Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 230347
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR MIRROR LAKE SAR...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
947 PM MDT WED JUL 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 2124 MDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS ENDED FOR TONIGHT.
THURSDAY WILL BE A DRY AND WARM DAY WITH SOME WIND OVER THE RIDGES.
RELATIVELY WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH JUST A LOW LEVEL OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........76%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    ON RIDGES. SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN VALLEYS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........33%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH
                    ON RIDGES.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 8-16 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-16 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MIRROR LAKE SAR.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/22-21 53 16  3 49 56  SW 13 21 3 3 WSW 22  5714 WSW 21105521    V
07/22-22 50 15  3 46 63  SW 13 21 3 3 WSW 24  4907 WSW 22 94001   G
07/22-23 47 11  2 44 65 WSW 14 22 3 2 WSW 26  4100 WSW 23 81371   G
07/23-00 44  8  2 43 68 WSW 15 24 3 1 WSW 29  3294 WSW 24 67631   G
07/23-01 36  6  1 42 67 WSW 16 25 3 1 WSW 29  2770 WSW 24 58157  F
07/23-02 28  5  1 41 67 WSW 17 28 2 1   W 29  2246   W 24 48197  F
07/23-03 28  3  1 40 70 WSW 18 30 2 1   W 30  1722   W 25 37749 P
07/23-04 28  2  0 39 73 WSW 20 31 2 1   W 29  1686   W 26 38648 P
07/23-05 28  0  0 38 76 WSW 20 31 2 1   W 29  1651   W 28 39477 P
07/23-06 28  1  0 39 73 WSW 21 33 2 1   W 28  1616   W 29 40236  F
07/23-07 28  1  0 41 67 WSW 22 35 2 1   W 30  2750   W 30 71774   G
07/23-08 28  1  0 46 56   W 23 37 3 1   W 32  3883   W 31106044    V
07/23-09 28  1  0 50 48   W 23 37 3 1   W 33  5017   W 33143047    V
07/23-10 28  1  0 54 41 WSW 22 35 3 1   W 31  6021   W 31160279     E
07/23-11 28  1  0 57 37 WSW 20 31 4 1   W 29  7025   W 29173710     E
07/23-12 32  8  2 59 36 WSW 17 28 4 1   W 26  8029   W 26183340     E
07/23-13 37  8  2 60 35 WSW 16 25 3 1   W 22  8617 WSW 23169964     E
07/23-14 41  8  2 60 35 WSW 15 24 3 1 WSW 18  9206 WSW 20152926     E
07/23-15 41  8  2 60 35 WSW 15 24 2 1 WSW 15  9794 WSW 16132226    V
07/23-16 41  8  2 60 33 WSW 15 24 2 1 WSW 14  9511 WSW 15128158    V
07/23-17 38  8  2 60 33 WSW 15 24 2 1 WSW 14  9227 WSW 15124105    V
07/23-18 38  7  1 58 36 WSW 15 24 2 1 WSW 13  8944 WSW 15120066    V
07/23-19 38  7  1 56 39 WSW 15 24 2 1 WSW 13  8119 WSW 15102435    V
07/23-20 38  7  1 54 41 WSW 15 24 3 1 WSW 12  7295 WSW 14 86136   G
07/23-21 38  7  1 52 44 WSW 15 24 3 1 WSW 12  6470 WSW 13 72268   G
07/23-22 38  7  1 49 49 WSW 15 24 3 1 WSW 14  5290 WSW 14 63900   G
07/23-23 38  7  1 46 54 WSW 16 25 2 1 WSW 17  4110 WSW 15 53383  F
07/24-00 22  4  1 44 58   W 16 25 2 1  SW 20  2929 WSW 16 40717  F
