Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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000
FNUS73 KDLH 221937
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUMBBELL RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
237 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LAKE BREEZE FRONT HAS MOVED OVER FIRE SITE RESULTING
IN WIND DIRECTION CHANGE AND INCREASE IN WIND SPEEDS. ISABELLA
RAWS IS WEST OF THE BOUNDARY AS THIS FORECAST IS ISSUED AND DOES
NOT REPRESENT CONDITIONS EAST OF THE FRONT. DOWNSTREAM
OBSERVATIONS FROM SILVER BAY...TWO HARBORS...AND COOK COUNTY ARPT
SUGGEST WINDS MAY TURN SOUTHEAST OR SOUTHERLY FARTHER BEHIND THE
FRONT. WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS OF 15 MPH
POSSIBLE. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY IN THIS FORECAST FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON RESULTING FROM LIMITED DATA FROM BEHIND
THE FRONT NEAR THE FIRE ZONE. DO NOT HESITATE TO CONTACT US IF
FORECAST CONDITIONS DO NOT MATCH YOUR OBSERVATION.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 6
                    TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 6500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (100500) DECREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (65800) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
TEMP............66  66  65  64
RH..............20  18  19  19
20 FT WIND DIR..E   SE  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..4   6   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.9   12  15  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8900) DECREASING TO POOR (3100) IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............60     52     47     46     47     45
RH..............20     39     58     63     63     62
20 FT WIND DIR..S      S      SW     W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..7      5      5      5      4      4
20 FT WIND GUST.14     10     9      6      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...KEVIN H.
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK KRAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150522.DUMBB.02/DLH





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