Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 241442
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
942 AM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 942 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Clear skies over the entire FA will give way to increasing clouds
from the west today. However, the thickest clouds will move into
the Devils Lake region and northern Red River Valley by late
morning and areas further east during the afternoon. Still
expecting some shower development too, but most of the that should
stay in the Devils Lake region and northern Red River Valley this
afternoon. Finally, the gusty west-northwest winds will keep the
drier and cooler air over the FA. Forecast already covers these
elements well, so no changes needed at this point.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Cold front continuing to push east, departing the FA early this
morning. A few lingering showers will affect areas east of Fosston
and Detroit Lakes before dawn. In the wake of the front west winds
have developed and will increase as the upper low pressure system
slowly tracks east across southern Manitoba. This support combined
with a secondary push of CAA will be enough for another round of
scattered showers across the northern tier of counties this
afternoon in NE ND and into NW MN this evening and overnight.
Cooler temps today with highs in the 70s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Thursday will continue to see the influence of the upper low
especially across NW MN with shower activity chances continuing,
as a cool and cloudy day is expected. With upper low ejecting east
thursday aftn and sfc high pressure building into the northern
plains will see clearing skies from west to east. This will allow
a cool night with temps in the 40s to 50 Friday morning.

Next round of PCPN will lift NE out of SD Friday mid morning with
short wave in the SW 500mb flow. Showers and thunder will continue
to lift into the rest of the FA Friday afternoon and evening with
the DVL BSN more likely to remain dry.

The next 500 mb low and short wave trough will move through
Saturday giving a good chance for showers and thunderstorms.  The
system will move east on Sunday giving dry weather for Sunday night
into Monday.  Next system to arrive Tuesday.  00z long range models
pretty good with overall pattern.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 614 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

VFR for much of the day with west winds 12 to 17kts gusting to 25
to 30kt valley and DVL. Late in the day showers possible at DVL
and possibly TVF overnight...chances remain low so not included in
TAF.


&&

.FGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Godon
SHORT TERM...JK
LONG TERM...JK/Riddle
AVIATION...JK



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