Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 220556
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1056 PM PDT THU AUG 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0927 PDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AT THE WILDFIRE FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL AFFECT THE UPPER
PORTIONS OF THE FIRE AT NIGHT AND DURING THE DAY...WHILE SLOPE AND
VALLEY FLOWS WILL DOMINATE AT THE BOTTOM OF THE FIRE. IT`S
DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE WHETHER THE NORTH GENERAL WIND WILL MAKE IT`S
WAY DOWN TO THE BOTTOM PORTIONS OF THE FIRE IN THE VALLEYS...BUT
THIS FORECAST SUGGESTS THAT THE NORTH WINDS WON`T MAKE THEIR
WAY DOWN...AND UPSLOPE WINDS WILL WIN OUT. HUMIDITY RECOVERIES
WILL POOR TO MODERATE ON SATURDAY NIGHT AS A DRY AIR DOMINATES
THE FIRE. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AT LEAST.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-94 BOTTOM OF FIRE. 76-78 TOP OF FIRE.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-16 PERCENT BOTTOM OF FIRE. 20-25 PERCENT TOP OF
                    FIRE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING BECOMING 7000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........BOTTOM OF FIRE: LIGHT DOWNSLOPE NORTH WINDS
                    1 TO 3 MPH IN THE EARLY MORNING BECOMING SOUTH
                    UPSLOPE 3 TO 4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    TOP OF FIRE: NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    10 MPH IN THE EARLY MORNING BECOMING NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BOTTOM OF FIRE: LIGHT DOWNSLOPE NORTH WINDS
                    0 TO 2 MPH IN THE EARLY MORNING BECOMING SOUTH UPSLOPE
                    1 TO 3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    TOP OF FIRE: NORTHEAST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE EARLY
                    MORNING BECOMING NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58 BOTTOM OF FIRE. 62 TOP OF FIRE.
MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT BOTTOM OF FIRE. 45 PERCENT TOP OF FIRE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........BOTTOM OF FIRE: DOWNSLOPE NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH.
                    TOP OF FIRE: NORTHEAST 4 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10
                    MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BOTTOM OF FIRE: DOWNSLOPE NORTH 0 TO 2 MPH.
                    TOP OF FIRE: NORTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-96 BOTTOM OF FIRE. 78-80 TOP OF FIRE.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-18 PERCENT BOTTOM OF FIRE. 22-26 PERCENT TOP OF
                    FIRE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........BOTTOM OF FIRE: DOWNSLOPE NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING BECOMING UPSLOPE SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    TOP OF FIRE: NORTHEAST 4 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    10 MPH EARLY BECOMING NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BOTTOM OF FIRE: DOWNSLOPE NORTH 0 TO 2 MPH EARLY
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE SOUTH 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
                    TOP OF FIRE: NORTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH EARLY BECOMING
                    NORTH 2 TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...JOHN WOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140821.BEAVE.01/MFR








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