 2   W 13 10392   W 10 96889   G
05/30-17 61 12  2 63 35   W  7  7 3 2   W 13  9963   W 10 92144   G
05/30-18 48  9  2 61 38 WNW  7  7 3 1   W 13  9534   W 10 87464   G
05/30-19 48  9  2 58 42   W  6  6 3 1   W 13  7479   W  9 58154  F
05/30-20 48  9  2 55 47   W  5  5 3 1   W 13  5424   W  7 34591 P
05/30-21 48  9  2 52 52 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 14  3369 WSW  6 16775 P
05/30-22 48  9  2 49 59 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 16  2581 WSW  6 12798 P
05/30-23 48  9  2 47 63 SSW  3  3 2 1   W 20  1792 WSW  6  8853 P
05/31-00 46  1  0 46 65   S  3  3 2 1   W 22  1004 WSW  6  4939 P
05/31-01 46  1  0 44 69   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 23  1050 WSW  6  5517 P
05/31-02 46  1  0 42 72   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 24  1096 WSW  7  6126 P
05/31-03 46  1  0 40 76   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 25  1142 WSW  7  6766 P
05/31-04 46  1  0 38 80 SSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 23  1127 WSW  7  6649 P
05/31-05 46  1  0 36 85 SSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 22  1112 WSW  7  6532 P
05/31-06 43  8  2 36 85 SSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 20  1098 WSW  7  6415 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RPK
REQUESTED BY...JAIME PONCE DE LEON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150527.MORGA.01/BOU


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