Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXHW01 KWNH 281231
PMDHI

HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

VALID 00Z MON AUG 29 2016 - 00Z MON SEP 05 2016

...TROPICAL STORM MADELINE THREATENS THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BY
MIDWEEK...

THE LATEST MODELS AND ENSEMBLES STILL REASONABLY AGREE THAT HIGH
PRESSURE BUILT NORTH OF THE ISLANDS REMAINS SUPPORTIVE OF MODERATE
TO LOCALLY BRISK TRADES INTO MIDWEEK IN A GENERAL WINDWARD TERRAIN
FOCUSING RAINFALL PATTERN. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL POTENTIAL INCREASES
SIGNIFICANTLY BY MIDWEEK WITH RETURN OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND
INCREASING WINDS WITH THE FORECAST APPROACH TOWARD THE BIG ISLAND
OF TROPICAL STORM MADELINE. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PRODUCTS
FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AND WFO HONOLULU FOR
UPDATED INFORMATION ON MADELINE. THE EFFECTS FROM MADELINE SHOULD
SUBSIDE BY FRIDAY, BUT CURRENT HURRICANE LESTER MAY TRACK TOWARD
THE ISLANDS WITH UNCERTAIN INTENSITY BY NEXT WEEKEND CLOSE ON THE
HEELS OF MADELINE. HURRICANE LESTER IS NOW BEING FOLLOWED BY THE
NHC.

SCHICHTEL

$$





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