River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 021603
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1059 AM EST Fri Dec 02 2016
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.75 ft at Dec-02 10:00 am
:
.ER ATTN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     3.7/     3.7
.E2 :1203:/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6
.E3 :1204:/     3.6/     3.6/     3.5/     3.5
.E4 :1205:/     3.5/     3.5
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.51 ft at Dec-02 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     2.4/     2.3
.E2 :1203:/     2.2/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1
.E3 :1204:/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1/     2.0
.E4 :1205:/     2.0/     1.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.24 ft at Dec-02 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     2.2/     2.2
.E2 :1203:/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3
.E3 :1204:/     2.2/     2.1/     2.0/     1.9
.E4 :1205:/     1.9/     1.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.47 ft at Dec-02 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.4
.E2 :1203:/     3.2/     3.3/     3.0/     3.2
.E3 :1204:/     3.1/     2.9/     2.7/     2.6
.E4 :1205:/     2.6/     2.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.79 ft at Dec-02 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     1.7/     1.6
.E2 :1203:/     1.5/     1.5/     1.6/     1.6
.E3 :1204:/     1.5/     1.4/     1.3/     1.2
.E4 :1205:/     1.2/     1.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.53 ft at Dec-02 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     4.5/     4.4
.E2 :1203:/     4.5/     4.4/     4.4/     4.3
.E3 :1204:/     4.2/     4.1/     3.9/     3.8
.E4 :1205:/     3.8/     3.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.74 ft at Dec-02 10:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.5
.E2 :1203:/     3.4/     3.5/     3.4/     3.3
.E3 :1204:/     3.2/     3.0/     2.9/     2.9
.E4 :1205:/     2.8/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.35 ft at Dec-02 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.3
.E2 :1203:/     3.3/     3.2/     3.0/     2.9
.E3 :1204:/     2.7/     2.5/     2.4/     2.3
.E4 :1205:/     2.2/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.01 ft at Dec-02 09:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     5.0/     5.0
.E2 :1203:/     5.0/     5.1/     5.1/     5.0
.E3 :1204:/     5.1/     5.1/     5.0/     5.0
.E4 :1205:/     5.0/     5.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 10.22 ft at Dec-02 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/    10.2/    10.1
.E2 :1203:/    10.2/    10.2/    10.2/    10.2
.E3 :1204:/    10.3/    10.3/    10.2/    10.1
.E4 :1205:/    10.1/    10.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 595.30 ft at Dec-02 10:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/   595.0/   593.6
.E2 :1203:/   593.3/   593.2/   593.2/   593.2
.E3 :1204:/   593.2/   593.1/   593.1/   593.1
.E4 :1205:/   593.0/   593.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 20.47 ft at Dec-02 10:30 am
:
.ER AVON6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/    21.0/    21.0
.E2 :1203:/    20.7/    20.4/    20.2/    20.0
.E3 :1204:/    19.8/    19.7/    19.7/    19.7
.E4 :1205:/    19.6/    19.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.43 ft at Dec-02 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     2.4/     2.4
.E2 :1203:/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4
.E3 :1204:/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4
.E4 :1205:/     2.4/     2.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.92 ft at Dec-02 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     1.9/     1.9
.E2 :1203:/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8
.E3 :1204:/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8/     1.7
.E4 :1205:/     1.7/     1.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.26 ft at Dec-02 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     6.5/     6.6
.E2 :1203:/     6.7/     6.6/     6.5/     6.5
.E3 :1204:/     6.4/     6.3/     6.3/     6.2
.E4 :1205:/     6.2/     6.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.52 ft at Dec-02 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     1.5/     1.4
.E2 :1203:/     1.4/     1.3/     1.3/     1.3
.E3 :1204:/     1.3/     1.2/     1.2/     1.2
.E4 :1205:/     1.2/     1.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 690.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 687.65 ft at Dec-02 10:45 am
:
.ER CNDN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/   687.6/   687.7
.E2 :1203:/   687.7/   687.7/   687.7/   687.7
.E3 :1204:/   687.7/   687.7/   687.7/   687.7
.E4 :1205:/   687.7/   687.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.43 ft at Dec-02 10:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.5
.E2 :1203:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E3 :1204:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E4 :1205:/     3.5/     3.5
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.57 ft at Dec-02 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     6.5/     6.4
.E2 :1203:/     6.3/     6.3/     6.2/     6.2
.E3 :1204:/     6.1/     6.0/     5.8/     5.7
.E4 :1205:/     5.7/     5.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.16/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.44 ft at Dec-02 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     6.4/     6.1
.E2 :1203:/     5.9/     5.8/     5.7/     5.5
.E3 :1204:/     5.3/     5.1/     5.0/     4.8
.E4 :1205:/     4.7/     4.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.12/ 0.16/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.56 ft at Dec-02 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20161202 E DC201612021059/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1202:       ::       ::/     6.7/     6.9
.E2 :1203:/     7.1/     7.2/     7.4/     7.5
.E3 :1204:/     7.5/     7.5/     7.4/     7.2
.E4 :1205:/     7.1/     6.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.13/ 0.16/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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