Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 152333
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CABEZON RX...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
533 PM MDT MON SEP 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS OVER THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY WHICH
WILL HELP TO INCREASE TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT BUT INCREASE DIURNALLY IN THE AFTERNOON
THROUGHOUT THE BURN PERIOD. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
LIKELY...BUT AN ISOLATED STORM (10 PERCENT CHANCE) COULD DEVELOP
NEAR THE FIRE SITE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.

HIGH CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ON THURSDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE ODILE MOVE INTO THE GREAT BASIN. ANY IMPACTS FROM ODILE
WILL WAIT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON AT THE EARLIEST...WITH A BETTER
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

.TUESDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). AN ISOLATED LATE
                    AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 4-8 MPH. IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS
                    OR EVEN VIRGA DEVELOP NEAR THE FIRE...THESE
                    CELLS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (45000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO
                    10000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-56 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73%.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6000 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (47000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO
                    11000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MATT FLYING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140916.CABEZ.01/GJT


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