Quantitative Precipitation Statement
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FSUS46 KLOX 162126
QPSLOX

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
124 PM PST MON JAN 16 2017

PRECIPITATION FORECASTS IN INCHES ARE PROVIDED IN 3-HOUR
INCREMENTS UNTIL 0400 FOLLOWED BY 6-HOUR INCREMENTS UNTIL 1600.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES COVER UP TO 1600 ON DAY 1 ONLY.

LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ZERO BUT LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN
INCH ARE SHOWN AS LGT.

THE DISCUSSION COVERS THE PERIOD FROM: MON JAN 16 2017 THROUGH MON JAN 23 2017.

&&
                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY...

LSRC1:CAMBRIA                        0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SMRC1:SANTA MARGARITA                0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
NIPC1:LOPEZ LAKE                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0

SLO: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00         FTHLS/MTNS 0.00
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN        N/A
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...

SIYC1:SANTA MARIA CITY               0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SBTC1:SANTA BARBARA POTRERO          0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
GBRC1:GIBRALTAR DAM                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SMCC1:SAN MARCOS PASS                0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |
0.0    0.0 SBFC1:SANTA BARBARA COUNTY BUILDING  0.0    0.0 DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THEN A SERIES OF
STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. THE FIRST STORM WILL MOVE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY, GENERALLY BRINGING 0.25 TO 0.75 INCHES
OF RAIN TO THE AREA (WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE FAVORED
UPSLOPE AREAS). THE SECOND STORM WILL MOVE THROUGH ON FRIDAY AND
LOOKS TO BE A BIT STRONGER, BRINGING BETWEEN 0.50 AND 1.50 INCHES OF
RAIN TO THE AREA (WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE FAVORED UPSLOPE
AREAS). FINALLY, THE THIRD STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH ON
SUNDAY. THE THIRD STORM COULD BE THE STRONGEST OF THE THREE BUT
CONFIDENCE WITH THIS STORM IS LOW AS THE LONG RANGE MDLS DISAGREE ON
MANY DETAILS.   0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0

SBA: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00         FTHLS/MTNS 0.00
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN        N/A
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

VENTURA COUNTY...

FGWC1:FAGAN CANYON                   0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
HRCC1:HOPPER CANYON                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
MTDC1:MATILIJA DAM                   0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
VTUC1:VENTURA COUNTY GOVT CENTER     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
MORC1:MOORPARK COUNTY YARD           0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
CRXC1:CIRCLE X RANCH                 0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0

VTU: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00         FTHLS/MTNS 0.00
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN        N/A
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

LOS ANGELES COUNTY...

WFKC1:WEST FORK HELIPORT (MT WILSON) 0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
BDDC1:BIG DALTON DAM                 0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
PCDC1:PACOIMA DAM                    0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
FLTC1:LA CANADA FLINTRIDGE           0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SAUC1:SAUGUS                         0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
CQT  :LOS ANGELES DOWNTOWN (USC)     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
MLUC1:BIG ROCK MESA                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0

LAC: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00         FTHLS/MTNS 0.00
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN        N/A
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&

DISCUSSION: DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THEN A SERIES OF STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. THE FIRST STORM
WILL MOVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY, GENERALLY BRINGING
0.25 TO 0.75 INCHES OF RAIN TO THE AREA (WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
IN THE FAVORED UPSLOPE AREAS). THE SECOND STORM WILL MOVE THROUGH ON
FRIDAY AND LOOKS TO BE A BIT STRONGER, BRINGING BETWEEN 0.50 AND
1.50 INCHES OF RAIN TO THE AREA (WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE
FAVORED UPSLOPE AREAS). FINALLY, THE THIRD STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
THROUGH ON SUNDAY. THE THIRD STORM COULD BE THE STRONGEST OF THE
THREE BUT CONFIDENCE WITH THE STRENGTH OF THIS STORM IS LOW AS THE
LONG RANGE MDLS DISAGREE ON MANY DETAILS.

&&

RAT



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