Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FNUS74 KMAF 211531
FWSMAF

Spot Forecast for South Antelope Rx...BLM
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
931 AM CST Tue Feb 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 MST on February 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Upper ridge over New Mexico will keep the site warm... sunny... and
wind fairly light today.  Minimum afternoon RH will fall to near 15 percent
with 20ft winds 14 mph or less today.  A leeside trough over Eastern
NM will keep the wind westerly.  Warmer on Wednesday with minimum
RH falling below 15 percent and slightly higher 20ft winds... could
approach near critical conditions in the afternoon.  A Fire Weather Watch
is in effect Thursday for Southeast New Mexico as unusually warm and windy
conditions expected ahead of approaching upper trough and with the development
of a deep surface low.

&&

For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather Matrix
product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather Service Office.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West to Northwest winds 7 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......100-2000 ft AGL increasing to 4200-5600 ft
                    AGL early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.

TIME (MST)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR     CLEAR     CLEAR     CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............37        41        60        74
RH..............64        60        31        18
20 FT wind dir..W         W         NW        W
20 FT wind spd..9         12        14        12
20 FT wind gust.10        15        15        15
Mix hgt (ft)....200       400       3000      5600
Transp wind dir.W         W         NW        NW
Transp wind spd.10        12        17        12

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........53-70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.

TIME (MST)      5 PM      8 PM      11 PM     2 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR     CLEAR     CLEAR     CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............73        59        50        47
RH..............17        31        46        54
20 FT wind dir..W         W         W         W
20 FT wind spd..10        10        9         9
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....300       100       200       100
Transp wind dir.NW        NW        NW        NW
Transp wind spd.3         9         9         7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......0-1700 ft AGL increasing to 5100-6700 ft
                    AGL early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.

TIME (MST)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............43        47        70        77
RH..............64        59        24        15
20 FT wind dir..NW        W         W         SW
20 FT wind spd..9         10        12        15
20 FT wind gust.                    15        20
Mix hgt (ft)....100       300       2700      6700
Transp wind dir.NW        W         SW        SW
Transp wind spd.3         3         12        18

$$
Forecaster...Cain
Requested by...Nathan Curnutt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702493.0/MAF


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