Tropical Cyclone Discussion
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WTPA42 PHFO 262052
TCDCP2

TROPICAL STORM LOKE DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP042015
1100 AM HST WED AUG 26 2015

LOKE CONTINUES TO TRACK RAPIDLY NORTHWEST AND TRANSITION TO AN
EXTRATROPICAL LOW. DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES WERE 2.0/35
KT FROM HFO...2.5/35 KT FROM SAB AND 2.0/30 KT FROM JTWC. SINCE THE
SYSTEM IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL...THE DVORAK ESTIMATES MAY NOT BE
REPRESENTATIVE. I AM KEEPING THE INITIAL INTENSITY AT 50 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS TO THE NORTHWEST...OR 315 DEGREES...AT 32 KT.
LOKE WILL CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE NORTHWEST BETWEEN A DEEP-LAYER
LOW ABOUT 565 MILES TO THE SOUTH AND A STRONG SURFACE HIGH CENTERED
ABOUT 1200 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS MOTION WILL TAKE LOKE WEST
OF THE DATELINE AND OUT OF THE CPHC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY IN
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LOKE IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT
INTENSITY OF 50 KT AND TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW WITHIN SIX
HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK...INTENSITY AND WIND RADII WERE BASED ON
INPUT FROM THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST BULLETIN ON THE SYSTEM FROM CPHC. PLEASE SEE
THE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS FROM OPC FOR FUTURE FORECASTS. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND
WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  26/2100Z 38.0N 179.9E   50 KT  60 MPH
 12H  27/0600Z 42.0N 177.0E   50 KT  60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  27/1800Z 49.0N 171.0E   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  28/0600Z 55.0N 170.0E   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  28/1800Z 59.0N 175.0E   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  29/1800Z...INLAND

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON






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