Text Products for FWS Issued by ABR

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
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FNUS73 KABR 121216
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Victory WMA...MN DNR
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
716 AM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Today will feature warm and dry conditions with as a dry ridge of
high pressure over central South Dakota moves across the fire around
noon, and exits into Minnesota. The result will be nearly steady
winds out of the northwest today. Winds will diminish to around 5
mph this evening, and shift out of the southeast between 1900 and
2100, before increasing overnight with gusts of 10 to 15 mph. Much
warmer air will slide in Saturday with highs near 80 degrees, which
is nearly 25 degrees above normal for this time of year.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......500, increasing to 1200 by 0900, and 6000 ft
                    agl in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (92400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 (very low).

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   2   2   2   5   16  13  4   2   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............40  44  47  50  53  56  57  59  60  60
RH..............82  73  66  61  50  43  40  36  33  33
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   10  10  12  12  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.12  12  13  16  17  18  17  17  15  15
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 6 to 10 mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......400-5400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 12 mph shifting to the east 5
                    mph in the evening, then shifting to the
                    southeast 8 to 17 mph late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (54300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or (very low) to (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   4   3   2   4   3   3   5   4   3   7   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  59  54  51  48  46  43  42  41  40  40  40
RH..............33  34  45  48  56  58  65  67  70  73  73  76
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   6   5   5   6   6   7   8   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.10                  8   10  12  13  15  15  16
Smoke Dispersal.FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    west late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 increasing to 3600 ft agl in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 22 mph shifting to the southwest 16
                    to 17 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (54200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or (moderate) to (high).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   7   5   4   7   4   8   16  15  10  5   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............40  39  43  49  55  62  67  71  74  77  79  80
RH..............73  76  67  58  53  43  37  32  30  28  26  25
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..12  13  13  13  14  13  13  13  13  12  10  9
20 FT wind gust.17  18  18  18  20  18  18  18  18  17  16  14
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  M   FR  M

$$
Forecaster...KF
Requested by...Louise Spiczka
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410455.0/ABR
.DELDT 04/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL louise.spiczka@state.mn.us
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
