Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS73 KGRR 061355
FWSGRR

SPOT FORECAST FOR 11 MILE RD PILES...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
855 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON DECEMBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (616) 949-5150, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...

WE ARE EXPECTING A MAINLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY DAY...BUT
IT SHOULD BE DRY.  A GENERAL SOUTHEAST WIND IS EXPECTED.  SURFACE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE A  CHALLENGE BECAUSE OF THE POTENTIAL
FOR LOW CLOUDS TO BE AROUND FOR THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 39.
RH..................84 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 12 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1400-1900
                    FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200 /FAIR/ AT IGNITION. MAX...200 /FAIR/.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.

TIME (EST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........82     85     82     84     87     86
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   SNSHWR SNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............35     39     38     37     35     32
RH..............84     79     82     85     89     81
20 FT WIND......SE 10  SE 9   S 8    S 7    SW 7   W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     15     15     15     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1300   1400   1600   2200   3300
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      3      3      4
SMOKE DISPERSAL 200    200    200    200    300    700

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 25.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 23
                    TO 26 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-1000 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 28.
RH..................MIN 74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 23 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....800-900 (EXCELLENT).
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...MJS
REQUESTED BY...CHUCK BARRON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603954.0/GRR
.EMAIL CBARRON@FS.FED.US



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