07/24-01 22  4  1 43 59   W 17 28 2 1  SW 21  2619 WSW 17 39860 P
07/24-02 22  4  1 42 61   W 18 29 2 1  SW 22  2308 WSW 20 38183 P
07/24-03 22  4  1 41 62   W 18 30 2 1  SW 23  1997 WSW 21 35683 P
07/24-04 22  4  1 40 64   W 18 29 2 1  SW 23  1781 WSW 21 31694 P
07/24-05 22  4  1 39 65 WSW 17 29 2 1  SW 23  1566  SW 21 27738 P
07/24-06 23  5  1 40 62 WSW 17 28 2 1  SW 23  1350  SW 21 23813 P
07/24-07 23  5  1 42 56 WSW 17 28 2 1  SW 22  2564  SW 20 44384  F
07/24-08 23  5  1 46 47 WSW 17 28 2 1  SW 21  3777  SW 20 64155   G
07/24-09 23  5  1 50 41 WSW 17 28 2 1  SW 21  4991  SW 20 83127   G
07/24-10 23  5  1 53 37 WSW 16 26 2 1  SW 18  6035  SW 18 96336   G
07/24-11 23  5  1 56 34 WSW 16 25 2 1 WSW 16  7079  SW 17108100    V
07/24-12 42  8  2 58 33 WSW 15 24 2 1 WSW 14  8123  SW 17118418    V
07/24-13 42  8  2 59 32 WSW 15 24 2 1 WSW 13  8687 WSW 16117668    V
07/24-14 42  8  2 60 31  SW 16 25 2 1 WSW 12  9251 WSW 15115752    V
07/24-15 42  8  2 60 31  SW 16 25 2 1 WSW 10  9816 WSW 13112670    V
07/24-16 42  8  2 60 31  SW 15 24 2 1 WSW  9  9797 WSW 13105183    V
07/24-17 42  8  2 60 31  SW 13 21 2 1 WSW  9  9778 WSW 12 97724   G
07/24-18 51  8  2 59 32 WSW 12 18 2 1   W  8  9760 WSW 10 90292   G
07/24-19 51  8  2 57 35 WSW 10 17 2 1   W  7  9031 WSW  9 74348   G
07/24-20 51  8  2 54 39 WSW 10 16 2 1 WSW  6  8302 WSW  8 59889  F
07/24-21 51  8  2 52 43 WSW 10 16 2 1 WSW  3  7574 WSW  7 46916  F
07/24-22 51  8  2 49 49 WSW 10 17 2 1 WSW  5  6515 WSW  7 40388  F
07/24-23 51  8  2 47 53   W 12 17 2 1   W  6  5456 WSW  7 33850 P
07/25-00 41  4  1 46 56   W 12 18 2 1   W  6  4397 WSW  7 27301 P
07/25-01 41  4  1 45 57   W 12 20 2 1 WSW  6  3611 WSW  7 22589 P
07/25-02 41  4  1 44 59   W 13 20 2 1  SW  7  2826 WSW  7 17805 P
07/25-03 41  4  1 43 60   W 13 21 2 1  SW  7  2040  SW  7 12950 P
07/25-04 41  4  1 41 63   W 13 21 2 1  SW  6  2822  SW  7 17444 P
07/25-05 41  4  1 40 65   W 14 22 2 1  SW  6  3604 WSW  7 21680 P
07/25-06 49 12  2 40 65   W 14 22 2 2  SW  5  4386 WSW  7 25656 P
07/25-07 49 12  2 42 60 WSW 14 22 2 2 WSW  7  4768   W  8 32718 P
07/25-08 49 12  2 44 57 WSW 13 20 2 2 WNW 10  5149 WNW  9 40554  F
07/25-09 49 12  2 47 51 WSW 12 18 2 2  NW 13  5531 WNW 10 49163  F
07/25-10 49 12  2 50 47 WSW 10 17 2 2  NW 13  6539 WNW 10 61869   G
07/25-11 49 12  2 53 42 WSW 10 16 2 2  NW 13  7547 WNW 12 75729   G
07/25-12 54 14  3 55 40 WSW  9 15 2 2 WNW 12  8555   W 13 90745   G
07/25-13 54 14  3 56 39 WSW  8 14 2 2 WNW 13  8593   W 13 93090   G
07/25-14 54 14  3 57 38  SW  8 13 2 2 WNW 13  8631 WNW 13 95453   G
07/25-15 54 14  3 57 38  SW  8  8 2 2 WNW 13  8668 WNW 13 97832   G
07/25-16 54 14  3 57 38  SW  7  7 2 2 WNW 12  8858 WNW 12 92602   G
07/25-17 54 14  3 56 40 SSW  7  7 2 2 WNW 10  9048 WNW 12 87055   G
07/25-18 52 12  2 55 41 SSW  7  7 2 2 WNW 10  9238 WNW 10 81193   G

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD
REQUESTED BY...TIM PHILLIPS
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150722.MIRRO.01/BOU


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