Text Products for FWS Issued by PHI

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
000
FNUS71 KPHI 251839
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Snow Bowl Wildfire...New Jersey Forest Fire Service
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
239 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 EDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
RH`s across much of the region will get quite low today across
our Pennsylvania and New Jersey zones, and we`ve had little
rain now for a couple of weeks, allowing fine fuels to dry.
Minimum relative humidity values are forecast to drop into the
20-30% range. Northeast to east winds will be strongest this
morning, diminishing into the afternoon when the lowest RH
values are anticipated. Thus, there will be no special
statements issued for danger of fire spread today.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Wind shift..........East winds gradually shifting southeast
                    later this afternoon and evening.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (31800 knot-ft).
ADI.................44 to 51.
Eye level winds.....East winds around 4 mph.

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  16  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1
Temp............53  54  53
RH..............22  21  22
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  E
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...6.0 6.4 6.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   NW
Transp wind spd.7   6   6
ADI.............51  45  44
Vrate kt-ft/1K..36  32  32
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Widespread frost
                    overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    south 5 to 7 mph early in the evening, then
                    becoming light overnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the south 5
                    to 9 mph in the evening and overnight, then
                    shifting to the northwest around 3 mph after 3
                    am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (30200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................2 to 42.
Eye level winds.....South winds around 4 mph early in the evening
                    shifting to the up to 5 mph, then shifting to
                    the southwest around 3 mph overnight becoming
                    light.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17  20  20  14  10  7   5   5   6   6   6   7
Weather cov.....                                WID WID WID WID
Weather type....                                FST FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............53  51  45  43  41  39  37  36  35  34  32  30
RH..............24  28  38  45  52  54  61  64  69  72  75  85
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   6   8   8   7   5   5   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.9   9   12  12  10  9   8   6   6   6   6   6
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   5   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   7   7   6   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...6.0 3.2 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   9   8   7   6   5   5   5   3   3
ADI.............42  3   5   6   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..30  19  6   4   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Widespread frost early
                    in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon, then shifting
                    to the south around 7 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the south 6 to 8
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (46400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 58 in the
                    afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds around 3 mph early in the
                    morning becoming light, then becoming south up
                    to 4 mph in the late morning and afternoon
                    shifting to the around 5 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   7   3   3   3   3   4   5   7   13  21  25
Weather cov.....WID WID WID
Weather type....FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............30  32  38  43  47  50  52  54  56  57  57  57
RH..............85  75  64  53  45  41  38  35  32  31  30  30
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   3   3   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.6   7   7   7   7   8   7   8   9   9   9   10
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   3   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   4   4   4   4   5       5   5   5   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.9 2.1 3.4 4.8 5.4 6.2 6.7 7.0 6.8 6.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   NE  E   E   SE  SE  SW  S   SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   8
ADI.............2   4   5   16  25  35  39  43  56  52  51  58
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   2   3   11  17  24  27  31  40  42  41  46
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR

$$
Forecaster...Staarmann
Requested by...Eric Weber
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2412472.0/PHI
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eric.weber@dep.nj.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
