623
FNUS53 KAPX 040902
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
502 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

...Another round of showers tonight...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure early today will weaken, and allow a
cold front to cross the area tonight. Away from Lake Huron,
temperatures will warm well into the 70s today, with 60s and some
fog closer to Lake Huron. Southeast breeze will occasionally gust
close to 20 mph, while relative humidity lowers into the 30s
percent. Clouds increase this afternoon into tonight, and showers
are likely tonight. A few thunderstorms are possible. Rainfall
amounts will be relatively light, a quarter of an inch or less.
Cooler temperatures will be seen Sunday, with a somewhat gusty
northwest breeze.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-042030-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
502 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer...except 13 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (672).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400, then rain showers likely
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (57).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the west around
                    15 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.19 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....60-65...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 51-56 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 20 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (481).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-042030-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
502 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (235).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....64-69...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (627).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .


$$

MIZ020-025>027-042030-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
502 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 2 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (700).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Rain showers likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    west after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (55).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the west around
                    15 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.22 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 42-47 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (342).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-042030-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
502 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (750).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Rain showers likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (57).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the west after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.13 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....60-65...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (447).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-042030-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
502 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (596).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of rain showers after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (584).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

JZ