River Forecast
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000
FGUS51 KTIR 031446
RVFMNL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
9:46am EST Tuesday, March 3, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Confluence - Youghiogheny River - CTP
: Zero Datum 1302.8 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     21.6 ft
: Major River Stage      17.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      7.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR CNFP1 20150305 Z DC201503031446/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:    7.1
: Crest near    7.1 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /   2.5
:     Mar 02   /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.6 /   2.7
:     Mar 03   /   2.8 /   2.9 /   2.9
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.0 ft at 845am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER CNFP1 20150303 Z DC201503031446/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /   3.0
.E2 : Mar 04 : /   3.0 /   3.3 /   4.0 /   5.4
.E3 : Mar 05 : /   6.4 /   6.9 /   7.1 /   6.7
.E4 : Mar 06 : /   6.2 /   5.8 /   5.6 /   5.2
.E5 : Mar 07 : /   5.0 /   4.8 /   4.6 /   4.4
.E6 : Mar 08 : /   4.3 /   4.1 /   4.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.02 /  0.18
:     Mar 02   /  0.17 /  0.29 /  0.06 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.04
:     Mar 04   /  0.29 /  0.34 /  0.31 /  0.22
:     Mar 05   /  0.21 /  0.22 /  0.20
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           / -11.6
:     Mar 01   /  -4.3 /  -6.7 /  -6.1 /  -2.0
:     Mar 02   /   1.2 /   1.4 /  -1.4 /  -5.1
:     Mar 03   /  -3.7 /  -7.4 /  -7.8 /  -1.8
:     Mar 04   /   3.2 /   4.0 /   3.5 /   4.2
:     Mar 05   /   1.9 /  -2.9 /  -8.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Ohiopyle - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1164.67 ft (NAVD 1988)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     14.8 ft
: Major River Stage      25.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     10.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /   1.9
:     Mar 02   /   1.9 /   1.9 /   2.0 /   2.1
:     Mar 03   /   2.3 /   2.3 /   2.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 2.4 ft at 915am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER OPLP1 20150303 Z DC201503031446/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /   2.5
.E2 : Mar 04 : /   2.6 /   3.2 /   4.2 /   6.2
.E3 : Mar 05 : /   7.5 /   8.1 /   8.3 /   7.9
.E4 : Mar 06 : /   7.3 /   6.8 /   6.4 /   6.0
.E5 : Mar 07 : /   5.6 /   5.3 /   5.1 /   4.8
.E6 : Mar 08 : /   4.6 /   4.4 /   4.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.13
:     Mar 02   /  0.17 /  0.30 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.04
:     Mar 04   /  0.32 /  0.36 /  0.31 /  0.21
:     Mar 05   /  0.22 /  0.22 /  0.19
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           / -11.5
:     Mar 01   /  -3.9 /  -6.6 /  -6.3 /  -2.0
:     Mar 02   /   1.1 /   1.4 /  -1.9 /  -5.3
:     Mar 03   /  -3.9 /  -9.2 /  -8.4 /  -2.0
:     Mar 04   /   3.0 /   5.3 /   4.8 /   3.3
:     Mar 05   /   1.0 /  -3.7 /  -8.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Connellsville - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 860.13 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     22.0 ft
: Major River Stage      18.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   16.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      9.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /   2.7
:     Mar 02   /   2.7 /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.9
:     Mar 03   /   3.1 /   3.2 /   3.2
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.2 ft at 915am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER CLLP1 20150303 Z DC201503031446/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /   3.2
.E2 : Mar 04 : /   3.2 /   3.4 /   4.4 /   5.8
.E3 : Mar 05 : /   7.2 /   7.8 /   8.0 /   7.8
.E4 : Mar 06 : /   7.3 /   6.9 /   6.5 /   6.2
.E5 : Mar 07 : /   5.9 /   5.6 /   5.4 /   5.1
.E6 : Mar 08 : /   5.0 /   4.8 /   4.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.12
:     Mar 02   /  0.19 /  0.25 /  0.02 /  0.01
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.05
:     Mar 04   /  0.35 /  0.37 /  0.31 /  0.21
:     Mar 05   /  0.20 /  0.20 /  0.18
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           / -11.0
:     Mar 01   /  -3.6 /  -5.6 /  -5.1 /  -1.3
:     Mar 02   /   1.2 /   1.5 /  -2.0 /  -5.2
:     Mar 03   /  -3.7 /  -8.0 /  -7.4 /  -1.9
:     Mar 04   /   2.8 /   6.4 /   6.3 /   3.0
:     Mar 05   /   0.7 /  -3.9 /  -8.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Sutersville - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 733.36 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record River Stage     32.5 ft
: Major River Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   21.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.9 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Gage reading may be affected by ice.
