Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 312154
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
553 PM EDT THU JUL 31 2014


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 01/0000 UTC THRU AUG 04/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


WITH THE 18Z MODEL RUNS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE 12Z
RUNS..AT LEAST MASS FIELD-WISE..MADE ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE
PRELIM DAY 1 QPF..BASED MOSTLY ON RECENT RADAR IMAGERY/TRENDS.

DAY 1...

SOUTHERN ROCKIES/WEST
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NM AND WESTERN
TX WITH POTENTIAL FOR STRONG SLOW-MOVING CONVECTION FOCUSING ALONG
THE FAVORED ERN UPSLOPE AREAS OF SOUTHERN CO INTO NM/EXTREME
WESTERN TX UNDER A WEAK NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.  PRECIPITABLE OF
~1.50 INCHES COMBINED WITH 850-700 HPA INFLOW OF 20+ KTS ALONG THE
FRONT RANGE OF THE ROCKIES AND CAPES EXPECTED TO EXCEED 1000 J/KG
DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING MEET THE CRITERIA FOR HEAVY RAINFALL.  SOME
LOW-LEVEL INFLOW (10-20 KTS) ACROSS SOUTHERN AZ SHOULD FOCUS
CONVECTION WITHIN AND NEAR THEIR SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS, SO INCREASED
AMOUNTS FROM CONTINUITY HERE IN DEFERENCE TO SOME OF THE 00Z, 06Z,
AND 12Z MESOSCALE QPF GUIDANCE.  AMOUNTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT.  THE
BEST CHANCE OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RESIDES ACROSS MOIST AREAS OF NM
AND CO.


LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
MODEST LOW-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DRAWING PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES OF ~2 INCHES INTO AND IN ADVANCE OF A CYCLONE AND ITS
SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE COLD FRONT SHOULD SUPPORT ORGANIZED CONVECTION
BETWEEN NOW AND LATE WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES
THRU PARTS OF EASTERN TX, LA, AND WESTERN MS AS 850 HPA INFLOW
FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO OCCASIONALLY INCREASES TO 25-30 KTS WITHIN
AN AREA OF 2-2.25" PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES -- ABOVE THE 75TH
PERCENTILE FOR LATE JULY/EARLY AUGUST.  VEERING LOW-LEVEL WINDS IN
AREA SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT FORWARD PROPAGATION TO THE SOUTHEAST
IS EXPECTED AT ROUGHLY 10-15 KTS, WHICH COULD OUTRACE THE COLD
FRONT AND LEAD TO A NEW CONVECTIVE LINE BACK ALONG THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AT SOME POINT IN TIME (POSSIBLY TONIGHT).  AS 850 HPA
INFLOW APPEARS TO BE NARROW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT, THE RISK OF A
TRAINING WARM ADVECTION THUNDERSTORM BAND APPEARS MINIMAL NEAR THE
LA/AR BORDER.  HOURLY RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2.5" ARE SUPPORTED BY
THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE SUPPLY, WITH A QUICK 2-4" POSSIBLE.  PER
THE MOST RECENT GUIDANCE, INCREASED RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM
CONTINUITY, WITHOUT GETTING TOO EXTREME.


SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS/SOUTHEAST
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO SC FROM THE ATLANTIC IS EXPECTED TO
CAUSE SOME HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SC THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING,
FROM NEAR CHARLESTON TOWARDS THE TOPOGRAPHY.  TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY
AFTER 06Z, 850 HPA INFLOW INTO THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN GA
INCREASES OVER 25 KTS WHILE UPSTREAM MOST UNSTABLE CAPES REMAIN
~1000 J/KG (PER RECENT RAP GUIDANCE), SETTING OFF A NEW ROUND OF
ORGANIZED CONVECTION AHEAD OF AN 850 HPA CYCLONE.  VEERING WINDS
IN THE LOW-LEVELS SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME FORWARD PROPAGATION, AND
THE FORWARD PROPAGATING CORFIDI VECTORS SUGGEST 20 KTS OF
NORTHEAST MOTION FROM NORTHERN GA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS,
SETTING UP THE POSSIBILITY OF CELL TRAINING.  AS AN 850 HPA LOW
MOVES UP THE APPALACHIANS, HEAVY RAINS SHOULD SHIFT UP INTO
SOUTHWEST VA DURING THE DAY TOMORROW.  PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
ARE NEAR THE 90TH PERCENTILE FOR LATE JULY/EARLY AUGUST, IN THE
1.75-2" RANGE.  THIS SUGGESTS RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2" AN HOUR ARE
POSSIBLE WHERE CELLS BACKBUILD, OR MORE LIKELY, TRAIN.  WHILE THE
GLOBAL GUIDANCE CONSISTENT ON A SECONDARY RAINFALL MAXIMUM ACROSS
EASTERN NC ASSOCIATED WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH/POSSIBLE COASTAL
FRONT, THE 12Z MESOSCALE GUIDANCE IS NOT, SO GENERALLY LEFT
CONTINUITY ALONE HERE SINCE IT WAS WELL WITHIN THE GUIDANCE
SPREAD.


