Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FNUS74 KMAF 301557
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT RX...LINCOLN NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1057 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 30.

.DISCUSSION...

FAIRLY LIGHT WEST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 12
MPH AND BECOME SOUTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE ON WINDWARD RIDGES AND WEAKEN DOWN INTO CANYON BOTTOMS.
MIN RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR 15 PERCENT LATER THIS
AFTERNOON THEN RECOVER TO NEAR 50 PERCENT OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING, THEN COME
AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST AND INCREASE BEHIND A COLD FRONT EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. IT WILL BE COOLER SUNDAY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY NEAR 40 PERCENT OCCURRING IN THE MORNING THEN INCREASED
HUMIDITY BY MID DAY AS RAIN CHANCES INCREASE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT).........RIDGETOPS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH GUSTS
                    TO 17 MPH. CANYON BOTTOMS...UPSLOPE 4 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (120000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........MSNY      MSNY      MSNY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............60        67        70
RH..............38        23        15
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7         10        12
20 FT WIND GUST.          15        17
MIX HGT (FT)....5200      6200      8400
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..10        12        15
VENT CAT........FAIR      GOOD      VYGOOD
LAL.............1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....2         2         3

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5
                    TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (96000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (0
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............68        59        57        53
RH..............15        21        25        35
20 FT WIND DIR..SW        SW        S         SE
20 FT WIND SPD..12        9         8         7
20 FT WIND GUST.16
MIX HGT (FT)....10000     BLW100    BLW100    BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..SW        SW        S         SE
TRANS WIND SPD..22        5         6         4
VENT CAT........GOOD      POOR      POOR      POOR
LAL.............1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....4         4         5         4

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (39300 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................3.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY     MCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TEMP............44        54        48        46
RH..............51        38        51        58
20 FT WIND DIR..NW        NE        NE        NE
20 FT WIND SPD..12        13        15        18
20 FT WIND GUST.15        20        20        25
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100    1300      2600      3200
TRANS WIND DIR..NW        NE        NE        NE
TRANS WIND SPD..9         20        16        12
VENT CAT........POOR      POOR      FAIR      POOR
LAL.............3         3         3         3
HAINES INDEX....3         2         2         2

$$

FORECASTER...AHLUCHAN
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160430.GOATR.01/MAF



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