River Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FGUS53 KKRF 280152
RVFNPL

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
0141Z Sat May 28 2016
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS NOPLAT

:                ***     EVENING FORECAST     ***

: *****************************************************************
: ***  This forecast includes projected snowmelt due to         ***
: ***  forecasted 6-hour mean temperatures for the next 15 days ***
: *****************************************************************

:*********************************************************************
:THE FOLLWING ASSUMPTIONS HAVE BEEN INCORPORATED INTO THIS FORECAST.
:GUERNSEY RESERVOIR RELEASE IS 5000 CFS. 500 CFS ARE CURRENTLY BEING
:DIVERTED AT TRI-LAKES CANAL. THIS FORECAST CAN BE AFFECTED BY CHANGES IN
:RESERVOIR OPERATIONS AND BY CHANGES IN DIVERSION AND RETURN FLOWS.
:THE INTERSTATE CANAL DIVERSION IS NOW OFF.
:GRAYROCKS HAS FALLEN FASTER FROM THIS MORNINGS MODEL RUNS AND LOWERED
:FORECAST FROM FLAW4 AND HENN1 TO LEWN1 FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST.
:OUTFLOW IS CURRENTLY AT 3100 CFS AND PROJECT TO CONTINUE FALL SLOWLY.
:*********************************************************************

: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF    <==

RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
NORTH PLATTE RIVER
  SARATOGA WY             8.5    7.5   REMAIN ABOVE FIS NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
LARAMIE RIVER
  LARAMIE WY              8.0    8.7   REMAIN ABOVE FS NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
  FT LARAMIE WY 5SSW      7.0    7.4   FALL BELOW FS 05/31 AROUND 16Z
NORTH PLATTE RIVER
  HENRY NE 1S             5.5    6.4   CREST NEAR 6.5 FT 05/28 AM
  MITCHELL NE 1S          7.5    8.7   CREST NEAR 9.4 FT 05/28 PM
  MINATARE NE 2SW         7.5    7.4   CREST NEAR 7.4 FT 05/29 AM
  BRIDGEPORT NE 1NNE      9.5    8.5   CREST NEAR 8.6 FT 05/29 PM
  LISCO NE 1S             4.0    4.2   CREST NEAR 4.4 FT 05/30 PM
  LEWELLEN NE NO CH       7.5    8.9   LITTLE CHANGE NEXT SEVEAL DAYS
  NORTH PLATTE NE         6.0    6.8   CREST NEAR 6.9 FT 05/29 AM

:__________________________________________________________________

:SARATOGA WY - NORTH PLATTE RIVER     HSA - CYS
:FLOOD STAGE 8.5 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 7.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 9.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 10.5 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.5 FT AT 0045Z ON 0528

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /   7.6 /   7.6 /   7.5
:   0528   /   7.5

.ER SRAW4 20160528 Z DC201605280141/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4
.E2  :0529:/   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4
.E3  :0530:/   7.5 /   7.5 /   7.6 /   7.7
.E4  :0531:/   7.7 /   7.7 /   7.8 /   7.8
.E5  :0601:/   7.8 /   7.8 /   7.8 /   7.8
.E6  :0602:/   7.8


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0528  /  0.10
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.10  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.05
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.09  inches


:SARATOGA WY - NORTH PLATTE RIVER     HSA - CYS
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 5.77 KCFS AT 0000Z ON 0528

.ER SRAW4 20160528 Z DC201605280141/DH06/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /  5.62 /  5.53 /  5.50
.E2  :0529:/  5.50 /  5.50 /  5.56 /  5.72
.E3  :0530:/  5.87 /  5.99 /  6.12 /  6.30
.E4  :0531:/  6.45 /  6.53 /  6.60 /  6.69
.E5  :0601:/  6.74 /  6.71 /  6.67 /  6.64
.E6  :0602:/  6.58
:__________________________________________________________________