GREAT LAKES/NEW ENGLAND
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED WITHIN UNSEASONABLY COOL CYCLONIC
FLOW WILL LEAD TO SOME ENHANCED SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES AND NORTHEAST ESPECIALLY DURING TIME OF PEAK HEATING WITHIN
AN AREA OF PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1-1.25".  EXPECT AREAL AVG
AMOUNTS OF .25" TO .50" AT MOST HERE WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS
IN ANY AREAS OF CELL TRAINING.


FLORIDA
~~~~~~~
HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES -- IN THE 2-2.25" RANGE -- COMBINED
WITH LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IN THE SURFACE-700 HPA LAYER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOULD FORCE SEA BREEZE
CONVERGENCE-RELATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON TO PREFER THE
EVERGLADES AND POTENTIALLY THE GOLD COAST OF FL.  HOURLY RAIN
RATES UP TO 2.5" ARE POSSIBLE, WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 2-4" FORECAST
WHERE CELLS MERGE/TRAIN.  TOMORROW, THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL RELATED TO SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE SHOULD FOCUS MORE
TOWARDS THE WEST COAST AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHEASTERLY.



DAYS 2/3

...EASTERN STATES...

A SURPRISINGLY UNCERTAIN FORECAST FOR THE EASTERN US ESPECIALLY
FOR DAY 2 SINCE THERE IS SIGNIFICANT MODEL SPREAD ON THE QPF ALONG
THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD.  IN GENERAL...THE MOST RECENT 06Z GEFS/00Z
ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEANS POINT TO A WEAK SURFACE DISTURBANCE ADVANCING
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG A NEAR STATIONARY FRONT PRODUCING A .5 TO 2
INCH EVENT ALONG THE PATH OF THE SYSTEM FROM VIRGINIA
NORTHEASTWARD INTO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND.  WHILE THESE ENSEMBLE
MEANS ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR TO EACH OTHER...THE 00Z ECMWF IS REALLY
THE ONLY OPERATIONAL RUN THAT IS SIMILAR TO THE MEAN FORECASTS.
THE 12Z NAM IS SLIGHTLY IN AGREEMENT BUT HAS A MORE DISORGANIZED
QPF FIELD WHILE THE 12Z GFS/UKMET/CANADIAN EACH APPEAR TO MINIMIZE
A PRONOUNCED SURFACE LOW AND TEND TO KEEP THE HEAVIEST QPF
PRIMARILY EAST OF THE COAST.   THEREFORE...HAVE CHOSEN TO FOLLOW
THE WETTER FORECASTS OF THE MEANS AND THE 00Z ECMWF DESPITE HAVING
THE OTHER OPERATIONAL RUNS MINIMIZING THE PROSPECTS OF A
SIGNIFICANT QPF EVENT.

MEANWHILE...THE MEAN UPPER TROUGH HAS MOVED WESTWARD AND WILL
STILL ENHANCE THE PROBABILITY THAT SOME SIGNIFICANT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE EAST ESPECIALLY ON DAY 2 BUT
ALSO INTO DAY 3.  SINCE MOST FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IN THE COASTAL
PLAIN RUNS RELATIVELY HIGH WITH 3 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR CRITICAL
RATES...THERE ARE NO AREAS EXPECTED FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.


...FOUR CORNERS REGION INTO INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST...

WITH A MEAN RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST/ROCKIES...A MONSOONAL FLOW
SWEEPING MOISTURE NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN FLANK
OF THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE ON DAYS 2 INTO 3.  A SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EXISTS ON BOTH DAYS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW
MEXICO/WESTERN TEXAS AND SOUTHERN COLORADO ESPECIALLY SINCE FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY UNDER 1 TO 1.5 INCHES PER 3
HOURS ESPECIALLY ACROSS NEW MEXICO.

