Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 220425
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1125 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1125 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

Have one large thunderstorm cell over western Benson County moving
east-southeast. However, it has been weakening slowly. There have
been other storms in southeast ND, but nothing that has held
together for more than a volume scan or so. There is one more
storm in southern Canada that is quite strong, if it holds
together it may move into northeast ND after midnight. So overall
convective threat is fairly isolated at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 341 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

Still many questions in regards to convection thru the night.
Boundary located from Red Lake MN west to near Cooperstown ND. a
bit more east wind north of this boundary from earlier convection
while south winds south of this boundary with temps mid 80s to low
90s. Sfc based cape 3-4k in the RRV but where storms are nr
Cooperstown/Carrington some cap exists and still not certain
storms are rooted in boundary layer yet. Storms east toward GFK
into Crookston was elevated.

Overnight storms that are expected to fire in Manitoba may drop
southeast into NE ND but that again is not certain.

Breezy and cooler Saturday with risk of a few showers or t-storms
in NW MN.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 341 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

Sunday a cool day compared to normal and then next wave with tstm
chance arriving into central/ern ND late Monday aftn and moving
east. For Tues-Fri relatively quite pattern.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 1125 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

Convective threat appears to be fairly isolated, so only mentioned
some VCTS for now at the TAF sites. If it gets closer can update
with better timing details. Otherwise, fairly low winds until
Saturday day hours. Ceilings should all be VFR, although guidance
is trying to indicate some fog or low clouds around KBJI toward
morning.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Godon
SHORT TERM...Riddle
LONG TERM...Riddle
AVIATION...Godon



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