Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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000
FNUS73 KDLH 261952 AAA
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD BILL UNIT 5...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
252 PM CDT FRI SEP 26 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THIS IS AN UPDATE TO THE FORECAST.

THE SUNNY SKIES AND SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. THE
TEMPERATURE SHOULD ONLY CLIMB UP TO ANOTHER COUPLE DEGREES, AND
THE RH DROP UP TO SEVERAL MORE PERCENT. THERE COULD BE STRAY GUSTS
THIS AFTERNOON, MAINLY BEFORE 6 PM, OF AROUND 10 MPH, BUT GENERALLY
THIS BURN SITE APPEARS TO BE TOO CLOSE TO THE LAKE TO BE AFFECTED
BY THE 15 MPH GUSTS HAPPENING FARTHER INLAND.

SATURDAY WILL BE WARM WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH AND
GUSTS A LITTLE OVER 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. THE RH WILL LIKELY BE
MUCH HIGHER TOMORROW DUE TO THE GREATER INFLUENCE OF A MARINE LAYER
NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR, BUT IT IS POSSIBLE IT COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY
LOWER. THIS WILL BE BETTER CAPTURED BY THE HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL
DATA WHEN IT BECOMES AVAILABLE EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (21200) DECREASING TO FAIR (15200) LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
TEMP............76  78  78  72  66
RH..............52  48  48  52  63
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   4   4   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.6   9   8   7   6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    PATCHY FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND 0 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1450).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............62     57     54     54     53     52
RH..............75     83     90     86     86     89
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     E      E      E      NE     NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2      2      2      1      1      1
20 FT WIND GUST.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600) INCREASING TO FAIR (14700) LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO FAIR (23500)
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO FAIR
                    (13900) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............51     56     62     67     68     67
RH..............93     83     70     65     65     70
20 FT WIND DIR..E      SE     S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..1      2      4      6      6      5
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      12     12     10

$$
FORECASTER...GEOFF
REQUESTED BY...LORI KARAU
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140926.OLDBI.01/DLH





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