BOTH THE LAST FEW RUNS OF THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE PICKING UP A
DISTINCT VORTICITY SIGNATURES OVER NORTHERN MEXICO THAT APPROACH
AND INTENSIFY AS THEY APPROACH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA/ARIZONA AND NEW
MEXICO WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN UPPER LOW BY LATER SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.   THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE
WILL BE ABETTED BY EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO
INTO WESTERN TEXAS AND THE SOUTHWEST.

ROTH/TERRY/KOCIN

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 02/00Z
 0.01 531178 532173 531168 528161 524154 518148 513144 509143
      507140 499137 493133 482125 477124 475126 477132 480138
      487144 491148 497153 503158 508164 510171 515177 518180
      521182 527183 531178
 0.01 498680 497672 495667 491665 487665 476669 473672 468674
      462678 456685 450692 447695 444700 442703 438705 430710
      427712 425710 422706 419707 417710 407728 401737 397745
      395750 392755 390757 388756 387748 386741 384735 380726
      375725 369726 363732 356736 351737 347739 340745 331752
      318761 310768 303773 287782 283785 276786 270787 265786
      261786 258789 254791 251796 248798 245803 241810 241814
      242819 244823 246822 255826 264828 272830 280831 292833
      301837 303840 304847 305859 306865 306869 305873 303876
      301881 296901 294910 291918 286927 281934 276941 273949
      273954 276958 280959 281964 283990 283997 281002 277011
      277026 277031 277035 272043 271048 269051 267051 263052
      258052 250050 240047 236047 233051 228058 228063 231067
      236074 242079 258091 267096 274101 287114 292119 300126
      308129 315134 321141 323145 325150 327155 328157 331158
      336149 339146 343142 350138 353137 356134 358129 360126
      365124 366121 360116 357113 354108 352104 352100 356096
      360096 363093 366093 368095 373102 378104 383102 386100
      388104 384110 376115 374118 371123 369127 370130 371134
      374137 376142 373147 364151 359150 356149 352150 350154
      351159 354164 358172 363179 369186 384198 386198 387193
      382186 379181 379174 379170 382168 388169 398168 402166
      406166 411186 413196 412201 411207 409214 409221 410226
      414229 418235 422236 424232 428228 432227 437225 447225
      452226 455223 457220 457216 455213 452210 451204 455193
      462188 463186 464182 465174 466167 464161 468145 457129
      454125 453123 455120 456106 456100 454094 445092 441088
      438088 431091 428089 426092 428097 428101 427103 425106
      423107 421113 418113 416112 413109 412104 409100 406099
      404100 403098 403094 402089 403082 405077 408075 410070
      411067 414066 417065 418061
 0.01 418061 410058 408049 404044 400039 389033 384033 381034
      379032 378029 374022 367019 361016 359017 356020 352019
      349017 343015 335014 331014 329016 321018 316020 312020
      310017 307011 303005 301997 301989 303982 310966 311962
      313960 318956 327949 333945 337940 343935 346930 352925
      353923 355925 357927 363928 367927 369926 377922 381919
      392913 398910 402910 405911 414922 417931 415934 410935
      407933 403933 396929 392926 387927 386929 386936 389940
      395945 401949 403950 405951 404953 400954 398956 395963
      394970 396972 401973 401979 405988 407989 408987 416973
      420967 421963 420960 423957 426957 433957 439956 446953
      450952 453950 456948 459945 462939 464935 464930 467890
      469880 470870 467863 465860 461860 454863 453860 455857
      456854 458852 462848 465842 464839 461836 455832 450828
      443826 441825 441822 442817 444809 446802 446790 444786
      441786 438786 436789 432795 427807 420820 417825 414828
      411830 406831 402835 398841 384863 375875 368886 352907
      349912 348913 347911 347906 344899 339893 342885 345879
      349874 353870 359863 364858 372848 390830 409812 415806
      418800 426786 430771 433765 435756 437749 439746 443746
      447745 449743 449738 447736 446733 448729 451723 458713
      463706 471703 474701 478699 487697 495690 498680
 0.01 496100 496091 495084 494071 492056 489045 486040 482040
      478044 478052 480064 481071 483077 485083 485086 484090
      483096 484103 487106 492105 496100
 0.01 476999 476992 475986 474981 470979 465978 460978 457980
