Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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FNUS74 KHUN 271155
FWSHUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLLIER SITE PREP...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
655 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY,
WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE BETWEEN THE HOURS OF 1 PM AND 7 PM. SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH THROUGH THE DAY. MOISTURE
WILL ALSO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY, WITH RH VALUES REMAINING ABOVE
50 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-6400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............82     86     88     88
RH..............74     61     59     63
20 FT WIND DIR..180    180    190    190
20 FT WIND SPD..6      6      7      8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   5400   6400   6000
TRANSP WIND DIR.190    190    190    200
TRANSP WIND SPD.9      12     14     16
DISPERSION IDX..6      37     47     53
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     60     60

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................60 PERCENT DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 40 PERCENT EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............86     82     78     76     74     73
RH..............65     72     85     87     90     93
20 FT WIND DIR..200    200    190    190    190    200
20 FT WIND SPD..8      6      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10                          10
MIX HGT (FT)....4800   2900   1000   800    1100   1400
TRANSP WIND DIR.210    220    230    220    220    220
TRANSP WIND SPD.15     13     13     16     18     17
DISPERSION IDX..45     30     17     11     12     12
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     50     20     20     20     40

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............73     76     80     82     84     84
RH..............93     85     77     69     67     70
20 FT WIND DIR..200    210    220    220    230    230
20 FT WIND SPD..6      7      8      9      9      9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1400   1800   2400   2900   3400   3600
TRANSP WIND DIR.240    250    260    250    250    250
TRANSP WIND SPD.13     12     14     13     14     15
DISPERSION IDX..8      13     19     30     35     40
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     70     70     70     70     70

$$
FORECASTER...CHACE
REQUESTED BY...KERRY CLARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160727.COLLI.01/HUN



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