Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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FNUS74 KHUN 211326
FWSHUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILEPOST 334 PILE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
826 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

OVERALL, DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW.

A WEAK REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BURN SITE AROUND
10-11 AM CDT WHICH WILL ONLY RESULT IN WINDS CHANGING TO NORTHERLY
WITH 5-7 MPH POSSIBLE BY 11 AM CDT. WIND GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE THROUGH 1 PM CDT. ANOTHER IMPACT WILL BE THAT MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD BE CLOSE TO 38-40 PERCENT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHTS SHOULD RISE CLOSE TO 4300 FEET BY 1 PM WITH
MAX DISPERSION CLOSE TO 60.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF FOG FORMATION NEAR THE BURN SITE EARLY
TOMORROW MORNING BETWEEN 3-6 AM CDT.

THEN, SOMEWHAT COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH DAYTIME
HIGHS BETWEEN 68-70 DEGREES WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
CLOSE TO 38 PERCENT AND LIGHTER WINDS. THE LIGHTER WINDS WILL RESULT
IN LOWER DISPERSION VALUES THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL BY 1 PM CDT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............66     72     74     72
RH..............60     46     41     42
20 FT WIND DIR..020    340    350    350
20 FT WIND SPD..3      7      7      5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3600   4300   4300   3100
TRANSP WIND DIR.340    340    340    350
TRANSP WIND SPD.10     12     12     13
DISPERSION IDX..48     60     60     48
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL AT 6 PM DECREASING TO 1400 FT
                    AGL BY 8 PM TO 300-500 FT AGL IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     58     53     49     47     45
RH..............48     61     70     82     87     87
20 FT WIND DIR..340    350    030    040    040    030
20 FT WIND SPD..3      2      2      2      2      1
20 FT WIND GUST.5
MIX HGT (FT)....3100   1400   300    300    500    300
TRANSP WIND DIR.350    350    010    010    030    040
TRANSP WIND SPD.13     13     15     15     15     13
DISPERSION IDX..48     24     5      7      7      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67 TO 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 TO 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2200 FT AGL BY 10 AM. THEN
                    INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 2 PM IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     45     56     63     67     68
RH..............87     86     66     49     41     38
20 FT WIND DIR..030    040    060    030    020    020
20 FT WIND SPD..1      2      5      6      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1100   2200   2200   3000   2300
TRANSP WIND DIR.040    040    040    040    030    040
TRANSP WIND SPD.13     10     10     10     12     13
DISPERSION IDX..6      5      5      29     41     36
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...LATIMER
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT VICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.MILEP.01/HUN



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