      453983 453988 453994 457997 460999 465000 470000 475000
      476999
 0.01 449173 448167 445164 440161 438158 434150 432145 429145
      426146 423146 421152 421164 422169 425174 427182 432190
      434192 436192 439187 441183 443180 446177 449173
 0.01 453864 452862 450863 448863 447865 445865 443866 442866
      440866 438866 437868 437871 438873 439873 440873 441873
      442872 444871 445871 446870 447869 449868 449867 450866
      452865 453864
 0.01 431873 431871 430869 429869 428867 426866 424866 423867
      423868 421870 421872 423873 425874 426875 428875 430875
      431873
 0.01 329166 329164 329163 328161 327160 326160 324160 323160
      323163 324165 325166 327166 328166 329166
 0.01 320160 320157 319155 315154 314152 310151 307150 304151
      303152 304155 306157 307158 311160 313161 316162 318162
      320160
 0.25 455901 456893 455886 455879 451877 447877 444877 439880
      441885 442889 444895 446900 448904 453904 455901
 0.25 403783 403778 402775 397772 385776 379777 374781 372782
      369779 371772 371764 375760 377758 378754 378747 378742
      376738 374737 371738 365741 361745 350747 341754 334761
      322769 304784 293790 288792 286794 286798 286802 284804
      281806 277806 266804 258804 255805 253808 253813 255816
      259819 264822 269823 282825 296825 301826 301821 295811
      299807 304805 309803 316803 322805 324810 320822 317827
      316829 317832 323829 328826 334824 334828 334838 336844
      339850 344852 350851 356848 364839 372829 375829 380825
      393805 397800 399794 403783
 0.25 393066 395062 394057 391053 388049 383046 377044 373041
      367039 362038 350035 339031 328032 321033 314032 298019
      295012 290012 285013 283016 285023 288027 295029 298031
      293039 295045 296052 294060 292066 289070 284071 273068
      260064 253064 247064 245065 245069 247073 254081 259084
      264086 271087 276089 284095 287099 291103 296106 300108
      306111 310115 315118 320117 338106 340100 342092 343086
      345081 347077 346074 343069 344067 346069 351072 361073
      366075 370078 373082 376084 380084 381082 382077 383070
      390070 393066
 0.25 339919 339911 338905 333895 325887 319887 314889 309897
      304907 299918 294928 288937 285949 283955 285961 285968
      286976 287982 288990 288995 290995 291991 294980 299970
      306962 313954 328940 336932 338927 339919 339919
 0.50 385056 384052 381049 374047 367045 358044 354042 352040
      344037 337035 331038 324040 320041 318044 316046 311046
      308039 306036 302034 297039 296042 298046 303049 305053
      305058 306066 306071 304074 299078 294082 291085 291089
      292092 294095 302094 318094 326093 325085 328083 330084
      333083 335080 334071 335067 338065 346064 355066 361064
      368068 374073 376073 376070 372057 380057 384057 385056
 0.50 379796 377791 373791 370792 364794 359797 351805 345807
      343814 340825 338832 339838 342845 348845 354843 357839
      364829 370818 375808 377801 379796
 0.50 375751 374745 371743 366744 363749 360751 356750 351753
      345759 338764 331768 325773 313783 309789 310793 313794
      330796 334798 338799 345797 350792 353788 356786 360780
      363771 366764 370756 375751
 0.50 335919 336912 335908 333903 331900 324895 321894 318895
      315898 310905 306913 297928 293935 290943 288948 287954
      288966 288973 290976 292977 295972 299964 305958 316946
      326934 332928 335919
 0.50 296023 296022 296021 295019 294016 292015 291014 290014
      289014 287015 286016 285018 286020 287022 288024 289024
      290025 292025 294025 296023 296023
 0.50 288818 286814 284813 279811 274809 269808 263806 260806
      258807 256812 261816 264819 270821 276822 283822 288818
 1.00 369808 370803 367800 361802 355806 351811 347818 344825
      344832 345837 348839 355836 358830 363823 366817 369809
      369808
 1.00 366054 365051 361050 354050 350050 349048 348044 346042
      342042 337045 333047 325048 322052 318055 314058 315064
      320067 326066 336059 339054 343052 354056 361057 366054
 1.00 359767 359764 357761 354764 351768 349771 346775 343778
      341781 340785 341788 346788 349785 352782 354779 356775
      358770 359767
 1.00 331917 331913 330909 326905 320903 319902 317904 311913
      305923 297933 295937 294943 292950 292953 294956 298955
      299952 303952 305950 312943 319934 323930 326925 331917
 1.00 291020 290020 289019 288020 289021 290021 291020
