River Forecast
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974
FGUS51 KTIR 191347
RVFCMU
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
8:47am EST Monday, February 19, 2018

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Baxter - Cumberland River (Poor Fork) - JKL
: Zero Datum 1147.26 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Harlan County, KY
: Record River Stage     34.2 ft
: Major River Stage      20.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   18.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      16.0 ft
: Action River Stage     13.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /   4.6E
:     Feb 18   /  11.8E/  13.6E/   8.5E/   5.7E
:     Feb 19   /   5.2E/   5.6E/   5.3E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER BXTK2 20180219 Z DC201802191347/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :                         /   5.1
.E2 : Feb 20 : /   4.8 /   4.6 /   4.3 /   4.1
.E3 : Feb 21 : /   3.9 /   3.7 /   3.6 /   3.6
.E4 : Feb 22 : /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.7 /   4.0
.E5 : Feb 23 : /   4.1 /   4.0 /   3.9 /   3.8
.E6 : Feb 24 : /   3.7 /   3.6 /   3.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  0.30
:     Feb 17   /  0.15 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.34
:     Feb 18   /  0.84 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.00
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  13.4
:     Feb 17   /   6.6 /   3.6 /   2.7 /   5.5
:     Feb 18   /   5.5 /   5.5 /   2.6 /   3.0
:     Feb 19   /  10.7 /   9.5 /   9.7 /  13.5
:     Feb 20   /  17.5 /  15.1 /  13.8 /  16.8
:     Feb 21   /  19.9 /  16.2 /  15.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Pineville - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 970.0 ft (Sandy Hook)
: Bell County, KY
: Record River Stage   1021.8 ft
: Major River Stage    1019.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage 1010.0 ft
: Flood River Stage    1002.0 ft
: Action River Stage    995.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           / 983.2
:     Feb 18   / 990.0 / 996.1 / 997.9 / 995.4
:     Feb 19   / 991.3 / 988.0 / 986.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 985.9 ft at 830am EST on Mon, Feb 19
:
.ER PVLK2 20180219 Z DC201802191347/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :                         / 985.3
.E2 : Feb 20 : / 984.3 / 983.5 / 983.0 / 982.6
.E3 : Feb 21 : / 982.2 / 981.8 / 981.4 / 981.3
.E4 : Feb 22 : / 981.1 / 980.9 / 981.1 / 981.2
.E5 : Feb 23 : / 981.3 / 981.4 / 981.4 / 981.3
.E6 : Feb 24 : / 981.1 / 980.9 / 980.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  0.35
:     Feb 17   /  0.12 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.44
:     Feb 18   /  0.63 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.00
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  15.0
:     Feb 17   /   7.7 /   5.5 /   4.0 /   5.8
:     Feb 18   /   6.3 /   6.8 /   3.6 /   4.6
:     Feb 19   /  12.0 /  10.1 /  12.0 /  14.7
:     Feb 20   /  18.8 /  15.9 /  14.6 /  18.0
:     Feb 21   /  21.4 /  17.1 /  15.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Barbourville - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 942.97 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Knox County, KY
: Record River Stage     45.9 ft
: Major River Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   33.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      27.0 ft
: Action River Stage     21.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  14.5
:     Feb 18   /  17.6 /  22.1 /  25.0 /  26.6
:     Feb 19   /  26.8 /  25.9 /  24.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 24.0 ft at 830am EST on Mon, Feb 19
:
.ER BBVK2 20180219 Z DC201802191347/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :                         /  22.6
.E2 : Feb 20 : /  21.2 /  19.6 /  18.2 /  16.9
.E3 : Feb 21 : /  15.7 /  14.8 /  13.9 /  13.2
.E4 : Feb 22 : /  12.6 /  12.1 /  11.9 /  12.2
.E5 : Feb 23 : /  12.9 /  13.5 /  13.7 /  13.6
.E6 : Feb 24 : /  13.3 /  12.9 /  12.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  0.40
:     Feb 17   /  0.10 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.66
:     Feb 18   /  0.59 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.00
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  14.8
:     Feb 17   /   7.9 /   5.7 /   3.9 /   5.2
:     Feb 18   /   5.8 /   7.1 /   3.8 /   4.6
:     Feb 19   /  12.6 /  10.7 /  13.2 /  15.7
:     Feb 20   /  19.7 /  16.4 /  15.2 /  18.8
:     Feb 21   /  22.3 /  17.9 /  16.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Williamsburg - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 891.52 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Whitley County, KY
: Record River Stage     35.0 ft
: Major River Stage      32.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   27.5 ft
: Flood River Stage      21.0 ft
: Action River Stage     17.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR WLBK2 20180220 Z DC201802191347/DUE/DQG/DH00/HGIFFX :crest:   20.7
: Crest near   20.7 ft around 7PM EST on Mon, Feb 19
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  15.6
:     Feb 18   /  17.5 /  18.7 /  19.9 /  20.7
:     Feb 19   /  20.8 /  20.7 /  20.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 20.3 ft at 800am EST on Mon, Feb 19
:
.ER WLBK2 20180219 Z DC201802191347/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :                         /  20.5
.E2 : Feb 20 : /  20.7 /  20.7 /  20.3 /  19.7
.E3 : Feb 21 : /  18.9 /  17.9 /  16.9 /  15.8
.E4 : Feb 22 : /  14.6 /  13.9 /  13.5 /  13.4
.E5 : Feb 23 : /  13.3 /  13.3 /  13.4 /  13.5
.E6 : Feb 24 : /  13.5 /  13.4 /  13.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  0.34
:     Feb 17   /  0.10 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.66
:     Feb 18   /  0.65 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.00
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  15.1
:     Feb 17   /   7.7 /   5.4 /   3.9 /   4.9
:     Feb 18   /   5.5 /   7.1 /   3.7 /   4.7
:     Feb 19   /  12.6 /  11.1 /  13.4 /  16.0
:     Feb 20   /  20.0 /  16.7 /  15.5 /  19.0
:     Feb 21   /  22.5 /  18.2 /  17.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Celina - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 488.95 ft (NAVD 88)
: Clay County, TN
: Record River Stage     59.2 ft
: Major River Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   45.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  22.1
:     Feb 18   /  23.5 /  24.3 /  24.5 /  24.5
:     Feb 19   /  24.3 /  24.2 /  24.0
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 23.9 ft at 830am EST on Mon, Feb 19
:
.ER CLAT1 20180219 Z DC201802191347/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :                         /  23.8
.E2 : Feb 20 : /  23.4 /  22.9 /  22.9 /  22.9
.E3 : Feb 21 : /  22.7 /  22.5 /  22.3 /  22.2
.E4 : Feb 22 : /  22.3 /  22.8 /  24.5 /  24.8
.E5 : Feb 23 : /  24.9 /  24.9 /  24.7 /  24.4
.E6 : Feb 24 : /  23.8 /  23.3 /  22.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  0.36
:     Feb 17   /  0.08 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.47
:     Feb 18   /  0.43 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.00
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  12.8
:     Feb 17   /   7.5 /   5.2 /   3.3 /   4.0
:     Feb 18   /   5.7 /   6.9 /   2.1 /   4.0
:     Feb 19   /  12.4 /  12.4 /  15.0 /  18.0
:     Feb 20   /  21.1 /  18.4 /  17.8 /  20.2
:     Feb 21   /  22.8 /  20.1 /  19.5
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
: Noel
:...END of MESSAGE...




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