Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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000
FNUS72 KGSP 232222
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for WHITE CREEK FIRE...NC-NCF
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
622 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1900 EDT on March 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Cooler air lingers across the region through the end of the work
week. A warm and moist southerly flow develops this weekend as high
pressure moves off the coast and a cold front approaches from the
west. This will bring showers and thunderstorms into the area by
Sunday, which continue into early next week.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light southerly winds.
Mixing height.......2400-3700 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-1300 ft
                    AGL in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 1 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (200-30800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3.
Stability class.....6.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........21000.
Visibility (SM).....9.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.55.

TIME (EDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........12  18  23  29  34  36  38  40  40  40  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  48  46  45  43  42  41  40  39  39  38
Dewpoint........24  26  26  27  27  27  27  28  28  28  28
RH..............36  42  45  49  52  55  58  60  62  65  68
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5       5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 3.4 2.4 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.9   9   7   5   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4
ADI.............4   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
VRate kt-ft/100031  27  15  5   1   0   1   1   0   0   0
Ceiling (hft)...230 230 220 220 220 210 220 220 220 210 220
Visibility (sm).9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Sfc pres (in)...855 856 857 858 859 859 859 859 858 858 857

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south 5 to 6 mph late.
Mixing height.......400-1700 ft AGL...increasing to 2700-3900 ft
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 7 mph...increasing to southwest 18
                    to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (800-40300 knot-ft)...increasing
                    to excellent (60900 knot-ft) late in the
                    morning.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................4...increasing to 26 mid/late morning...then
                    increasing further to 97 late in the
                    morning...decreasing to 53.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........20000...decreasing to 4000.
Visibility (SM).....7 until late afternoon.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.49.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  48  52  52  53  53  53  54  54  54  55  55
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............37  37  38  44  49  52  56  59  61  62  63  63
Dewpoint........28  29  29  31  32  33  36  38  41  41  42  42
RH..............70  72  69  60  52  48  46  46  47  46  45  46
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.        5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 0.8 1.7 2.7 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.2   3   7   12  17  22  22  21  20  20  20  18
LVORI...........3   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............1   4   7   26  58  96  98  56  54  54  54  50
VRate kt-ft/10001   2   5   18  40  67  71  70  68  68  67  61
Ceiling (hft)...230 230 230 220 210 200 170 70  50  40  40  40
Visibility (sm).8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7
Sfc pres (in)...857 857 856 857 857 857 856 855 854 852 850 849

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly to Mostly cloudy (40-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light.
Mixing height.......2400-4200 ft AGL...decreasing to 700-1500 ft
                    AGL late in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 13 mph...decreasing to 3 to 8
                    mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2100-45900 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................35...decreasing to 4.
Stability class.....5.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........4000...increasing to 27000 early in the
                    evening...then decreasing to 3000 in the late
                    evening and overnight...decreasing to 2400
                    late.
Visibility (SM).....MISSING.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.4.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53  50  42  48  53  59  62  66  69  72  75  78
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............62  60  58  56  54  52  51  50  49  48  47  47
Dewpoint........43  44  45  45  45  45  45  45  45  45  45  46
RH..............49  55  60  66  70  75  79  83  86  89  92  96
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   4   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.10  5
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 4.1 4.2 3.3 2.4 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  8   3   3   5   6   5   3   3   5   6   8
LVORI...........1   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   8
ADI.............35  5   2   2   2   3   2   2   2   2   3   4
VRate kt-ft/100046  27  13  9   9   7   5   3   2   3   4   5
Ceiling (hft)...40  270 270 270 40  40  40  30  30  30  30  24
Visibility (sm).
Sfc pres (in)...848 848 848 848 848 849 848 846 845 844 842 840

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers late.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south 6 to 8 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......700-2400 ft AGL...increasing to 3200-4700 ft
                    AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 15 mph...becoming south 17 to 24
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (4900-39900 knot-ft)...increasing
                    to excellent (64600 knot-ft) late in the
                    morning.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................6...increasing to 29 late in the morning...then
                    increasing to 59 late in the
                    morning...increasing to 63 early in the
                    afternoon...decreasing to 53.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........2400...decreasing to 1700 early in the
                    morning...then increasing to 2400 late in the
                    morning...increasing to 3000 in the afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....MISSING.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.3.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........79  79  80  81  82  83  82  82  81  81  80  80
Weather cov.....                                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  46  47  50  54  58  61  63  65  66  68  68
Dewpoint........46  46  46  47  48  50  50  50  50  51  51  51
RH..............98  99  95  90  82  75  68  62  59  57  55  55
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.                5   5   10  10  15  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.7
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  15  20  23  24  24  22  21  18  17
LVORI...........9   8   6   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............4   7   8   29  54  57  63  66  63  60  54  51
VRate kt-ft/10005   5   6   19  40  65  75  82  84  80  75  71
Ceiling (hft)...24  17  17  24  24  24  30  30  30  30  30  30
Visibility (sm).
Sfc pres (in)...840 841 841 842 842 843 842 840 838 835 833 830

$$
Forecaster...Danny Gant
Requested by...IC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1705087.0/GSP


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