Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 232235
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
435 PM MDT WED JUL 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1608 MDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN
CENTERED OVER COLORADO THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT
SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT TONIGHT AND WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ON THURSDAY.
MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALSO REMAIN OVER THE STATE THROUGH THURSDAY.
DAYTIME HEATING WILL CAUSE THE AIRMASS TO DE-STABILIZE WITH
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN. A
FEW RAIN SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP THIS EVENING.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2300...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(55-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-88%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...DECREASING TO
                    5000-6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    1000-1500 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN BELOW 1000
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1400...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(60-70%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-38%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1400...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8500-9500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    VERY GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CAMP CREEK.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/23-16 70 33 12 78 23  SW  9 15 5 4 WSW 14 13490 WSW 14164928     E
07/23-17 74 26  6 77 24 SSW  9 15 5 4 WSW 13 12480 WSW 13141197    V
07/23-18 74 20  4 74 28 SSW  9 15 5 3 WSW 10 11470 WSW 12117465    V
07/23-19 74 17  3 69 35 SSW  9 14 5 3 WSW 13  8311  SW 12 85028   G
07/23-20 73 10  2 62 47   S  8 13 5 2 WSW 15  5152  SW 12 52592  F
07/23-21 73 10  2 56 59   S  8 13 5 2 WSW 16  1993 SSW 12 20155 P
07/23-22 71  8  2 52 68   S  9 14 5 1 WSW 17  1568 SSW 13 16679 P
07/23-23 69  5  1 50 72   S  9 15 4 1  SW 17  1143 SSW 14 13202 P
07/24-00 67  4  1 49 74   S 10 16 4 1  SW 18   717 SSW 16  9726 P
07/24-01 66  3  1 50 71   S 10 16 4 1  SW 17   802 SSW 16 11158 P
07/24-02 64  2  0 50 71   S  9 15 3 1 WSW 16   887 SSW 16 12589 P
07/24-03 62  2  0 49 74   S  9 15 3 1 WSW 16   971 SSW 16 14021 P
07/24-04 60  2  0 48 77 SSW  9 16 3 1 WSW 20   925  SW 17 13988 P
07/24-05 58  3  1 46 84 SSW 10 17 3 1 WSW 22   878  SW 18 13954 P
07/24-06 57  3  1 47 83  SW 12 18 3 1 WSW 25   832 WSW 20 13921 P
07/24-07 57  3  1 51 77  SW 12 18 3 1 WSW 26  3039 WSW 23 71846   G
07/24-08 56  4  1 58 64  SW 13 20 3 1   W 26  5246   W 25129771    V
07/24-09 56  4  1 66 50  SW 13 21 3 1   W 28  7453   W 29187695     E
07/24-10 55  4  1 71 41  SW 14 22 3 1   W 28  8504   W 28206050     E
07/24-11 56 10  2 74 34 WSW 15 24 2 2   W 29  9555 WSW 28224404     E
07/24-12 58 19  4 75 31 WSW 16 25 2 3   W 29 10606 WSW 26242759     E
07/24-13 59 23  5 74 31 WSW 16 25 2 3   W 30 10088 WSW 28237864     E
07/24-14 60 26  6 73 32 WSW 16 25 2 4   W 31  9569 WSW 28232968     E
07/24-15 61 29  8 72 34 WSW 15 24 2 4   W 32  9051 WSW 29228073     E
07/24-16 63 32 11 72 36 WSW 14 23 2 4   W 29  8467   W 26200602     E
07/24-17 64 35 13 71 41 WSW 14 22 3 4 WNW 24  7883   W 25173130     E
07/24-18 62 10  2 70 46 WSW 13 21 3 2 WNW 21  7299   W 23145659    V
07/24-19 56 10  2 66 53 WSW 12 17 3 2 WNW 21  5498   W 22107995    V
