Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
FNUS73 KTOP 231442
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIA BURN...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
942 AM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

Light and variable winds this morning will shift to the southeast and
increase between 5 and 10 mph from ignition time until noon. After 2
PM CDT, winds increase between 8 and 12 mph from the south. Wind gusts
may occasionally gust up to 15 mph in the higher elevation, otherwise
not expected. RH values are of slight concern today, given the dry
air in place and forecast highs in the low 70s. Sided towards the
drier solutions from our short term guidance, which would drop
min RH values in to the low 20s between 1 and 3 PM. These will
quickly increase after sunset.

Winds are expected to remain steady from the south at around
10 mph through midnight. Afterward midnight, winds increase from
the south at 15 to 20 mph sustained, wind gusts up to 30 mph are
expected through Monday morning.

.TODAY...

TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
RH..................44 percent AT IGNITION...MIN 24.
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 ft agl at IGNITION...otherwise 300-1800 ft
                    agl increasing to 2500-4400 ft agl in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS southwest AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE Light winds becoming
                    southwest around 5 mph late in the morning,
                    then increasing to south in the afternoon.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR moderate AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.

Time (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........0      0      0      1      1      1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............42     54     61     67     70     72
RH..............67     52     33     27     25     25
20 ft wind......W 3    W 3    SW 5   S 7    S 7    S 9
20 ft wind gust.5      5             10     10     15
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Haines Index....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 76 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3400 ft agl decreasing to 300-1300 ft agl
                    early in the evening.
WIND (20 FT)........South winds 6 to 11 mph.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...PRIETO
Requested by...LUKE POLLUCK
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707574.0/TOP


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