 1.00 272816 271815 270816 269816 270817 272817 272816
 1.50 365814 364807 360807 357809 354813 352816 350820 348824
      348831 351834 355831 356827 359823 361821 363816 365814
 1.50 332055 331053 331052 329051 327052 326053 326055 325057
      327059 328059 330059 332058 332056 332055
 1.50 324061 324059 323058 321058 319058 318058 318061 319062
      321062 323062 324061
 1.50 327915 326911 322910 318911 315913 311918 307924 303928
      299935 297941 300943 301941 303939 307933 313928 319925
      324920 327915
 2.00 360819 361816 360814 359814 358814 357815 356817 355817
      354819 353819 352821 352822 352824 354823 356821 358821
      359819 360819

24HR QP VT 03/00Z
 0.01 547936 547930 546921 539912 534905 543889 542867 524863
      508879 487908 483935 483952 475963 454977 428971 403965
      379969 373981 381997 401011 421011 438015 451032 465035
      477026 491029 499038 496055 494074 493095 486103 472102
      458096 442095 425104 404120 399112 408108 407102 396105
      387105 387092 396082 407072 409058 404038 390032 367025
      329014 298000 276989 260990 254000 262011 262020 260031
      254042 236052 231069 239079 243084 273110 292122 309132
      311145 301152 309160 321167 332171 343176 345167 335156
      326145 332145 344152 357164 371181 388195 414203 430209
      427221 434227 448220 451221 454217 452214
 0.01 452215 449211 448206 454203 459201 466187 465168 471149
      478152 480168 478179 473185 480193 478202 464208 457219
      461223 472222 483219 491216 501202 502201 501198 497197
      494195 495192 505187 513181 524179 529185 532187 535179
      532172 526166 519152 522135 526118 520106 516088 517070
      523042 530012 534988 541970 546949 547936
 0.01 296965 319949 341921 351910 358910 368913 381901 396903
      405914 397915 382927 393938 410939 428929 442917 447893
      445875 437845 441835 452832 460821 470814 484809 494792
      497767 481733 471694 464665 454659 437658 419650 401656
      356717 325750 297785 271792 252797 242813 244821 255830
      270833 284832 302837 307848 303862 285891 271926 264944
      265959 271967 278970 292967 296965
 0.25 515916 515910 513911 509916 504924 501931 498939 496947
      493957 496957 498954 502947 505940 509933 512925 515916
      515916
 0.25 489139 498145 505150 506142 498132 494128 491129 489130
      488131 486133 487136 488136 489137 489139
 0.25 442745 446738 451717 450695 439680 420686 396696 363730
      328768 315797 298808 269800 252805 255817 266818 276819
      291822 321830 328840 332857 340859 345842 349819 358808
      368805 379806 393800 407787 419766 423760 425758 430755
      437751 442745
 0.25 413155 414153 413151 413150 412150 410149 409150 408150
      406151 404153 402155 402158 404159 405159 406158 407158
      409157 411156 413155 413155
 0.25 396813 384818 379823 375832 381838 394837 406827 408815
      399812 396813
 0.25 386061 387054 385049 380043 373039 366036 362036 357038
      349041 343043 341041 337039 330034 323030 315026 308026
      301031 300036 298040 293047 289052 281056 274061 269065
      262070 260074 262078 270082 276086 283091 294101 310109
      325112 342118 353117 356097 356080 368072 382065 386061
 0.25 336884 336877 334873 333871 328868 318871 308880 295900
      284922 283941 289943 300937 316924 330906 336887 336884
 0.50 440692 437688 433688 424691 409698 399698 393705 384718
      374731 360742 354748 349754 344760 340768 329803 326810
      326814 331813 338810 344805 351799 358794 373792 381791
      385790 389787 398774 404766 406762 409760 417755 422750
      425746 427742 430733 434715 438702 440692
 0.50 375060 379054 377047 371042 363040 356042 351049 349057
      352061 357065 364063 371062 375060
 0.50 306095 317099 323092 329097 337103 341087 340074 339052
      329038 319037 308042 300054 290062 285066 281074 284078
      287081 293086 301093 306095
 0.50 323899 321895 315895 309898 302908 301916 303918 306918
      312916 315913 319908 322902 323899
 0.50 263804 256809 260813 267813 273810 273806 270805 269804
      267803 265804 263804
 1.00 421721 418711 408706 394715 380732 356756 348771 350780
      357784 365782 378779 388772 400753 404748 411744 415740
      417736 420726 421721
 1.00 372053 372050 370049 369048 369047 367046 365046 363045
      362046 361047 360048 359049 360051 361053 363054 365054
