Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 291227
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD 50...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
827 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0743 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO NORTH
FLORIDA THIS EVENING. DEEP MOISTURE WILL POOL AHEAD OF IT
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. LIGHT/VARIABLE MORNING WINDS
WILL TRANSITION TO SOUTHWEST AND EXPECT THE EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE TO REMAINED PINNED NEAR THE COAST, REMAINING EAST OF
THE WILDFIRE. THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL BE MORE ACTIVE
AND TRAVERSE THE PENINSULA DURING THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG IT AND MOVE
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. TIMING FOR STORMS TO
REACH THE WILDFIRE WILL BE ANYWHERE FROM MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
INTERESTS SHOULD KEEP AN EYE TO THE WEST FOR DEVELOPING/APPROACHING
INCLIMATE WEATHER.

STORM THREATS INCLUDE LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS, A FEW STORMS
MAY BE ABLE TO DELIVER A QUICK 1 TO 2 INCHES IN A 60 TO 90
MINUTE PERIOD. OTHER THREATS INCLUDE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO AROUND 35 MPH.

FOG POTENTIAL...PATCHY, SHALLOW GROUND FOG IS POSSIBLE EARLY
THIS MORNING AND AGAIN LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL
                    HIGHER GUSTS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-3900 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH INCREASING
                    TO AROUND 12 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....42.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........64     61     61     77     77     77
WEATHER COV.....S CHC         SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............73     80     85     88     86     82
RH..............100    90     74     68     70     79
20 FT WIND......SW 2   SW 7   SW 9   SW 9   SW 8   S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.              15     15     10
LVORI...........8      6      3      1      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 6 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 DECREASING TO 3 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 9 LATE.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........77     75     75     75     55     55
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............80     76     75     74     74     73
RH..............79     90     90     93     93     97
20 FT WIND......S 7    S 6    SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.
LVORI...........3      6      6      6      7      8

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4200 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH BECOMING SOUTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........55     51     51     51     65     65
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............73     73     80     85     88     85
RH..............97     97     82     70     61     67
20 FT WIND......SW 2   SW 2   SW 5   S 7    S 8    SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5         5      7     9      10     9
LVORI...........9      8      3      3      1      3

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160929.OLD50.01/MLB



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