07/24-20 56 10  2 61 64  SW 10 16 3 2 WNW 21  3696 WSW 21 70330   G
07/24-21 54 10  2 56 77  SW  9 15 3 2 WNW 20  1895 WSW 20 32666 P
07/24-22 54 10  2 53 85  SW  9 16 3 2 WNW 20  1496 WSW 18 25071 P
07/24-23 54 10  2 51 89  SW 10 17 3 2 WNW 21  1097 WSW 17 17475 P
07/25-00 32  3  1 49 93  SW 12 18 3 1 WNW 21   698 WSW 16  9880 P
07/25-01 32  3  1 48 95  SW 12 17 3 1   W 21   657 WSW 16  9163 P
07/25-02 32  3  1 48 94 SSW 10 16 3 1   W 21   617 WSW 16  8446 P
07/25-03 33  3  1 47 96 SSW  9 15 3 1   W 22   576 WSW 15  7730 P
07/25-04 33  3  1 45100 SSW  9 14 3 1   W 24   582 WSW 15  7487 P
07/25-05 33  3  1 45 97 SSW  9 14 3 1   W 28   588 WSW 14  7244 P
07/25-06 33  2  0 47 89 SSW  9 15 3 1   W 30   594 WSW 14  7001 P
07/25-07 33  2  0 51 81 SSW  9 15 3 1   W 30  2118 WSW 17 41460  F
07/25-08 33  2  0 58 67  SW 10 17 3 1   W 31  3642 WSW 21 75918   G
07/25-09 29  6  1 64 56  SW 12 18 3 1   W 31  5166 WSW 24110376    V
07/25-10 29  6  1 70 43  SW 13 21 3 1   W 33  7622 WSW 26182151     E
07/25-11 29  6  1 74 33 WSW 15 23 3 1   W 36 10078   W 28253926     E
07/25-12 47 21  4 76 28 WSW 16 25 3 3   W 37 12533   W 30325701     E
07/25-13 47 21  4 77 27 WSW 17 28 3 3   W 35 12962   W 30336427     E
07/25-14 47 21  4 77 27 WSW 18 29 4 3   W 32 13390   W 30347153     E
07/25-15 47 21  4 76 27   W 18 30 4 3   W 29 13819   W 30357879     E
07/25-16 47 21  4 76 27 WSW 18 29 4 3   W 29 13318   W 29334725     E
07/25-17 47 21  4 76 26 WSW 17 28 3 3   W 29 12818   W 28311572     E
07/25-18 38 10  2 74 28 WSW 16 25 3 2   W 29 12317   W 26288419     E
07/25-19 38 10  2 69 35 WSW 14 22 3 2   W 29  8781   W 23200469     E
07/25-20 38 10  2 64 44 WSW 12 18 4 2   W 30  5245   W 20112519    V
07/25-21 13 10  2 59 55 WSW  9 15 4 2   W 30  1709   W 16 24569 P
07/25-22 13 10  2 54 66 WSW  9 14 4 2   W 30  2616   W 18 43321  F
07/25-23 13 10  2 51 71 WSW  9 14 3 2   W 29  3524   W 20 62074   G
07/26-00 26  1  0 49 74 WSW  9 15 3 1   W 29  4431 WNW 21 80827   G
07/26-01 26  1  0 48 74 WSW  9 14 3 1   W 32  3526 WNW 18 60526   G
07/26-02 26  1  0 47 75 WSW  8 14 3 1   W 36  2621 WNW 16 40224  F
07/26-03  6  1  0 45 79 WSW  8 13 3 1   W 40  1716 WNW 14 19923 P
07/26-04  6  1  0 43 84 WSW  8 13 3 1   W 41  1469   W 13 16824 P
07/26-05  6  1  0 42 85 WSW  9 14 2 1   W 44  1221   W 13 13725 P
07/26-06 21  2  0 44 79 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 46   973   W 13 10626 P
07/26-07 21  2  0 50 67 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 44  2705   W 17 54460  F
07/26-08 21  2  0 58 53 WSW 10 16 2 1   W 43  4437   W 22 98294   G
07/26-09 17  2  0 66 40 WSW 10 16 2 1   W 41  6169   W 26142128    V
07/26-10 17  2  0 71 31   W 12 18 2 1   W 41  7966   W 28194645     E
07/26-11 17  2  0 74 24   W 13 21 3 1   W 41  9763   W 29247162     E
07/26-12 28  7  1 75 21   W 14 22 3 1   W 40 11560   W 30299679     E
07/26-13 28  7  1 76 18   W 15 23 3 1   W 38 12034   W 30310699     E
07/26-14 28  7  1 77 17   W 15 24 3 1   W 36 12507   W 30321719     E
07/26-15 28  7  1 77 16 WNW 15 24 3 1   W 33 12981   W 30332740     E
07/26-16 28  7  1 77 16 WNW 15 24 3 1   W 32 12731   W 29319004     E
07/26-17 28  7  1 76 17 WNW 15 23 3 1   W 31 12481   W 28305269     E
07/26-18 27  4  1 74 19 WNW 14 22 3 1   W 30 12230   W 28291533     E

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...DANKERS
REQUESTED BY...ADAM BOUCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140723.CAMPC.01/BOU


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