      367054 368054 370054 372053
 1.00 303069 312074 317071 318064 314058 308060 302064 301065
      303069
 1.50 412723 411719 409716 400716 395722 391728 382739 370748
      364753 360758 356766 356769 357772 364771 371772 374772
      377770 381765 386758 390753 396748 400742 403736 409730
      412723
 2.00 392736 392734 389737 384742 379747 372751 368756 365759
      365762 370764 377761 380755 382750 385747 389742 392736


24HR QP VT 04/00Z
 0.01 455626 475671 489705 496737 487757 469764 454776 439799
      420819 398830 376844 358860 348882 332929 304960 283972
      273967 268951 269928 280894 287857 279846 265840 248828
      241814 243802 264788 288779 329750 390684 424649 447627
 0.01 542108 542105 539095 530087 523062 522037 503017 485016
      475006 477997 491985 503956 505934 513904 521863 517830
      520805 515778 508769 496774 485788 470822 449861 429873
      424884 432894 445906 441932 423950 411953 410971 420994
      442002 458005 462018 455027 448043 450055 459057 471051
      479053 486064 485083 476095 461087 459084 447081 434084
      419090 405076 407060 394045 370034 347024 326026 301016
      277003 267003 252008 255018 261032 259042 251050 237047
      235058 248075 260087 275096 290107 299120 311132 313143
      300140 296145 304156 323167 343177 364189 389185 404168
      417156 414147 406147 402144
 0.01 402143 399138 400132 408126 419116 434108 443114 444126
      440145 444161 437180 432199 439207 451199 459175 464160
      475164 482179 491193 503198 521185 530171 535146 539123
      542109
 0.25 520159 520149 518139 516132 510126 506126 503128 499134
      497141 500149 505156 509162 512164 516166 518164 520159
 0.25 524110 525104 525099 521091 519088 518083 517074 512068
      510069 508073 507079 506083 502090 505099 510104 516108
      518110 522111 524110
 0.25 499865 497874 495875 493870 495863 498860 499865
 0.25 486836 487833 486832 485831 484831 482833 482834 482837
      483837 484837 486836 486836
 0.25 455653 454645 452642 447642 444645 432662 420680 412691
      407694 401696 393700 385706 376712 370718 362728 353738
      316782 293804 270802 254806 257816 270822 282826 296836
      303852 296897 288921 291929 302922 326893 333860 338836
      348822 368810 381809 407799 419786 429765 429755 424753
      421753 418754 415756 406763 399770 391771 389764 390757
      396745 404727 409717 414709 418704 422700 432692 440684
      446677 452666 455660 455653
 0.25 474922 474920 474918 473917 472915 470913 469914 468915
      467917 467920 468922 469924 469925 471925 472926 473925
      474923 474922
 0.25 378121 372103 370093 371090 373089 378087 381079 383073
      382067 376058 376055 377052 375050 371051 366051 361051
      356053 352056 347055 343053 337049 331048 327048 322048
      318046 313037 297034 282034 273040 266053 266058 268063
      271067 275072 276077 279080 283082 289084 299087 318118
      324122 328130 332138 335140 338140 344140 352144 359146
      364144 366140 369134 371131 375126 378121
 0.50 441657 438662 437669 439671 443669 448662 449653 445652
      441657
 0.50 394722 394717 392714 389713 386714 378718 360737 342759
      323785 311813 308823 309833 313836 321837 342816 368777
      387739 390733 394722
 0.50 376080 377078 377076 377073 376072 375071 374070 373069
      372068 372066 371066 370068 370070 371073 370075 370077
      370078 370079 372081 374082 375081 376080
 0.50 348137 354136 357131 358122 354108 348093 345078 339067
      335064 331062 323062 318060 313055 312048 310039 289048
      287050 283050 279054 271055 270058 271060 281066 286071
      295077 306083 311092 319105 328113 333117 338130 348137
 0.50 272813 276814 280811 278808 270806 267807 268812 269812
      272813
 1.00 374742 372739 363748 352758 340773 330788 326802 328810
      337807 357780 373749 374742
 1.00 350130 350126 349123 345118 343113 343106 341100 339093
      335095 334100 337106 340110 343116 342119 342124 346129
      350130
 1.00 336078 336073 334071 331069 326069 318067 315065 310066
      305070 305074 309077 312083 316088 319090 323089 328083
      334081 336078
 1.00 291064 292062 290061 288061 286062 288064 290065 291064
      291064
 1.50 333075 329073 327074 324074 320074 315073 314077 315082
      317084 321084 325081 329079 332077 333075

$$




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