Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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000
FNUS73 KDLH 221606
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTHER LIGHTS RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1106 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...INCREASINGLY GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE MIXING LAYER DEEPENS. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL LOWER TO NEAR 52 PERCENT...POSSIBLY LOWER
IF SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARM MORE THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. THE
MAIN PERIOD OF RAINFALL SHOULD OCCUR AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 18 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1900 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (16100) INCREASING TO GOOD (38100) LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO FAIR
                    (29200) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............47     50     50     44
RH..............70     56     52     62
20 FT WIND DIR..S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..8      10     10     7
20 FT WIND GUST.17     20     20     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    LATE. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 450 FT AGL IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO 1300
                    FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14200) DECREASING TO POOR (5050) IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO
                    FAIR (17700) LATE.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............40     41     42     41     41     42
RH..............70     73     73     82     85     82
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     SE     S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..6      6      6      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST.12     12     12     10     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (25200) DECREASING TO FAIR (19300) IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............43     44     46     49     52     50
RH..............82     86     86     83     74     80
20 FT WIND DIR..S      S      S      S      SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5      5      5      4      3      3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     9      8      7      6

$$
FORECASTER...DECLAN
REQUESTED BY...SCHUELLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141022.NORTH.01/DLH






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