Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 240011
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Abney Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Medford OR
511 PM PDT Sat Sep 23 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0800 PDT on September 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A warming trend is expected for the forecast period,
with little change in RHs. It will still be cool at night, with good
RH recoveries. Winds will be light and generally out of the north,
with a bit of an easterly component overnight into the mornings and
a bit of a westerly component in the later afternoon and evenings.
Elevations used range from 2,000 feet MSL to 6,000 feet MSL. Since
the point of concern is on the east side of the fire perimeter at
4,000 feet, take a mid value for the ranges given to get the temp/RH
for that location.


.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....78 bottom to 51 top.
Min humidity........28 percent bottom - 60 percent top.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Downslope and down valley 0-3 mph early, except
                    northeast 2-3 mph on the upper slopes and ridges.
                    Wind becoming up slope and up valley 1-3 mph with
                    gust to 5 mph in the afternoon, except becoming
                    NNW 3-6 mph with gusts 6-9 mph on the ridges.
WIND (20 FT)........Northeast 5 mph, becoming NNW 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL or less until noon PDT, then
                    increasing to 2000-6000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 mph, becoming north 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.


.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....45 bottom to 35 top.
Max humidity........85-100 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Becoming downslope and down valley 0-2 mph
                    beginning mid-late evening, except north
                    1-3 mph on the ridges.
WIND (20 FT)........North 0-5 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 500 ft AGL or less early to mid
                    evening.
Transport winds.....North 5 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.


.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....80 bottom to 53 top.
Min humidity........31 percent bottom - 63 percent top.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Downslope and down valley 0-2 mph early, except
                    NNE 2-3 mph on the upper slopes and ridges.
                    Wind becoming up slope and up valley 1-3 mph in
                    the afternoon, except becoming NNW 1-3 mph with
                    gusts 5 mph on the ridges.
WIND (20 FT)........Northeast 5 mph, becoming NNW 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to around 1,000 feet agl around noon
                    PDT, then 2,000-6,000 ft agl in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....NNE 5 mph in the morning, then NNW 5 mph
                    afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.


$$
Forecaster...LUTZ
Requested by...Plans
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1716109.2/MFR



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