Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 181255
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR LLSP 1B...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
855 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
TODAY AS THE AXIS OF THE ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE REMAINS JUST
NORTH OF CENTRAL FLORIDA. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL MOVE SLOWLY
INLAND DURING THE DAY. DRIER AIR HAS FILTERED INTO THE AREA OVER THE
LAST 12 HOURS SO PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE AFTERNOON WILL ONLY BE
AROUND 10 PERCENT. DEEPER MOISTURE RETURNS ON TUESDAY WITH AN INCREASED
THREAT FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS.

PATCHY FOG CHANCES OVERNIGHT WILL BE SMALL...BUT COULD ALSO SEE SOME
SCATTERED LOW STRATUS CLOUDS AROUND NEAR SUNRISE FOR A BIT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-5200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....42.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........10     10     29     48     48
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............74     79     83     87     88
RH..............84     69     59     48     45
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 6    E 7    E 5    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........48     35     35     27     20     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............86     82     80     78     76     74
RH..............50     58     65     71     76     84
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 5    E 4    SE 4   S 3    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.8      7

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE
                    CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 3 TO
                    5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....23.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........20     36     36     53     69     69
WEATHER COV.....                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............72     73     83     88     90     90
RH..............90     89     65     52     45     47
20 FT WIND......S 2    S 3    SW 3   W 3    W 3    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SPAULDING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150518.LLSP1.01/MLB



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