:LARAMIE WY - LARAMIE RIVER     HSA - CYS
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 7.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 9.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 8.7 FT AT 0100Z ON 0528

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /   8.8 /   8.8 /   8.8
:   0528   /   8.7

.ER LLRW4 20160528 Z DC201605280141/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /   8.7 /   8.7 /   8.6
.E2  :0529:/   8.6 /   8.5 /   8.5 /   8.4
.E3  :0530:/   8.4 /   8.4 /   8.4 /   8.5
.E4  :0531:/   8.5 /   8.6 /   8.6 /   8.7
.E5  :0601:/   8.7 /   8.7 /   8.7 /   8.7
.E6  :0602:/   8.7


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:    0528  /  0.02
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.03  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.06
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.09  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:FT LARAMIE WY 5SSW - LARAMIE RIVER     HSA - CYS
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 6.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 9.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.4 FT AT 0100Z ON 0528

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /   7.8 /   7.8 /   7.7
:   0528   /   7.4

: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/31/2016 AROUND 16Z
.ER FLAW4 20160528 Z DC201605280141/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /   7.3 /   7.2 /   7.2
.E2  :0529:/   7.2 /   7.2 /   7.2 /   7.1
.E3  :0530:/   7.1 /   7.1 /   7.1 /   7.1
.E4  :0531:/   7.1 /   7.0 /   7.0 /   7.0
.E5  :0601:/   7.0 /   7.0 /   6.9 /   6.9
.E6  :0602:/   6.9


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0528  /  0.07
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.07  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.01  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:HENRY NE 1S - NORTH PLATTE RIVER     HSA - CYS
:FLOOD STAGE 5.5 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 4.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 6.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 7.5 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 6.4 FT AT 0045Z ON 0528

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /   6.4 /   6.4 /   6.4
:   0528   /   6.4

.AR : CREST : HENN1 20160528 Z DC201605280141/DH12/HGIFFX 6.5
.ER HENN1 20160528 Z DC201605280141/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /   6.5 /   6.5 /   6.5
.E2  :0529:/   6.5 /   6.4 /   6.4 /   6.3
.E3  :0530:/   6.3 /   6.3 /   6.3 /   6.3
.E4  :0531:/   6.3 /   6.3 /   6.3 /   6.3
.E5  :0601:/   6.3 /   6.3 /   6.2 /   6.2
.E6  :0602:/   6.2


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0528  /  0.07
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.07  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.01  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:MITCHELL NE 1S - NORTH PLATTE RIVER     HSA - CYS
:FLOOD STAGE 7.5 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 6.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 8.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 9.5 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 8.7 FT AT 0045Z ON 0528

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /   8.8 /   8.7 /   8.8
:   0528   /   8.9

.AR : CREST : MICN1 20160529 Z DC201605280141/DH00/HGIFFX 9.4
.ER MICN1 20160528 Z DC201605280141/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /   8.9 /   9.0 /   9.1
.E2  :0529:/   9.4 /   9.4 /   9.4 /   9.4
.E3  :0530:/   9.4 /   9.4 /   9.4 /   9.4
.E4  :0531:/   9.4 /   9.4 /   9.4 /   9.4
.E5  :0601:/   9.4 /   9.4 /   9.3 /   9.3
.E6  :0602:/   9.3


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0528  /  0.05
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.06  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.02  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:MINATARE NE 2SW - NORTH PLATTE RIVER     HSA - CYS
:FLOOD STAGE 7.5 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 6.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 8.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 9.5 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.4 FT AT 0045Z ON 0528

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /   7.3 /   7.2 /   5.2
:   0528   /   7.4

.AR : CREST : MNTN1 20160529 Z DC201605280141/DH12/HGIFFX 7.4
.ER MNTN1 20160528 Z DC201605280141/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /   7.3 /   7.3 /   7.3
.E2  :0529:/   7.3 /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4
.E3  :0530:/   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.3 /   7.3
.E4  :0531:/   7.3 /   7.3 /   7.3 /   7.3
.E5  :0601:/   7.3 /   7.3 /   7.3 /   7.3
.E6  :0602:/   7.3


