Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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065
FNUS75 KGJT 252147
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVER CREEK FIRE...ROUTT NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
347 PM MDT THU AUG 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1514 MDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE BEST FORCING AND MOISTURE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE WELL SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE TONIGHT. BUT AN ISOLATED STORM IS
STILL POSSIBLE THIS EVENING, THEN DEVELOPING AGAIN FRIDAY WITH
INCREASING SURFACE HEATING. GOOD RH RECOVERY EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES OR HUMIDITY ON
FRIDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. AFTER 9 PM
                    DOWNSLOPE 2-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD NEAR SHOWERS AND STORMS. THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100 THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL EXCEPT HIGHER IN
                    EVENING STORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 MPH
                    AFTER 9 PM.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING SCATTERED IN COVERAGE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-64 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 1-5 MPH SHIFTING TO UPSLOPE/NORTHWEST
                    4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 BECOMING 4 AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...FEMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160825.SILVE.02/GJT



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