: Forecast stage represents estimate of unobstructed flow.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /   4.7
:     Mar 02   /   4.8 /   4.9 /   5.3 /   6.0
:     Mar 03   /   5.9 /   5.7 /   5.5
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 5.5 ft at 915am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER STSP1 20150303 Z DC201503031446/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /   5.4
.E2 : Mar 04 : /   6.5 /  10.1 /  11.5 /  11.3
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  11.0 /  10.9 /  10.8 /  10.7
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  10.3 /   9.7 /   9.1 /   8.5
.E5 : Mar 07 : /   8.0 /   7.6 /   7.3 /   6.9
.E6 : Mar 08 : /   6.7 /   6.4 /   6.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.06 /  0.13
:     Mar 02   /  0.20 /  0.22 /  0.01 /  0.04
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.05
:     Mar 04   /  0.36 /  0.39 /  0.31 /  0.18
:     Mar 05   /  0.16 /  0.16 /  0.14
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -9.9
:     Mar 01   /  -3.0 /  -5.6 /  -3.8 /  -0.0
:     Mar 02   /   1.3 /   1.7 /  -1.4 /  -4.1
:     Mar 03   /  -2.3 /  -5.7 /  -6.4 /  -0.9
:     Mar 04   /   3.8 /   6.6 /   6.1 /   3.2
:     Mar 05   /   1.4 /  -2.9 /  -7.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Maxwell L&D - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 734.5 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record Tailwater Stage     44.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      36.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   34.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      32.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     23.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR MAXP1 20150305 Z DC201503031446/DUE/DQG/DH12/HTIFFX :crest:   26.2
: Crest near   26.2 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  10.0
:     Mar 02   /  10.1 /  10.2 /  10.7 /  10.6
:     Mar 03   /  10.5 /  10.8 /  11.2
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 12.0 ft at 900am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER MAXP1 20150303 Z DC201503031446/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  12.2
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  12.6 /  13.8 /  16.9 /  19.0
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  22.5 /  22.6 /  26.2 /  25.6
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  22.9 /  19.9 /  17.8 /  16.5
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  15.7 /  15.2 /  15.3 /  15.2
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  14.9 /  14.8 /  14.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.14
:     Mar 02   /  0.20 /  0.12 /  0.02 /  0.01
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.06
:     Mar 04   /  0.35 /  0.38 /  0.30 /  0.21
:     Mar 05   /  0.20 /  0.21 /  0.18
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -9.5
:     Mar 01   /  -2.2 /  -5.6 /  -4.1 /   0.1
:     Mar 02   /   2.1 /   2.5 /  -0.4 /  -2.9
:     Mar 03   /  -0.8 /  -8.1 /  -6.6 /   0.4
:     Mar 04   /   4.8 /   7.6 /   6.8 /   3.6
:     Mar 05   /   1.7 /  -2.4 /  -7.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Charleroi - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 717.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Westmoreland County, PA
: Record Tailwater Stage     42.7 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      35.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   31.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      28.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     22.6 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 5AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
.AR CHRP1 20150305 Z DC201503031446/DUE/DQG/DH12/HTIFFX :crest:   28.7
: Crest near   28.7 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 2PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  11.4
:     Mar 02   /  11.2 /  11.3 /  12.2 /  12.7
:     Mar 03   /  12.8 /  13.9 /  14.0
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 14.4 ft at 900am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER CHRP1 20150303 Z DC201503031446/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  15.0
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  15.8 /  17.4 /  21.2 /  23.5
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  26.6 /  26.8 /  28.7 /  28.3
