River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 201543
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1141 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2014
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.81 ft at Aug-20 11:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     1.8/     1.9
.E2 :0821:/     2.0/     2.1/     2.1/     2.0
.E3 :0822:/     2.0/     2.0/     1.9/     1.9
.E4 :0823:/     1.8/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.33/ 0.33/ 0.11/ 0.04/ 0.13/ 0.17/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.48 ft at Aug-20 11:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     1.5/     1.5
.E2 :0821:/     1.5/     1.6/     1.6/     1.6
.E3 :0822:/     1.7/     1.7/     1.8/     1.8
.E4 :0823:/     1.7/     1.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.32/ 0.33/ 0.10/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.12/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.68 ft at Aug-20 11:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     1.8/     2.2
.E2 :0821:/     2.7/     2.6/     2.3/     2.4
.E3 :0822:/     2.8/     2.5/     2.1/     1.9
.E4 :0823:/     1.8/     1.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.36/ 0.31/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.13/ 0.18/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 0.65 ft at Aug-20 11:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     0.9/     1.0
.E2 :0821:/     0.9/     0.8/     1.0/     1.4
.E3 :0822:/     1.3/     1.1/     1.0/     0.9
.E4 :0823:/     0.8/     0.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.34/ 0.32/ 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.12/ 0.17/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.96 ft at Aug-20 11:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     3.1/     3.2
.E2 :0821:/     3.4/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6
.E3 :0822:/     3.7/     3.8/     3.6/     3.4
.E4 :0823:/     3.3/     3.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.33/ 0.32/ 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.11/ 0.15/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.31 ft at Aug-20 11:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     2.6/     2.6
.E2 :0821:/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4/     2.5
.E3 :0822:/     2.9/     2.8/     2.6/     2.5
.E4 :0823:/     2.5/     2.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.35/ 0.32/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.11/ 0.16/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.99 ft at Aug-20 11:00 am
:
.ER WILN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     2.1/     2.1
.E2 :0821:/     2.1/     2.0/     2.1/     2.2
.E3 :0822:/     2.3/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2
.E4 :0823:/     2.2/     2.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.32/ 0.32/ 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.13/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.46 ft at Aug-20 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     4.5/     4.5
.E2 :0821:/     4.8/     5.0/     5.0/     4.9
.E3 :0822:/     4.9/     5.4/     5.5/     5.3
.E4 :0823:/     5.0/     4.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.32/ 0.36/ 0.16/ 0.05/ 0.21/ 0.37/ 0.00/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 8.89 ft at Aug-20 11:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     9.0/     9.2
.E2 :0821:/     9.4/     9.6/     9.7/    10.0
.E3 :0822:/    10.3/    10.5/    10.5/    10.4
.E4 :0823:/    10.3/    10.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.36/ 0.35/ 0.12/ 0.04/ 0.20/ 0.28/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 586.55 ft at Aug-20 11:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/   586.6/   586.6
.E2 :0821:/   586.6/   586.6/   586.6/   586.6
.E3 :0822:/   586.6/   586.6/   586.6/   586.6
.E4 :0823:/   586.6/   586.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.34/ 0.33/ 0.13/ 0.05/ 0.19/ 0.25/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 15.99 ft at Aug-20 11:00 am
:Crest 20.83 at Aug-23 2am
:
.ER AVON6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/    16.0/    16.1
.E2 :0821:/    16.4/    16.8/    17.1/    17.7
.E3 :0822:/    18.9/    19.9/    20.4/    20.7
.E4 :0823:/    20.8/    20.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.32/ 0.33/ 0.15/ 0.05/ 0.23/ 0.23/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.68 ft at Aug-20 11:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     2.7/     2.7
.E2 :0821:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7
.E3 :0822:/     2.8/     2.8/     2.9/     2.9
.E4 :0823:/     3.0/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.33/ 0.34/ 0.13/ 0.05/ 0.17/ 0.18/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.68 ft at Aug-20 11:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     1.7/     1.7
.E2 :0821:/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7
.E3 :0822:/     1.7/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8
.E4 :0823:/     1.8/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.30/ 0.33/ 0.14/ 0.05/ 0.14/ 0.12/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.56 ft at Aug-20 08:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     3.9/     3.9
.E2 :0821:/     4.0/     4.1/     4.3/     4.6
.E3 :0822:/     4.9/     5.3/     5.7/     5.9
.E4 :0823:/     6.1/     6.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.28/ 0.33/ 0.17/ 0.06/ 0.25/ 0.16/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 0.57 ft at Aug-20 11:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     0.6/     0.7
.E2 :0821:/     0.8/     0.8/     0.9/     1.0
.E3 :0822:/     1.2/     1.2/     1.1/     1.0
.E4 :0823:/     1.0/     0.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.28/ 0.32/ 0.19/ 0.06/ 0.30/ 0.28/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/   687.4/   687.4
.E2 :0821:/   687.4/   687.4/   687.5/   687.5
.E3 :0822:/   687.5/   687.5/   687.5/   687.5
.E4 :0823:/   687.6/   687.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.22/ 0.31/ 0.21/ 0.07/ 0.31/ 0.32/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Crest 3.45 at Aug-22 2am
:
.ER CPNN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     3.2/     3.2
.E2 :0821:/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3/     3.4
.E3 :0822:/     3.4/     3.4/     3.3/     3.2
.E4 :0823:/     3.2/     3.2
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.21 ft at Aug-20 11:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     4.2/     4.3
.E2 :0821:/     4.3/     4.4/     4.6/     4.8
.E3 :0822:/     5.0/     5.0/     4.9/     4.8
.E4 :0823:/     4.7/     4.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.19/ 0.25/ 0.18/ 0.29/ 0.45/ 0.03/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.41 ft at Aug-20 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     2.4/     2.4
.E2 :0821:/     2.4/     2.4/     2.5/     2.6
.E3 :0822:/     2.7/     3.0/     3.4/     3.6
.E4 :0823:/     3.6/     3.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.21/ 0.19/ 0.32/ 0.39/ 0.04/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.69 ft at Aug-20 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20140820 E DC201408201141/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0820:       ::       ::/     3.7/     3.6
.E2 :0821:/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6/     3.7
.E3 :0822:/     3.8/     3.9/     4.1/     4.2
.E4 :0823:/     4.2/     4.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.30/ 0.19/ 0.31/ 0.35/ 0.01/ 0.00/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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