Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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000
FNUS73 KMQT 280909
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RACO PILE RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
509 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE MOVING SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE AREA WILL RESULT IN MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A FEW SHOWERS LINGERING OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY.
SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS EVENING AND IT SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY SUNNY
INTO THURSDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REACH THE MIDDLE 60S WITH
HIGHS ON THURSDAY TOPPING OUT AROUND 70 DEGREES. AFTER BREEZY WINDS
ON TUESDAY...EXPECT EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 10-15 MPH OR LESS TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS OVER THE AREA.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....51 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (33) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (497).
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS EAST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS EAST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIN HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 62 PERCENT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN DECREASING CLOUDS LATE THIS
                    AFTERNOON. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH LATE
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-1200 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1200-2300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........84     79     73     66     53     38
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP............51     57     62     63     64     63
RH..............92     78     68     65     63     63
33-FOOT WIND....E 12   E 12   E 14   E 12   E 12   NE 11
20-FOOT WIND....E 10   E 10   E 11   E 10   E 10   NE 9
WIND GUST.......16     16     17     16     16     14
VINDX KT-FT/100.33     321    497    399    281    188
TRANSPORT WIND..E 15   E 15   E 14   E 10   E 8    E 9
MIX HGT (FT)....300    2500   4100   4400   4000   2300
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 48.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 99 PERCENT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........19     18     16     14     13     11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     56     54     53     51     49
RH..............74     81     86     88     93     97
33-FOOT WIND....NE 10  NE 10  NE 11  NE 11  NE 11  NE 10
20-FOOT WIND....NE 8   NE 8   NE 9   NE 9   NE 9   NE 8
WIND GUST.......
VINDX KT-FT/100.28     12     40     38     35     27
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13   E 17   E 18   E 17   E 16   E 14
MIX HGT (FT)....300    100    300    300    300    200
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 70.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (380).
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO
                    11 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO
                    6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LAL.................1.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 45 PERCENT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3200-4600 FT AGL LATE DECREASING TO 1600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........10     7      5      2      3      3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     58     64     68     70     69
RH..............99     68     54     46     45     47
33-FOOT WIND....NE 10  NE 10  NE 10  NE 9   NE 9   NE 8
20-FOOT WIND....NE 8   NE 8   NE 8   NE 7   NE 7   NE 6
WIND GUST.......              12     10     10
VINDX KT-FT/100.28     41     187    351    366    253
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13   E 14   E 14   E 12   E 9    NE 9
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    1600   3500   4600   3200
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...JLA
REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1601047.1/MQT



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