Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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FNUS71 KLWX 021940
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OVENTOP SEARCH...USDI - NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
340 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1531 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE MID AFTERNOON WILL GIVE WAY TO
DEVELOPING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 5 PM...AND LASTING
THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE WITH STRONG WIND
GUSTS...HAIL..AND HEAVY RAIN...MAINLY BETWEEN 5 PM AND 10 PM. RAIN
SHOWERS...LOW CLOUDS...AND SOME FOG WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY MORNING
BEFORE IMPROVING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

TIME (EDT)       6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..........70     100    100    100    100    100
WEATHER COV......SCTTRD DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.............75     69     65     63     61     60
20 FT WIND.......SW 5   SW 4   N 3    NE 3   E 4    NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST..7             4      4             4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE MORNING...TAPERING OFF IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)       6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..........100    100    85     80     76     78
WEATHER COV......DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.............58     60     63     65     66     66
20 FT WIND.......NW 2   NW 2   NW 3   N 3    N 4    N 4
20 FT WIND GUST..4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...MJM
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN SIKES
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20160502.OVENT.01/LWX



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