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000
FXUS64 KBMX 121655
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1155 AM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 348 AM CDT FRI APR 12 2024

The upper low has worked its way to our east and skies have
cleared across the area. As we move through the day the low will
continue to move away, but gradient winds will remain high through
much of the afternoon, before decreasing near sunset. A much
calmer day on Saturday in regards to the wind as high pressure
builds in. Plenty of sun each day, with highs this afternoon in
the 60s and 70s. Overnight lows with clear skies will be in the
low 40s. Highs on Saturday will be warmer with readings in the
upper 70s to low 70s.

16

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 348 AM CDT FRI APR 12 2024

A period of quiet weather is expected for Sunday through Tuesday
as an upper-level ridge amplifies over the region in response to
a strong trough moving toward the Southern Plains. Conditions
will remain dry with temperatures should reaching the low to mid
80s each afternoon. As the trough in the Plains moves toward the
Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, the tail end of a weakening front
should arrive on Wednesday. This could bring a few showers and
thunderstorms to our north counties, but widespread significant
rain is not expected.

Another trough is expected to move across the Middle Mississippi
Valley late Thursday. Much of the day should remain dry, but rain
chances will increase Thursday evening into early Friday as a
front approaches from the northwest.

87/Grantham

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1155 AM CDT FRI APR 12 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through this cycle. Clear skies will
persist at all sites this afternoon and evening with only a few
scattered cumulus possible far northeast. Breezy low-level west
to northwest winds will continue through the afternoon with gusts
from 15-25 kts generally. Expect winds to slacken greatly
overnight with speeds generally less than 5 kts overnight. Some
high clouds will move east over much of the south and west parts
of the area into the day Saturday with low-level winds lighter
from the northwest at 4-8 kts.

05

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Dry conditions will be in place through the weekend. Min RHs will
drop into the 26-35 percent range for much of the area this
afternoon, with 20 ft northwesterly winds in the 10-18 mph range.
Max RH values overnight will be in the low 70s to mid 90s. Could
see some critical conditions even though red flag criteria will
not be met. The 20 ft winds diminish Saturday to less than 10 mph
and become more westerly. Minimum RH values will be in the 28-38
percent range. Dry conditions continue through the first of next
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     67  42  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    68  41  77  53 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  69  45  78  55 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  71  44  81  53 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      70  43  79  54 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      70  45  77  54 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  72  44  79  52 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        71  46  79  52 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION...05