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.02
:    0528  /  0.01
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.04  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.02
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.03  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:BRIDGEPORT NE 1NNE - NORTH PLATTE RIVER     HSA - CYS
:FLOOD STAGE 9.5 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 8.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 10.5 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 8.5 FT AT 0045Z ON 0528

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /   8.5 /   8.5 /   8.5
:   0528   /   8.5

.AR : CREST : BGPN1 20160530 Z DC201605280141/DH00/HGIFFX 8.6
.ER BGPN1 20160528 Z DC201605280141/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /   8.5 /   8.5 /   8.5
.E2  :0529:/   8.5 /   8.5 /   8.5 /   8.5
.E3  :0530:/   8.6 /   8.6 /   8.6 /   8.5
.E4  :0531:/   8.5 /   8.5 /   8.4 /   8.4
.E5  :0601:/   8.4 /   8.4 /   8.4 /   8.4
.E6  :0602:/   8.4


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.14
:    0528  /  0.06
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.20  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.02
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.03  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:LISCO NE 1S - NORTH PLATTE RIVER     HSA - LBF
:FLOOD STAGE 4.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 3.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 5.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.2 FT AT 0045Z ON 0528

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2
:   0528   /   4.2

.AR : CREST : LSON1 20160531 Z DC201605280141/DH00/HGIFFX 4.4
.ER LSON1 20160528 Z DC201605280141/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.3
.E2  :0529:/   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.3
.E3  :0530:/   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.4 /   4.4
.E4  :0531:/   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.4
.E5  :0601:/   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.3 /   4.3
.E6  :0602:/   4.3


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.02 /  0.10 /  0.17
:    0528  /  0.02
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.31  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.02  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:LEWELLEN NE NO CH - NORTH PLATTE RIVER     HSA - LBF
:FLOOD STAGE 7.5 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 6.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 8.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 9.5 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 8.9 FT AT 0045Z ON 0528

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /   8.9 /   8.9 /   8.9
:   0528   /   8.9

.AR : CREST : LEWN1 20160601 Z DC201605280141/DH00/HGIFFX 8.9
.ER LEWN1 20160528 Z DC201605280141/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /   8.9 /   8.9 /   8.9
.E2  :0529:/   8.9 /   8.9 /   8.9 /   8.9
.E3  :0530:/   8.9 /   8.9 /   8.9 /   8.9
.E4  :0531:/   8.9 /   8.9 /   8.9 /   8.9
.E5  :0601:/   8.9 /   8.9 /   8.9 /   8.9
.E6  :0602:/   8.9


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.06 /  0.23 /  0.22
:    0528  /  0.02
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.53  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.02  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:NORTH PLATTE NE - NORTH PLATTE RIVER     HSA - LBF
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 5.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 6.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 6.8 FT AT 0100Z ON 0528

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /   6.6 /   6.6 /   6.7
:   0528   /   6.8

.AR : CREST : NPTN1 20160529 Z DC201605280141/DH06/HGIFFX 6.9
.ER NPTN1 20160528 Z DC201605280141/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /   6.8 /   6.9 /   6.9
.E2  :0529:/   6.9 /   6.9 /   6.9 /   6.9
.E3  :0530:/   6.9 /   6.9 /   6.9 /   6.9
.E4  :0531:/   6.9 /   6.9 /   6.9 /   6.9
.E5  :0601:/   6.9 /   6.9 /   6.9 /   6.9
.E6  :0602:/   6.9


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.40 /  0.03 /  0.00
:    0528  /  0.08
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.51  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.13 /  0.02 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.15  inches

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:BOU -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Denver, Colorado
:CYS -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Cheyenne, Wyoming
:RIW -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Riverton, Wyoming
:LBF -        NWS Weather Forecast Office North Platte, Nebraska
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: gks
:...END of MESSAGE...



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