Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 201203
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG RIDGE...KNF KAIBAB NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
503 AM MST MON OCT 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING EAST THROUGH NEW MEXICO
WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST ON TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT AND TROUGH
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA...WITH DRYING CONDITIONS MOVING IN FROM
THE WEST. BREEZY CONDITIONS TUESDAY AFTERNOON BEHIND THE FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWER OR
                    THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-30 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (30100 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......301.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 5100
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-78 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (600 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWER OR
                    THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-30 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTY AFTERNOON
                    WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD (83800 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......838.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 5300
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS...INCREASING TO 15 TO
                    20 KNOTS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...CLEMMONS
REQUESTED BY...WDC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.BIGRI.01/FGZ





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