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  26.8 /  24.5 /  22.5 /  21.1
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  20.1 /  19.4 /  19.5 /  19.2
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  18.9 /  18.7 /  18.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.05 /  0.13
:     Mar 02   /  0.19 /  0.14 /  0.02 /  0.02
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.05
:     Mar 04   /  0.36 /  0.38 /  0.30 /  0.20
:     Mar 05   /  0.19 /  0.19 /  0.16
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -9.7
:     Mar 01   /  -2.4 /  -5.4 /  -4.0 /  -0.0
:     Mar 02   /   1.8 /   2.0 /  -0.8 /  -3.6
:     Mar 03   /  -1.4 /  -7.4 /  -6.6 /   0.2
:     Mar 04   /   4.8 /   7.5 /   6.7 /   3.6
:     Mar 05   /   1.8 /  -2.4 /  -7.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Elizabeth - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 717.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     32.5 ft
: Major Pool Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      20.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     16.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood pool stage around 5AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
.AR ELZP1 20150305 Z DC201503031446/DUE/DQG/DH12/HPIFFX :crest:   20.4
: Crest near   20.4 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 1PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  10.9
:     Mar 02   /  10.7 /  10.7 /  11.0 /  11.6
:     Mar 03   /  11.7 /  12.1 /  12.2
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.4 ft at 915am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER ELZP1 20150303 Z DC201503031446/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  12.7
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  13.2 /  14.1 /  16.0 /  17.3
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  19.0 /  19.0 /  20.4 /  20.0
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  19.0 /  17.5 /  16.5 /  15.8
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  15.3 /  15.0 /  15.0 /  14.9
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  14.7 /  14.6 /  14.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.09 /  0.14
:     Mar 02   /  0.20 /  0.07 /  0.00 /  0.05
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.06
:     Mar 04   /  0.35 /  0.39 /  0.29 /  0.16
:     Mar 05   /  0.14 /  0.16 /  0.13
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           / -10.0
:     Mar 01   /  -3.3 /  -5.7 /  -4.8 /  -0.4
:     Mar 02   /   1.2 /   1.4 /  -1.5 /  -4.0
:     Mar 03   /  -1.7 /  -6.3 /  -6.8 /  -0.6
:     Mar 04   /   3.8 /   6.3 /   5.3 /   2.6
:     Mar 05   /   1.0 /  -3.4 /  -7.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Braddock - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 709.7 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     35.3 ft
: Major Pool Stage      24.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      22.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     18.2 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  12.3
:     Mar 02   /  12.3 /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.4
:     Mar 03   /  12.2 /  12.4 /  12.3
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.1 ft at 845am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER BDDP1 20150303 Z DC201503031446/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  12.0
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  12.0 /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.2
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  14.0 /  15.9 /  15.8 /  17.4
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  16.9 /  15.3 /  13.2 /  12.1
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.09 /  0.14
:     Mar 02   /  0.20 /  0.14 /  0.00 /  0.06
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.05
:     Mar 04   /  0.35 /  0.38 /  0.29 /  0.11
:     Mar 05   /  0.12 /  0.13 /  0.11
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           / -10.5
:     Mar 01   /  -3.6 /  -6.4 /  -4.8 /  -0.6
:     Mar 02   /   0.9 /   1.2 /  -1.8 /  -4.2
:     Mar 03   /  -2.3 /  -6.7 /  -6.9 /  -1.0
:     Mar 04   /   3.4 /   5.8 /   4.9 /   2.4
:     Mar 05   /   1.0 /  -3.4 /  -8.0
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: Davis
:...END of MESSAGE...




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